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Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Chayo Group Public Company Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Financial Services · TH

CG Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Chayo Group Public Company Limited

CHAYO · BK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value 0.6600 THB · Strongly overvalued (−48%)
!Quality 37/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +35.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -25.0% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 31/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 2 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

14.92 THB 0.9900 THB Fair Value 0.6600 THB Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.9900 THB – 14.92 THB · fair‑value band 0.3300 THB – 0.6600 THB · the 1.26 THB price screens above the 0.6600 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Chayo Group Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, invests in and manages non-performing assets.

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Chayo Group Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, invests in and manages non-performing assets. The company offers negotiation and debt collection; manages non-performing assets from purchases; and transfers secured and non-secured non-performing assets from the financial institutions and credit facility companies, loan, and recruitment services. It also provides call center and recruitment services; and manages auctions for secured and unsecured debts, and non-performing loans from non-financial companies. The company serves financial institutions and private companies in the information and communication technology sector. Chayo Group Public Company Limited was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.

Stock analysis

Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO) currently trades at 1.26 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.6600 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 90.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 0.3300 THB (bear) to 0.6600 THB (bull), the price of 1.26 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Chayo Group Public Company Limited reported revenue of 2.2B THB in FY2025 versus 720M THB in FY2021, a compound +32.1%/yr. Reported net income was −543M THB in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.7B THB (≈ $50.0M) · P/S ratio 0.79 · EPS (TTM) −0.4500 THB · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin −24.7% · Return on equity −9.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0% · Operating margin 49.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −48%, CHAYO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.3300 THB Fair Value 0.6600 THB Bull 0.6600 THB
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 0.3300 THB 0.6600 THB 0.9900 THB 67
DDM Multi-Stage 0.3300 THB 0.6600 THB 0.6600 THB 67
NCAV (Graham) 42.57 THB 57.09 THB 85.14 THB 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.3300 THB 0.6600 THB 0.9900 THB 67
DDM Multi-Stage 0.3300 THB 0.6600 THB 0.6600 THB 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 42.57 THB 57.09 THB 85.14 THB 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 76
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.3%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.0%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+35.6%
Revenue growth 11 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+39.0%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
43.2% (2020) → −9.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

CHAYO screens 91% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Credit Services · 335 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −25% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 49% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −15% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.22× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 38
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 39
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)39 · sector 59
DIVIDEND (yield)2 · sector 64

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $370.45 $225.86 −39%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $569.19 $350.52 −38%
American Express Company AXP $324.69 $206.40 −36%
Capital One Financial Corporation COF $208.30 $125.36 −40%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,034 ₹397.70 −62%
PayPal Holdings PYPL $53.72 $96.99 +81%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,028 ₹553.82 −46%
Affirm Holdings AFRM $71.44 $16.24 −77%
Synchrony Financial, SYF $75.99 $137.28 +81%
SoFi Technologies, Inc SOFI $17.32 $5.02 −71%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chayo Group Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CHAYO

Frequently asked questions

Is Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.6600 THB versus a price of 1.26 THB, about −48% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CHAYO?
Our model-based fair value for Chayo Group Public Company Limited is 0.6600 THB (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.26 THB.
What is the quality score of CHAYO?
Chayo Group Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.6600 THB (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.3300 THB, optimistic scenario 0.6600 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chayo Group Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.6600 THB, about −48% upside versus a price of 1.26 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.3300 THB, optimistic scenario 0.6600 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO)?
Chayo Group Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Chayo Group Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
Chayo Group Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.11% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chayo Group Public Company Limited it is 0.6600 THB per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 1.26 THB. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chayo Group Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, CHAYO trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.26 THB, fair value 0.6600 THB, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CHAYO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.26 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.6600 THB). For Chayo Group Public Company Limited the two are 0.6000 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chayo Group Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Chayo Group Public Company Limited at about 1.7B THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 1.26 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 0.6600 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CHAYO?
Our models span a range for Chayo Group Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 0.3300 THB, base 0.6600 THB, optimistic 0.6600 THB per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 1.26 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chayo Group Public Company Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −9.6%, debt of 1.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CHAYO from its 52-week high?
Chayo Group Public Company Limited trades at 1.26 THB, about 43% below its 52-week high of 2.22 THB and 30% above the low of 0.9700 THB (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.6600 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chayo Group Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Visa Inc, Mastercard Incorporated, American Express Company, Capital One Financial Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chayo Group Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 1.26 THB, calculated fair value 0.6600 THB (−48%), Quality Score 37/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CHAYO calculated?
We run Chayo Group Public Company Limited through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.6600 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Chayo Group Public Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Chayo Group Public Company Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.6600 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (0.3300 THB to 0.6600 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO) come from?
Earnings per share at Chayo Group Public Company Limited grew +25.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +26.4 %, EBIT margin −2.8 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Chayo Group Public Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO)?
The market capitalisation of Chayo Group Public Company Limited is 1.7B THB (≈ $50.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chayo Group Public Company Limited is 0.79 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO)?
Earnings per share at Chayo Group Public Company Limited are −0.4500 THB. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO)?
The dividend yield of Chayo Group Public Company Limited is 0.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO)?
The net margin of Chayo Group Public Company Limited is −24.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chayo Group Public Company Limited is −9.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chayo Group Public Company Limited is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO)?
The operating margin of Chayo Group Public Company Limited is 49.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO)?
Revenue at Chayo Group Public Company Limited is growing −14.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +30.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO)?
Earnings per share at Chayo Group Public Company Limited are growing +25.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO) generate?
The free cash flow of Chayo Group Public Company Limited is −374M THB (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Chayo Group Public Company Limited (CHAYO) carry?
The net debt of Chayo Group Public Company Limited is 4.3B THB (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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