Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jun 8, 2026: fair value of Calavo Growers Inc $17.80, price $26.09, upside -31.8%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $18.10 – $75.24 · fair‑value band $12.78 – $23.83 · the $26.09 price screens above the $17.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Calavo Growers, Inc. engages in the sourcing, packing, and distribution of fresh avocados, tomatoes, and papayas, as well as the processing of guacamole and other avocado products for retail grocers, club and mass-merchandise stores, foodservice operators, and wholesalers worldwide. It operates through Fresh and Prepared segments.
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Calavo Growers, Inc. engages in the sourcing, packing, and distribution of fresh avocados, tomatoes, and papayas, as well as the processing of guacamole and other avocado products for retail grocers, club and mass-merchandise stores, foodservice operators, and wholesalers worldwide. It operates through Fresh and Prepared segments. The company provides avocados, tomatoes, and papayas, along with guacamole and avocado pulp. It offers its products under the Calavo brand, as well as the Avo Fresco, Bueno, Calavo Gold, Celebrate the Taste, El Dorado, Taste of Paradise, The First Name in Avocados, The Family of Fresh, ProRipeVIP, and RIPE NOW! trademarks. Calavo Growers, Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Santa Paula, California. As of May 28, 2026, Calavo Growers, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Mission Produce, Inc.
Stock analysis
Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW) currently trades at $26.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.80, 31.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $18.83 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the $26.09 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $7.76, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $12.78 (bear) to $23.83 (bull), the price of $26.09 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
Calavo Growers Inc reported revenue of $648M in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound −11.5%/yr. Reported net income was $19.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $467M · P/E ratio 29.0 · P/S ratio 0.89 · EPS (TTM) $0.9000 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 3.1% · Return on equity 8.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −32%, CVGW screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $12.78Fair Value $17.80Bull $23.83
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 11 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0923 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−8.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−11.9% vs −3.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.3%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food Distribution · 83 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−31.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8.0% · Above median
Return on assets4.0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2.6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)3.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−20.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.19× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)29.0× · Pricier than median
P/B2.26× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)0.76× · Pricier than median
P/FCF24.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA16.8× · Priciest 25%
PEG3.44× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 9
PAST (return on equity)32· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)91· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)61· sector 66
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.80 versus the last price from Jun 8, 2026 of $26.09, about −32% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CVGW?
Our model-based fair value for Calavo Growers Inc is $17.80 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jun 8, 2026): $26.09.
What is the quality score of CVGW?
Calavo Growers Inc has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $17.80 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $12.78, optimistic scenario $23.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Calavo Growers Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $17.80, about −32% upside versus the last price from Jun 8, 2026 of $26.09 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $12.78, optimistic scenario $23.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW)?
Calavo Growers Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $616M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Calavo Growers Inc pay a dividend?
Calavo Growers Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.07% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Calavo Growers Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +12.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -9.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CVGW use?
Our models discount Calavo Growers Inc at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.43, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Calavo Growers Inc that is +12.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Calavo Growers Inc grew -9.4 % a year. The price currently implies +12.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Calavo Growers Inc (+12.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.15 %: that much free cash flow Calavo Growers Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Calavo Growers Inc it is $17.80 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $26.09. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Calavo Growers Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CVGW trades above its calculated fair value: price $26.09, fair value $17.80, a gap of about −32% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CVGW?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($26.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($17.80). For Calavo Growers Inc the two are $8.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Calavo Growers Inc worth?
The market values Calavo Growers Inc at about $467M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $26.09; our models calculate a fair value of $17.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CVGW?
Our models span a range for Calavo Growers Inc: cautious scenario $12.78, base $17.80, optimistic $23.83 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $26.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CVGW?
Calavo Growers Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $17.80 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.4, P/B 2.3, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 16.8.
What is the PEG ratio of CVGW?
The PEG ratio of Calavo Growers Inc is 3.44 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW)?
Balance-sheet figures for Calavo Growers Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.0%, debt of 0.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CVGW from its 52-week high?
Calavo Growers Inc trades at $26.09, about 9% below its 52-week high of $28.52 and 44% above the low of $18.10 (as of Jun 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $17.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Calavo Growers Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding, Performance Food Group, Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Calavo Growers Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $26.09, calculated fair value $17.80 (−32%), Quality Score 67/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CVGW calculated?
We run Calavo Growers Inc through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $17.80, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Calavo Growers Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW)?
The latest price we hold is from Jun 8, 2026 and stands at $26.09. Our model-based fair value is $17.80, about −32% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Calavo Growers Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($23.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($12.78 to $23.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Calavo Growers Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW)?
The market capitalisation of Calavo Growers Inc is $467M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Calavo Growers Inc is 0.89 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW)?
Earnings per share at Calavo Growers Inc are $0.9000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW)?
The dividend yield of Calavo Growers Inc is 3.1% (payout 88.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW)?
The net margin of Calavo Growers Inc is 3.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Calavo Growers Inc is 8.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Calavo Growers Inc is 2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW)?
The operating margin of Calavo Growers Inc is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW)?
Revenue at Calavo Growers Inc is growing −20.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW)?
Earnings per share at Calavo Growers Inc are growing −83.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Calavo Growers Inc (CVGW) hold?
Calavo Growers Inc holds more cash than debt, $37.7M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026