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Ecograf Ltd (EGR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ecograf Ltd stock A$0.14, price A$0.20, that is 28.8% below the price, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU0000071482

EL Ecograf Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Ecograf Ltd

EGR · AU
Expensive, in a downtrend

Our calculation puts a fair price 29% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 50/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +184.5 %/yr in AUD)
Revenue last quarter 17% below a year ago.
Fair value A$0.1424 · Overvalued
Loss-making · -70.9% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.9000 A$0.0760 Fair Value A$0.1424 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0760 – A$0.9000 · fair‑value band A$0.1068 – A$0.1781 · the A$0.2000 price screens above the A$0.1424 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

EcoGraf Limited engages in the exploration and production of graphite products for the lithium-ion battery and advanced manufacturing markets in Tanzania and Australia.

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It is also involved in the recycle and manufacture of battery anode materials offered to electric vehicle, battery, and anode manufacturers. The company was formerly known as Kibaran Resources Limited and changed its name to EcoGraf Limited in December 2019.

EcoGraf Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Ecograf Ltd (EGR) currently trades at A$0.2000, while our estimate is A$0.1424, 29% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.1068 (bear) to A$0.1781 (bull), the price of A$0.2000 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Ecograf Ltd reported revenue of A$1.5M in FY2024 versus A$3.0K in FY2020, a compound +372.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.2M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$94.3M (≈ $64.9M) Micro · P/S ratio 32.8 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −5.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −14.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin −69.1% · Revenue (TTM) A$3.1M · Revenue growth (YoY) −16.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −29%, EGR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.1068 Fair Value A$0.1424 Bull A$0.1781
Price A$0.2000 · Downside -28.8%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 84
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 22
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 82
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 67
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 3
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 69
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+166.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+184.5%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+147.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−41.1% (2019) → −603.1% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

EGR screens overvalued: fair value 29% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 577 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −28.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −4.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) −70.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −69.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −16.9% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.13× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 30.56× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹262.00 ₹334.17 +28% vs EGR
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 57.00 SAR 64.24 SAR +13% vs EGR
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥28.25 ¥30.98 +10% vs EGR
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹575.95 ₹624.91 +9% vs EGR
Boliden AB BOL kr 515.20 kr 464.45 −10% vs EGR
BHP Group BHP A$60.39 A$47.47 −21% vs EGR
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥32.69 ¥25.57 −22% vs EGR
Korea Zinc Company 010130 967,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −33% vs EGR
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.71 ¥6.82 −50% vs EGR
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥40.90 ¥4.44 −89% vs EGR

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Ecograf Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ecograf Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EGR

Frequently asked questions

Is Ecograf Ltd (EGR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.1424 versus a price of A$0.2000, about 29% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EGR?
Our estimate for Ecograf Ltd is A$0.1424 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.2000.
What is the quality score of EGR?
Ecograf Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ecograf Ltd (EGR)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.1424 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.1068, optimistic scenario A$0.1781. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Ecograf Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.1424, about 29% lower versus a price of A$0.2000 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.1068, optimistic scenario A$0.1781. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ecograf Ltd (EGR)?
Ecograf Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$3.1M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ecograf Ltd (EGR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ecograf Ltd it is A$0.1424 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$0.2000.
Is Ecograf Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, EGR trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.2000, fair value A$0.1424, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EGR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.2000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1424). For Ecograf Ltd the two are A$0.0576 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ecograf Ltd worth?
The market values Ecograf Ltd at about A$94.3M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$0.2000; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1424 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EGR?
Our models span a range for Ecograf Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.1068, base A$0.1424, optimistic A$0.1781 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$0.2000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ecograf Ltd (EGR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ecograf Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −5.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EGR from its 52-week high?
Ecograf Ltd trades at A$0.2000, about 63% below its 52-week high of A$0.5450 and 8% above the low of A$0.1850 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1424 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ecograf Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ecograf Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$0.2000, calculated fair value A$0.1424 (−29%), Quality Score 50/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Ecograf Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ecograf Ltd (EGR)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$0.2000. Our estimate is A$0.1424, about 29% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ecograf Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.1781). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Ecograf Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Ecograf Ltd (EGR)?
The market capitalisation of Ecograf Ltd is A$94.3M (≈ $64.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ecograf Ltd (EGR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ecograf Ltd is 32.8 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ecograf Ltd (EGR)?
Earnings per share at Ecograf Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Ecograf Ltd (EGR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ecograf Ltd is −5.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ecograf Ltd (EGR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ecograf Ltd is −14.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ecograf Ltd (EGR)?
The operating margin of Ecograf Ltd is −69.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ecograf Ltd (EGR)?
Revenue at Ecograf Ltd is growing −16.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +166%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Ecograf Ltd (EGR) generate?
The free cash flow of Ecograf Ltd is −A$8.2M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Ecograf Ltd (EGR) hold?
Ecograf Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$3.5M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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