EastGroup Properties, Inc (EGP) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $10.7B
EastGroup Properties, Inc
EGP · US
Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price −3.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 60% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($101.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $123.54 – $223.38 · fair‑value band $61.06 – $101.76 · the $202.74 price screens above the $81.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.
Analysis
EastGroup Properties, Inc (EGP) currently trades at $202.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $81.41, implying the stock looks roughly 59.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, EastGroup Properties, Inc generated revenue of $735M at a net margin of 39.8%. Revenue grew 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at $1.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $61.06 (bear case) to $101.76 (bull case); at $202.74, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -60%, EGP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($135.25) versus Asset-Based ($43.58). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
EastGroup Properties, Inc. a member of the S&P Mid-Cap 400 and Russell 2000 Indexes. It is a self-administered equity real estate investment trust focused on the development, acquisition and operation of industrial properties in high-growth markets throughout the United States with an emphasis in the states of Texas, Florida, California, Arizona and North …
Full company description
EastGroup Properties, Inc. a member of the S&P Mid-Cap 400 and Russell 2000 Indexes. It is a self-administered equity real estate investment trust focused on the development, acquisition and operation of industrial properties in high-growth markets throughout the United States with an emphasis in the states of Texas, Florida, California, Arizona and North Carolina. The Company's goal is to maximize shareholder value by being a leading provider in its markets of functional, flexible and quality business distribution space for location sensitive customers (primarily in the 20,000 to 100,000 square foot range). The Company's strategy for growth is based on ownership of premier distribution facilities generally clustered near major transportation features in supply-constrained submarkets. East Groups portfolio, including development projects and value-add acquisitions in lease-up and under construction, currently includes approximately 65.5 million square feet. EastGroup Properties, Inc. was incorporated in 1969 and is based in Ridgeland, United States.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
EastGroup Properties, Inc reported revenue of $721M in FY2025 versus $409M in FY2021, a compound +15.2%/yr. Reported net income was $257M in FY2025, compounding +13.1%/yr from FY2021.
EGP screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Prologis, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- PINE vs. EGP: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
- EastGroup Properties Inc (EGP) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Robust Growth and Strategic ...
- EastGroup Properties (EGP) Q2 FFO and Revenues Lag Estimates
- Eastgroup Properties FFO of $2.36 in-line, revenue of $193.33M misses by $0.47M
Peer Group
REIT - Industrial · 63 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Industrial median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prologis, Inc PLD | $143.42 | $61.28 | -57% |
| Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA | $322.48 | $172.80 | -46% |
| Extra Space Storage Inc EXR | $147.71 | $78.38 | -47% |
| Lineage, Inc LINE | $41.42 | $47.91 | +16% |
| CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U | 2.51 SGD | 2.00 SGD | -20% |
| CubeSmart CUBE | $42.09 | $25.06 | -40% |
| First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR | $66.99 | $21.48 | -68% |
| Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR | $39.00 | $21.35 | -45% |
| STAG Industrial, Inc STAG | $41.11 | $24.31 | -41% |
| FIBRA Prologis FIBRAPL14 | 76.48 MXN | 46.89 MXN | -39% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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