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FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico $3.09, price $2.38, upside +29.8%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
FIBRA Macquarie Mexico
DBMBF · USSpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.
✓Fair value $3.09 · Undervalued (+29.8%)
!Quality 49/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -28.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓5.5% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $1.30 to $5.47
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.3014 – $2.75 · fair‑value band $1.30 – $5.47 · the $2.38 price screens below the $3.09 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
FIBRA Macquarie Mexico is a real estate investment trust or FIBRA. The firm is listed on the Mexican Securities Exchange, specialized in industrial opportunities, commercial and office in Mexico, with a primary focus on stabilized properties and revenue-generating.
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FIBRA Macquarie Mexico is a real estate investment trust or FIBRA. The firm is listed on the Mexican Securities Exchange, specialized in industrial opportunities, commercial and office in Mexico, with a primary focus on stabilized properties and revenue-generating. As of December 31, 2025, FIBRA Macquarie's portfolio consists of 245 industrial properties and 17 commercial/office properties located in 20 cities in 16 states of the Mexican Republic. Nine of the commercial properties are part of a 50/50 joint venture. FIBRA Macquarie México was incorporated in November 14th 2012 in Mexico. As of May 29, 2026, FIBRA Macquarie México operates as a subsidiary of Fibra Mty, S.A.P.I. de C.V.
Stock analysis
FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF) currently trades at $2.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.09, implying the stock looks roughly 23.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $3.04 per share, and 4 of the 13 models we run sit above the $2.38 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $1.60, and 9 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $1.30 (bear) to $5.47 (bull), the price of $2.38 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
FIBRA Macquarie Mexico reported revenue of 5.1B MXN in FY2025 versus 3.8B MXN in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was −2.4B MXN in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.9B · P/S ratio 0.37 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1000 · Dividend yield 5.5% · Net margin −47.1% · Return on equity −3.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9% · Operating margin 69.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 27% fair-value upside, at 30%, DBMBF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.30
Fair Value $3.09
Bull $5.47
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.9800
$2.37
$4.46
76
Growth DCF
$0.9500
$2.18
$3.93
74
5Y EBITDA Exit
$1.43
$3.44
$5.93
72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.9800
$2.37
$4.46
76
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.6700
$1.89
$3.51
68
5Y EBITDA Exit
$1.43
$3.44
$5.93
72
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.7100
$1.84
$3.51
62
10Y EBITDA Exit
$1.22
$2.87
$5.34
64
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.9700
$1.75
$2.40
68
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.9700
$1.60
$1.87
67
Multiples
EV/EBIT
$2.91
$4.27
$5.64
65
EV/EBITDA
$1.98
$3.04
$4.09
66
EV/Revenue
$0.5200
$1.25
$1.99
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$1.42
$1.91
$2.85
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.9500
$2.18
$3.93
74
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.6700
$1.82
$3.26
68
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
49/100
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Profitability
3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
79
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
39/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.3% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
44.4% (2019) → 72.6% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Industrial · 53 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Real Estate sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Real Estate
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA | $284.79 | $231.96 | −19% |
| Prologis, Inc PLDGP | $51.10 | $65.89 | +29% |
| Extra Space Storage Inc EXR | $133.08 | $201.75 | +52% |
| EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP | $201.52 | $132.89 | −34% |
| Lineage, Inc LINE | $36.15 | $47.91 | +33% |
| CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U | 2.28 SGD | 2.89 SGD | +27% |
| Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR | $37.47 | $18.50 | −51% |
| CubeSmart CUBE | $37.53 | $34.92 | −7% |
| First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR | $61.17 | $18.59 | −70% |
| STAG Industrial, Inc STAG | $37.01 | $49.93 | +35% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.09 versus a price of $2.38, about +30% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DBMBF?
Our model-based fair value for FIBRA Macquarie Mexico is $3.09 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.38.
What is the quality score of DBMBF?
FIBRA Macquarie Mexico has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.09 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.30, optimistic scenario $5.47. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the FIBRA Macquarie Mexico stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.09, about +30% upside versus a price of $2.38 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.30, optimistic scenario $5.47. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF)?
FIBRA Macquarie Mexico reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.1B MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does FIBRA Macquarie Mexico pay a dividend?
FIBRA Macquarie Mexico currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.49% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For FIBRA Macquarie Mexico it is $3.09 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $2.38. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is FIBRA Macquarie Mexico stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DBMBF trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.38, fair value $3.09, a gap of about +30% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DBMBF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.09). For FIBRA Macquarie Mexico the two are $0.7100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is FIBRA Macquarie Mexico worth?
The market values FIBRA Macquarie Mexico at about $1.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $2.38; our models calculate a fair value of $3.09 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DBMBF?
Our models span a range for FIBRA Macquarie Mexico: cautious scenario $1.30, base $3.09, optimistic $5.47 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $2.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF)?
Balance-sheet figures for FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −3.3%, debt of 0.47 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DBMBF from its 52-week high?
FIBRA Macquarie Mexico trades at $2.38, about 14% below its 52-week high of $2.75 and 58% above the low of $1.50 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.09 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to FIBRA Macquarie Mexico?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500,, Prologis, Inc, Extra Space Storage Inc, EastGroup Properties, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is FIBRA Macquarie Mexico stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $2.38, calculated fair value $3.09 (+30%), Quality Score 49/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DBMBF calculated?
We run FIBRA Macquarie Mexico through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.09, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. FIBRA Macquarie Mexico currently trades 23 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $2.38. Our model-based fair value is $3.09, about +30% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with FIBRA Macquarie Mexico right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($1.30 to $5.47). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF) come from?
Earnings per share at FIBRA Macquarie Mexico grew +7.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.9 %, EBIT margin −0.5 %, tax rate +3.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico
How large is the market capitalisation of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF)?
The market capitalisation of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico is $1.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico is 0.37 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF)?
Earnings per share at FIBRA Macquarie Mexico are $−0.1000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF)?
The dividend yield of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico is 5.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF)?
The net margin of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico is −47.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico is −3.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF)?
The operating margin of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico is 69.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF)?
Revenue at FIBRA Macquarie Mexico is growing −4.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF)?
Earnings per share at FIBRA Macquarie Mexico are growing +690% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF) generate?
The free cash flow of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico is 1.8B MXN (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does FIBRA Macquarie Mexico (DBMBF) carry?
The net debt of FIBRA Macquarie Mexico is 18.6B MXN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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