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EMV Capital plc (EMVC) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · GB · Market cap 14.9M GBX

EC EMV Capital plc EMVC · LSE
Price£0.5250
Fair Value£0.1785
Upside-66.0%
Quality42/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -0.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: Low Range £0.0850 – £0.3910 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price +0.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 66% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (£0.3910). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (£0.0850 to £0.3910). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£1.77 £0.3582 Fair Value £0.1785 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.3582 – £1.77 · fair‑value band £0.0850 – £0.3910 · the £0.5250 price screens above the £0.1785 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

EMV Capital plc (EMVC) currently trades at £0.5250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.1785, implying the stock looks roughly 66.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, EMV Capital plc generated revenue of £2.9M at a net margin of -0.7%. Revenue grew 38.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.6%. Net debt stands at £2.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £0.0850 (bear case) to £0.3910 (bull case); at £0.5250, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -66%, EMVC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) £0.2700 £0.3600 £0.5400 50
Owner Earnings £0.1400 £0.2600 £0.4600 31
All 2 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings £0.1400 £0.2600 £0.4600 31
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.2700 £0.3600 £0.5400 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (£0.3600) versus DCF Models (£0.2600). Highest evidence: NCAV (Graham) (50).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.9M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +38.5%
Net margin -0.7%
Return on equity -4.6%
Free cash flow −1.3M GBX FY2025
Operating margin 56.5%
More key figures
Net debt 2.1M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

EMV Capital plc is a venture capital firm specializing in seed, growth capital, early and mid stage investments. The firm focuses to invest in sustainability, life science, technology, transformative biomedical, deep tech, semiconductors, industrials, robotics, AI and healthcare technologies focusing on digital health, diagnostics, and therapeutics sectors.

Full company description

EMV Capital plc is a venture capital firm specializing in seed, growth capital, early and mid stage investments. The firm focuses to invest in sustainability, life science, technology, transformative biomedical, deep tech, semiconductors, industrials, robotics, AI and healthcare technologies focusing on digital health, diagnostics, and therapeutics sectors. It also prefers to invest in companies that significantly improve the health and well-being of people with chronic diseases. Within digital health it focuses on data analytics, wearable technologies, and devices. The firm seeks to invest in companies based in European developed markets, United Kingdom and in the United States. It typically invests up to £15 million ($20.32 million), but may consider larger amounts. It prefers to hold a controlling interest in all principal subsidiaries. The firm prefers to invest through its balance sheet investments. EMV Capital plc was founded on 12 April 2012 and is based in London, United Kingdom with additional office in London, United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

EMV Capital plc reported revenue of £2.9M in FY2025 versus £1.1M in FY2021, a compound +26.8%/yr. Reported net income was −£21.0K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£2.9M
Latest YoY
+17.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+41.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+48.7%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+63.5%
Revenue +26.8%/yr
FY21 £1.1M
FY22 £1.0M
FY23 £1.4M
FY24 £2.5M
FY25 £2.9M
Net income
FY21 −£2.4M
FY22 −£3.1M
FY23 −£2.6M
FY24 −£3.1M
FY25 −£21.0K

EMVC screens 66% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EMV Capital plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EMVC

Peer Group

Asset Management · 972 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −66% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 56% · Below median
Revenue growth 39% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.32× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 7.00× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 69

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is EMV Capital plc (EMVC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.1785 versus a price of £0.5250, about −66% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EMVC?
Our model-based fair value for EMV Capital plc is £0.1785 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £0.5250.
What is the quality score of EMVC?
EMV Capital plc has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of EMV Capital plc (EMVC)?
EMV Capital plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £2.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EMVC?
The net profit margin of EMV Capital plc is about -0.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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