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Carnavale Resources Limited (CAV) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$40.0M

CR Carnavale Resources Limited CAV · AU
PriceA$0.0860
Fair ValueA$0.0700
Upside-18.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0600 – A$0.0900

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −13.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$0.1669 A$0.0437 Fair Value A$0.0700 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$0.0437 – A$0.1669 · fair‑value band A$0.0600 – A$0.0900 · the A$0.0860 price screens above the A$0.0700 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Carnavale Resources Limited (CAV) currently trades at A$0.0860, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0700 — implying the stock looks roughly 18.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$178K. Revenue grew 38.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -24.8%. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$178K
Revenue growth (YoY) +38.6%
Return on equity -24.8%
Free cash flow −A$2.5M FY2025
Operating margin -946%
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0100
More key figures
Net cash A$778K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Carnavale Resources Limited operates as a mineral exploration company in Australia. It primarily explores for tin, lithium, cobalt, silver, nickel, gold, copper, precious metals, and other strategic minerals. The company also involved in investing activities. Carnavale Resources Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Mount Hawthorn, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Carnavale Resources Limited reported revenue of A$152K in FY2025 versus A$10.6K in FY2021, a compound +94.4%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.0M in FY2025.

Revenue +94.4%/yr
FY21 A$10.6K
FY22 A$3.3K
FY23 A$55.2K
FY24 A$223K
FY25 A$152K
Net income
FY21 −A$1.5M
FY22 −A$1.4M
FY23 −A$453K
FY24 −A$791K
FY25 −A$3.0M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Carnavale Resources Limited (CAV) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0700 versus a price of A$0.0860 — about −19% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CAV?
Our 21-model fair value for Carnavale Resources Limited is A$0.0700 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0860.
What is the quality score of CAV?
Carnavale Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Carnavale Resources Limited (CAV)?
Carnavale Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$178K (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CAV?
The net profit margin of Carnavale Resources Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.