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Sysco Corporation (SYY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $39.3B

SC Sysco Corporation logo Sysco Corporation SYY · US
Price$84.35
Fair Value$60.58
Upside-28.2%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.1% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
2.68% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range $27.54 – $99.12 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $60.42 to $60.58 (+0.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −0.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 28% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($27.54 to $99.12). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$89.88 $58.13 Fair Value $60.58 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $58.13 – $89.88 · fair‑value band $27.54 – $99.12 · the $84.35 price screens above the $60.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Sysco Corporation (SYY) currently trades at $84.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $60.58, implying the stock looks roughly 28.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sysco Corporation generated revenue of $83.6B at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 81.9%. Net debt stands at $13.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $27.54 (bear case) to $99.12 (bull case); at $84.35, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -28%, SYY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $19.26 $39.79 $69.12 80
Residual Income $17.12 $24.36 $295.65 76
Rev-Margin DCF $27.52 $60.50 $98.08 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $18.50 $41.62 $76.74 38
Owner Earnings $23.86 $49.93 $89.53 31
5Y Revenue Exit $27.52 $60.73 $103.23 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $40.33 $84.61 $136.31 41
5Y P/E Exit $24.27 $54.66 $86.40 38
10Y Revenue Exit $22.06 $51.59 $91.37 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $32.00 $68.14 $116.54 37
10Y P/E Exit $21.77 $47.39 $78.57 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $26.00 $79.54 $105.61 54
Lynch FV $17.10 $24.43 $31.76 50
PEG = 1.0 $17.10 $24.43 $31.76 46
EPV $26.20 $34.51 $41.77 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $19.20 $39.92 $63.34 70
DDM Multi-Stage $19.20 $31.51 $41.90 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $57.34 $76.46 $95.57 63
P/S Multiple $48.74 $64.99 $81.23 58
P/B Multiple $8.61 $11.48 $14.35 55
EV/EBIT $63.57 $92.63 $121.69 53
EV/EBITDA $61.50 $89.87 $118.24 54
EV/Revenue $35.16 $60.34 $85.53 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.91 $2.56 $3.83 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $19.26 $39.79 $69.12 80
Rev-Margin DCF $27.52 $60.50 $98.08 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $17.12 $24.36 $295.65 76
ROIC Compounder $29.65 $43.76 $60.27 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $47.38 $67.69 $87.99 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($67.69) versus Asset-Based ($2.56). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $83.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.7%
Net margin 2.1%
Return on equity 81.9%
Free cash flow $1.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 20.7
More key figures
Operating margin 3.8%
EPS (TTM) $3.60
Dividend yield 2.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -13.5%
Net debt $13.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 74
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sysco Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the marketing and distribution of various food and related products to the foodservice or food-away-from-home industry in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, and internationally. It operates through U.S.

Full company description

Sysco Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the marketing and distribution of various food and related products to the foodservice or food-away-from-home industry in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, and internationally. It operates through U.S. Foodservice Operations, International Foodservice Operations, SYGMA, and Other segments. The company distributes frozen food, such as meat, seafood, fully prepared entrées, fruits, vegetables, and desserts; canned and dry food products; fresh meat and seafood products; dairy products; beverages; imported specialties; and fresh produce products. It also supplies various non-food items, including paper products comprising disposable napkins, plates, and cups; tableware consisting of glassware and silverware; cookware, such as pots, pans, and utensils; restaurant and kitchen equipment and supplies; and cleaning supplies. It serves restaurants, hospitals and nursing facilities, schools and colleges, hotels and motels, industrial caterers, and other foodservice venues. Sysco Corporation was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sysco Corporation reported revenue of $81.4B in FY2025 versus $51.3B in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was $1.8B in FY2025, compounding +36.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$81.4B
Latest YoY
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.0%
Avg. growth/yr (39Y)
+8.7%
Revenue +12.2%/yr
FY21 $51.3B
FY22 $68.6B
FY23 $76.3B
FY24 $78.8B
FY25 $81.4B
Net income +36.7%/yr
FY21 $524M
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $1.8B
FY24 $2.0B
FY25 $1.8B

SYY screens 28% overvalued. Compare with US Foods Holding →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sysco Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SYY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Food Distribution · 78 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −28% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 82% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 6.75× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 21.49× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.47× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 22.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.59× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 7
FUTURE 24 · sector 13
PAST 100 · sector 35
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 54 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
US Foods Holding USFD $99.13 $55.10 -44%
Performance Food Group PFGC $113.17 $37.94 -66%
Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT €17.68 €21.59 +22%
CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT 14.90 THB 17.04 THB +14%
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF $95.79 $37.27 -61%
Olam Group VC2 1.22 SGD 2.12 SGD +74%
United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI $50.19 $6.00 -88%
The Andersons, Inc ANDE $79.24 $47.78 -40%
Metcash Limited MTS A$2.92 A$5.33 +83%
Zhejiang Dongri Limited 600113 ¥31.11 ¥6.75 -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sysco Corporation (SYY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $60.58 versus a price of $84.35, about −28% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SYY?
Our model-based fair value for Sysco Corporation is $60.58 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $84.35.
What is the quality score of SYY?
Sysco Corporation has a Quality Score of 60/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sysco Corporation (SYY)?
Sysco Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $83.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SYY?
The net profit margin of Sysco Corporation is about 2.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sysco Corporation pay a dividend?
Sysco Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.87% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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