Emilia Devel (EMDV) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Emilia Devel ILS 41.84, price ILS 20.80, upside +101.2%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 15.93 ILA – 30.37 ILA · fair‑value band 8.57 ILA – 41.84 ILA · the 20.80 ILA price screens below the 41.84 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Emilia Development (O.F.G) Ltd. manages a portfolio of investments in field of distribution, logistics, and industry services in Israel.
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Emilia Development (O.F.G) Ltd. manages a portfolio of investments in field of distribution, logistics, and industry services in Israel. The company provides hazardous, industrial, and medical waste treatment, as well as environmental protection services; sampling and analysis services to the food, agriculture, pharma, cosmetics, and environmental industries; and logistic services, as well as distributes chemicals and raw materials to the food and beverage, agriculture, plastics, construction, paint, detergent, cosmetics, pharma, and energy industries; operates lab for occupational and environmental monitoring; and accompanies, consults, and monitors the food and agricultural sectors. It is also involved in the production, import, market, and distribution of pipes, valves, and fittings for the construction, plumbing, sanitation, infrastructure, firefighting, and special metals industries; importing, processing, marketing, and distributing of metals and steels; technical and engineering composites for liquid transportation, water desalination, and the chip processing industries; and sanitary devices, faucets, tubs, shower stalls, and wet room complementary products. In addition, it manufactures polyethylene pipes; and provides ground transport services for containers and cargoes. Emilia Development (O.F.G) Ltd. was incorporated in 1945 and is based in Ramat Gan, Israel.
Stock analysis
Emilia Devel (EMDV) currently trades at 20.80 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 41.84 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 50.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 123.11 ILA per share, and 7 of the 13 models we run sit above the 20.80 ILA price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 6.99 ILA, and 6 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 8.57 ILA (bear) to 41.84 ILA (bull), the price of 20.80 ILA sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Emilia Devel reported revenue of 2.1B ILS in FY2025 versus 1.7B ILS in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was 34.3M ILS in FY2025, compounding +6.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 585M ILA · P/E ratio 13.8 · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) 1.51 ILA · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 1.6% · Return on equity 6.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at 101%, EMDV screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 8.57 ILAFair Value 41.84 ILABull 41.84 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.9743 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.1% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+2.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−3% vs −4%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−9.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.7% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 657 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Below median
Fair Value upside+100% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.33× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Emilia Devel Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EMDV
Frequently asked questions
Is Emilia Devel (EMDV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 41.84 ILA versus a price of 20.80 ILA, about +101% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EMDV?
Our model-based fair value for Emilia Devel is 41.84 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 20.80 ILA.
What is the quality score of EMDV?
Emilia Devel has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Emilia Devel (EMDV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 41.84 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 8.57 ILA, optimistic scenario 41.84 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Emilia Devel stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 41.84 ILA, about +101% upside versus a price of 20.80 ILA (undervalued). Cautious scenario 8.57 ILA, optimistic scenario 41.84 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Emilia Devel (EMDV)?
Emilia Devel reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Emilia Devel pay a dividend?
Emilia Devel currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.88% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Emilia Devel (EMDV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Emilia Devel would have to grow free cash flow by -9.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EMDV use?
Our models discount Emilia Devel at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.33, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Emilia Devel that is -9.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Emilia Devel (EMDV) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Emilia Devel grew +5.6 % a year. The price currently implies -9.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Emilia Devel (EMDV) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Emilia Devel (-9.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Emilia Devel (EMDV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 33.91 %: that much free cash flow Emilia Devel produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Emilia Devel (EMDV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Emilia Devel it is 41.84 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 20.80 ILA. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Emilia Devel stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, EMDV trades below its calculated fair value: price 20.80 ILA, fair value 41.84 ILA, a gap of about +101% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EMDV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (20.80 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (41.84 ILA). For Emilia Devel the two are 21.04 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Emilia Devel worth?
The market values Emilia Devel at about 585M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 20.80 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 41.84 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EMDV?
Our models span a range for Emilia Devel: cautious scenario 8.57 ILA, base 41.84 ILA, optimistic 41.84 ILA per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 20.80 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EMDV?
Emilia Devel trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 41.84 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 1.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Emilia Devel (EMDV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Emilia Devel (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 6.9%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EMDV from its 52-week high?
Emilia Devel trades at 20.80 ILA, about 28% below its 52-week high of 28.77 ILA and 22% above the low of 16.99 ILA (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 41.84 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Emilia Devel?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Emilia Devel stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 20.80 ILA, calculated fair value 41.84 ILA (+101%), Quality Score 57/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EMDV calculated?
We run Emilia Devel through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 41.84 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Emilia Devel currently trades 101 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Emilia Devel (EMDV)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 20.80 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 41.84 ILA, about +101% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Emilia Devel right now?
The model range is unusually wide (8.57 ILA to 41.84 ILA). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Emilia Devel (EMDV) come from?
Earnings per share at Emilia Devel grew +0.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.3 %, EBIT margin +6.7 %, tax rate −1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −7.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Emilia Devel
How large is the market capitalisation of Emilia Devel (EMDV)?
The market capitalisation of Emilia Devel is 585M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Emilia Devel (EMDV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Emilia Devel is 0.23 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Emilia Devel (EMDV)?
Earnings per share at Emilia Devel are 1.51 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Emilia Devel (EMDV)?
The dividend yield of Emilia Devel is 0.9% (payout 12.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Emilia Devel (EMDV)?
The net margin of Emilia Devel is 1.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Emilia Devel (EMDV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Emilia Devel is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Emilia Devel (EMDV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Emilia Devel is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Emilia Devel (EMDV)?
The operating margin of Emilia Devel is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Emilia Devel (EMDV)?
Revenue at Emilia Devel is growing −1.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Emilia Devel (EMDV)?
Earnings per share at Emilia Devel are growing +79.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Emilia Devel (EMDV) carry?
The net debt of Emilia Devel is 792M ILA (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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