Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Bid Corporation Limited $24.73, price $27.25, upside -9.3%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.29 – $27.64 · fair‑value band $14.43 – $32.15 · the $27.25 price screens above the $24.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Bid Corporation Limited engages in the provision of foodservice solutions in the United Kingdom, Australia, the Netherlands, Italy, New Zealand, Czech Republic, Belgium, South Africa, the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally.
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Bid Corporation Limited engages in the provision of foodservice solutions in the United Kingdom, Australia, the Netherlands, Italy, New Zealand, Czech Republic, Belgium, South Africa, the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company distributes fresh ingredients, including fish, seafood, meat, produce, dairy products, liquor, and ambient goods for the hospitality, institutional, catering, and retail sectors; and develops e-commerce solutions. It also manufactures and distributes meat, poultry, dairy, and general food ingredients, as well as baking ingredients and equipment; manufactures ice cream; and offers a multi-temperature foodservice for various ambient, and chilled and frozen food products, as well as various other non-food catering. Bid Corporation Limited was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa.
Stock analysis
Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF) currently trades at $27.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.73, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 10.2%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $27.76 per share, and 7 of the 25 models we run sit above the $27.25 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $5.67, and 18 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $14.43 (bear) to $32.15 (bull), the price of $27.25 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Bid Corporation Limited reported revenue of 236B ZAR in FY2025 versus 115B ZAR in FY2021, a compound +19.7%/yr. Reported net income was 8.2B ZAR in FY2025, compounding +27.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $9.2B · P/E ratio 16.8 · P/S ratio 0.58 · EPS (TTM) $1.62 · Net margin 3.5% · Return on equity 19.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.3% · Operating margin 5.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −9%, BPPPF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $14.43Fair Value $24.73Bull $32.15
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.9% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in ZAR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in ZAR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+21.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+21.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.21.3% vs 12.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+34.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in ZAR, South Africa: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +30.3% a year for the price and +0.8% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (2 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Compare Bid Corporation Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food Distribution · 83 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside+18.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)19.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets7.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)3.6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)5.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)47.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.31× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
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Is Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $24.73 versus the last price from Sep 23, 2026 of $27.25, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of BPPPF?
Our model-based fair value for Bid Corporation Limited is $24.73 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 23, 2026): $27.25.
What is the quality score of BPPPF?
Bid Corporation Limited has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $24.73 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $14.43, optimistic scenario $32.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bid Corporation Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $24.73, about −9% upside versus the last price from Sep 23, 2026 of $27.25 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $14.43, optimistic scenario $32.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF)?
Bid Corporation Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 244B ZAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Bid Corporation Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +34.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +14.2 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of BPPPF use?
Our models discount Bid Corporation Limited at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.24, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Bid Corporation Limited that is +34.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Bid Corporation Limited grew +14.2 % a year. The price currently implies +34.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Bid Corporation Limited (+34.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.16 %: that much free cash flow Bid Corporation Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bid Corporation Limited it is $24.73 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $27.25. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bid Corporation Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, BPPPF trades above its calculated fair value: price $27.25, fair value $24.73, a gap of about −9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of BPPPF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($27.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($24.73). For Bid Corporation Limited the two are $2.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bid Corporation Limited worth?
The market values Bid Corporation Limited at about $9.2B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $27.25; our models calculate a fair value of $24.73 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about BPPPF?
Our models span a range for Bid Corporation Limited: cautious scenario $14.43, base $24.73, optimistic $32.15 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $27.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of BPPPF?
Bid Corporation Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.8 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $24.73 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.2, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 10.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bid Corporation Limited (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 19.3%, debt of 0.31 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is BPPPF from its 52-week high?
Bid Corporation Limited trades at $27.25, about 1% below its 52-week high of $27.64 and 16% above the low of $23.54 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $24.73 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bid Corporation Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding, Performance Food Group, Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bid Corporation Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $27.25, calculated fair value $24.73 (−9%), Quality Score 52/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of BPPPF calculated?
We run Bid Corporation Limited through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $24.73, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Bid Corporation Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 23, 2026 and stands at $27.25. Our model-based fair value is $24.73, about −9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bid Corporation Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($14.43 to $32.15) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF) come from?
Earnings per share at Bid Corporation Limited grew +12.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.4 %, EBIT margin +5.4 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Bid Corporation Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF)?
The market capitalisation of Bid Corporation Limited is $9.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bid Corporation Limited is 0.58 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF)?
Earnings per share at Bid Corporation Limited are $1.62 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF)?
The net margin of Bid Corporation Limited is 3.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bid Corporation Limited is 19.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bid Corporation Limited is 9.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF)?
The operating margin of Bid Corporation Limited is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF)?
Revenue at Bid Corporation Limited is growing +7.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF)?
Earnings per share at Bid Corporation Limited are growing +16.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Bid Corporation Limited (BPPPF) carry?
The net debt of Bid Corporation Limited is 14.4B ZAR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026