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Computer Modelling Group (CMG) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CA · Market cap C$293M

CM Computer Modelling Group CMG · TO
PriceC$3.61
Fair ValueC$4.47
Upside+23.8%
Quality97/100
Evidence: High Range C$3.32 – C$5.58

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −9.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

C$8.36 C$3.56 Fair Value C$4.47 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range C$3.56 – C$8.36 · fair‑value band C$3.32 – C$5.58 · the C$3.61 price screens below the C$4.47 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Computer Modelling Group (CMG) currently trades at C$3.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$4.47 — implying the stock looks roughly 23.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 97/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Computer Modelling Group generated revenue of C$126M at a net margin of 13.8%. It earns a return on equity of 21.2%. Net debt stands at C$19.0M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 17.9. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$126M
Net margin 13.8%
Return on equity 21.2%
Free cash flow C$28.7M FY2026
P/E ratio 17.9
Operating margin 29.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) C$0.2100
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +12.4%
Net debt C$19.0M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Computer Modelling Group Ltd., a software and consulting technology company, engages in the development and licensing of reservoir simulation and seismic interpretation software and related services. The company offers CMOST, an optimization and analysis tool that offers solution for reservoir by combining statistical analysis, machine learning, and impartial data interpretation; IMEX, a black oil reservoir simulator that is used to model primary, secondary, and tertiary oil recovery processes in conventional and unconventional reservoirs; and GEM, an equation of state reservoir simulator software for compositional, chemical, and unconventional reservoir modelling. It also provides CoFlow, a integrated production system modelling software that allows reservoir and production engineers; STARS, a thermal and advanced processes simulator in thermal, chemical enhanced oil recovery, and other advanced processes; and Builder, a pre-processor for simulation model building. In addition, the…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Computer Modelling Group reported revenue of C$126M in FY2026 versus C$66.2M in FY2022, a compound +17.5%/yr. Reported net income was C$17.4M in FY2026, compounding −1.4%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue +17.5%/yr
FY22 C$66.2M
FY23 C$73.8M
FY24 C$109M
FY25 C$129M
FY26 C$126M
Net income −1.4%/yr
FY22 C$18.4M
FY23 C$19.8M
FY24 C$26.3M
FY25 C$22.4M
FY26 C$17.4M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Computer Modelling Group (CMG) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$4.47 versus a price of C$3.61 — about +24% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of CMG?
Our 21-model fair value for Computer Modelling Group is C$4.47 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$3.61.
What is the quality score of CMG?
Computer Modelling Group has a Quality Score of 97/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Computer Modelling Group (CMG)?
Computer Modelling Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$126M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CMG?
The net profit margin of Computer Modelling Group is about 13.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Computer Modelling Group pay a dividend?
Computer Modelling Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.05% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.