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CGABL Fair Value & Analysis

Financials · US · Market cap $16.1B

C CGABL logo CGABL CGABL · US
Price$16.02
Fair Value$10.72
Upside-33.1%
Quality53/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Moderate moat 60/100
Evidence: High Range $6.57 – $15.16 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 9, 2026, revised from $10.57 to $10.72 (+1.4%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −2.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 33% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($15.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($6.57 to $15.16) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$19.84 $12.35 Fair Value $10.72 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $12.35 – $19.84 · fair‑value band $6.57 – $15.16 · the $16.02 price screens above the $10.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

CGABL (CGABL) currently trades at $16.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.72, implying the stock looks roughly 33.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

It earns a return on equity of 68.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.57 (bear case) to $15.16 (bull case); at $16.02, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financials peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at -33%, CGABL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $7.92 $22.75 $49.00 80
Residual Income $6.40 $7.45 $14.76 76
Rev-Margin DCF $4.17 $12.74 $25.04 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $8.44 $19.84 $50.01 38
Owner Earnings $7.02 $22.02 $51.98 31
5Y Revenue Exit $4.17 $12.75 $25.85 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $8.36 $22.13 $41.98 41
5Y P/E Exit $6.31 $17.98 $32.42 38
10Y Revenue Exit $5.09 $14.54 $28.62 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $8.32 $21.98 $45.63 37
10Y P/E Exit $6.90 $18.35 $36.78 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.46 $34.56 $48.29 54
Lynch FV $9.98 $14.26 $18.54 50
PEG = 1.0 $9.98 $14.26 $18.54 46
EPV $4.76 $6.58 $8.17 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.04 $16.05 $20.06 63
P/S Multiple $8.89 $11.86 $14.82 58
P/B Multiple $10.23 $13.64 $17.05 55
EV/EBIT $12.19 $18.31 $24.42 53
EV/EBITDA $8.87 $13.89 $18.90 54
EV/Revenue $2.14 $5.70 $9.26 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.50 $4.69 $7.00 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $7.92 $22.75 $49.00 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.17 $12.74 $25.04 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $6.40 $7.45 $14.76 76
ROIC Compounder $4.76 $6.58 $10.04 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $13.88 $19.82 $25.77 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($19.82) versus Asset-Based ($4.69). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Return on equity 68.7%
Free cash flow $989M FY2025
Net cash $2.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CGABL reported revenue of $4.8B in FY2025 versus $8.8B in FY2021, a compound −14.1%/yr. Reported net income was $809M in FY2025, compounding −28.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.8B
Latest YoY
−11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+10.3%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
+37.0%
Revenue −14.1%/yr
FY21 $8.8B
FY22 $4.4B
FY23 $3.0B
FY24 $5.4B
FY25 $4.8B
Net income −28.2%/yr
FY21 $3.0B
FY22 $1.3B
FY23 −$608M
FY24 $1.0B
FY25 $809M

CGABL screens 33% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CGABL Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CGABL

Peer Group

Asset Management · 963 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Below median
Fair Value upside −33% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 69% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.16× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.29× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 16.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 42 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 70

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,036 $504.81 -51%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 394.40 kr 788.80 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%
HDFC Asset Management Company HDFCAMC ₹2,729 ₹301.41 -89%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CGABL overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.72 versus a price of $16.02, about −33% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CGABL?
Our model-based fair value for CGABL is $10.72 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $16.02.
What is the quality score of CGABL?
CGABL has a Quality Score of 53/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of CGABL?
The net profit margin of CGABL is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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