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CognoGroup, Inc (CGNO) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $2.2M

CI CognoGroup, Inc logo CognoGroup, Inc CGNO · US
Price$0.0195
Fair Value$0.0170
Upside-12.8%
Quality48/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 6.8% net margin
generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0133 – $0.0135 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 13 days ago

Share price +14.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 13% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0135). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band ($0.0133 to $0.0135), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.0700 $0.0011 Fair Value $0.0170 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0011 – $0.0700 · fair‑value band $0.0133 – $0.0135 · the $0.0195 price screens above the $0.0170 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

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Analysis

CognoGroup, Inc (CGNO) currently trades at $0.0195, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0170, implying the stock looks roughly 12.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, CognoGroup, Inc generated revenue of $7.9M at a net margin of 6.8%. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0133 (bear case) to $0.0135 (bull case); at $0.0195, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -13%, CGNO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.5400 $0.6600 $0.8500 64
5Y Revenue Exit $0.2500 $0.2600 $0.2900 39
FCF DCF $0.5200 $0.6600 $0.8800 38
All 4 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.5200 $0.6600 $0.8800 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.2500 $0.2600 $0.2900 39
10Y Revenue Exit $0.3800 $0.4000 $0.4200 36
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.5400 $0.6600 $0.8500 64

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($0.6600) versus DCF Models ($0.4000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (64).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $7.9M
Net margin 6.8%
Free cash flow $6.3M FY2008
Operating margin 34.4%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 78
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CognoGroup, Inc., a technology company, focuses on building and operating platforms that enhance human capability. The company invests in digital businesses that support learning, professional growth, and personal development.

Full company description

CognoGroup, Inc., a technology company, focuses on building and operating platforms that enhance human capability. The company invests in digital businesses that support learning, professional growth, and personal development. Its portfolio of platforms include Mediabistro, a digital platform serving creative and media professionals; Ava, an AI-enabled interview preparation and career coaching platform; MembersDomain; CandidatePitch, a technology platform for professional storytelling and talent signaling; AI Exchange, a community platform for discussion and learning around artificial intelligence; and FindRoles and RecruitingClasses platforms that support career development and applied learning. The company was formerly known Atlantic Energy Solutions, Inc. and changed its name to CognoGroup, Inc. in September 2025. CognoGroup, Inc. is based in Bristol, Connecticut.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2006 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CognoGroup, Inc reported revenue of $2.5K in FY2023 versus $2.5M in FY2006, a compound −33.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$426K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 35/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2023)
$2.5K
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−33.4%
Revenue −33.4%/yr
FY06 $2.5M
FY07 $4.5M
FY08 $7.9M
FY23 $2.5K
Net income
FY08 $536K
FY22 −$18.1K
FY23 $18.1K
FY24 −$15.1K
FY25 −$426K

CGNO screens 13% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CognoGroup, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CGNO

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 475 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −13% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 20.38× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.28× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 16 · sector 21
FUTURE 0 · sector 31
PAST 0 · sector 37
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 37

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.92 $143.90 -39%
Accenture plc ACNN 2,460 MXN 250.95 MXN -90%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,457 +26%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,204 ₹1,230 +2%
Wipro Limited WIPRO ₹178.43 ₹226.81 +27%
Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM ₹1,455 ₹1,086 -25%
Samsung SDS Co 018260 199,300 KRW 196,390 KRW -1%
Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT ₹5,059 ₹2,364 -53%
Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 393,000 KRW 133,088 KRW -66%
Coforge Limited COFORGE ₹1,541 ₹702.84 -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CognoGroup, Inc (CGNO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0170 versus a price of $0.0195, about −13% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CGNO?
Our model-based fair value for CognoGroup, Inc is $0.0170 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0195.
What is the quality score of CGNO?
CognoGroup, Inc has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CognoGroup, Inc (CGNO)?
CognoGroup, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CGNO?
The net profit margin of CognoGroup, Inc is about 6.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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