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Central Securities Corporation (CET) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $1.6B

CS Central Securities Corporation logo Central Securities Corporation CET · US
Price$55.68
Fair Value$84.71
Upside+52.1%
Quality56/100
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Mixed Growth
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.17% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range $63.53 – $105.88 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +6.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 52% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($63.53). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$55.68 $26.21 Fair Value $84.71 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $26.21 – $55.68 · fair‑value band $63.53 – $105.88 · the $55.68 price screens below the $84.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Central Securities Corporation (CET) currently trades at $55.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $84.71, implying the stock looks roughly 52.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $31.9M. Revenue grew 48.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.8%. Net debt stands at $5.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $63.53 (bear case) to $105.88 (bull case); at $55.68, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 52%, CET screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple $38.57 $51.43 $64.29 55
NCAV (Graham) $30.25 $40.54 $60.50 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple $38.57 $51.43 $64.29 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $30.25 $40.54 $60.50 50

Widest divergence: Multiples ($51.43) versus Asset-Based ($40.54). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $31.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) +48.4%
Net margin 832%
Return on equity 15.8%
Free cash flow $47.1M FY2025
P/E ratio 5.8
More key figures
Operating margin 74.7%
EPS (TTM) $9.15
Dividend yield 5.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +43.6%
Net debt $5.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 61
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Central Securities Corporation is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm invests in the public equity markets of the United States. It also invests on bonds, convertible bonds, preferred stocks, convertible preferred stocks, warrants, options real estate, or short-term obligations of governments, banks and corporations. Central Securities Corp.

Full company description

Central Securities Corporation is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm invests in the public equity markets of the United States. It also invests on bonds, convertible bonds, preferred stocks, convertible preferred stocks, warrants, options real estate, or short-term obligations of governments, banks and corporations. Central Securities Corp. was founded on October 1, 1929 and is based in New York City.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Central Securities Corporation reported revenue of $87.0M in FY2025 versus $360M in FY2021, a compound −29.9%/yr. Reported net income was $265M in FY2025, compounding −6.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$87.0M
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y)
+14.9%
Revenue −29.9%/yr
FY21 $360M
FY22 −$153M
FY23 $57.4M
FY24 $296M
FY25 $87.0M
Net income −6.9%/yr
FY21 $354M
FY22 −$159M
FY23 $224M
FY24 $288M
FY25 $265M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Central Securities Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CET

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Below median
Fair Value upside +52% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 75% · Above median
Revenue growth 48% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.2% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.87× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 48.78× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 33.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 63.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 6
PAST 63 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 69

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Central Securities Corporation (CET) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $84.71 versus a price of $55.68, about +52% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CET?
Our model-based fair value for Central Securities Corporation is $84.71 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $55.68.
What is the quality score of CET?
Central Securities Corporation has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Central Securities Corporation (CET)?
Central Securities Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $31.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
Does Central Securities Corporation pay a dividend?
Central Securities Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.17% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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