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Critical Minerals Group (CMG) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$9.8M

CM Critical Minerals Group CMG · AU
PriceA$0.0900
Fair ValueA$0.0360
Upside-60.0%
Quality91/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0360 – A$0.0540

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from A$0.1500 to A$0.0360 (−76.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$0.2200 A$0.0700 Fair Value A$0.0360 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$0.0700 – A$0.2200 · fair‑value band A$0.0360 – A$0.0540 · the A$0.0900 price screens above the A$0.0360 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Critical Minerals Group (CMG) currently trades at A$0.0900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0360 — implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 91/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$554K. It earns a return on equity of -83.6%. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$554K
Revenue growth (YoY) +759%
Return on equity -83.6%
Free cash flow −A$3.0M FY2025
Operating margin -32,083%
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0300
More key figures
Net debt A$960K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Critical Minerals Group Limited engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mineral resources in Australia. It explores alumina, vanadium, molybdenum, copper, and gold deposits. The company's flagship project is the Lindfield project comprising 92 sub-blocks covering an area of 295 square kilometers located in Julia Creek. Critical Minerals Group Limited was founded in 2021 and is headquartered in Brisbane, Australia.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Critical Minerals Group reported revenue of A$0 in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −A$2.7M in FY2025.

Revenue
FY22 A$0
FY23 A$0
FY24 A$63.7K
FY25 A$0
Net income
FY21 −A$8.8K
FY22 −A$935K
FY23 −A$1.4M
FY24 −A$1.8M
FY25 −A$2.7M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Critical Minerals Group (CMG) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0360 versus a price of A$0.0900 — about −60% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CMG?
Our 21-model fair value for Critical Minerals Group is A$0.0360 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0900.
What is the quality score of CMG?
Critical Minerals Group has a Quality Score of 91/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Critical Minerals Group (CMG)?
Critical Minerals Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$554K (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CMG?
The net profit margin of Critical Minerals Group is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.