Exsitec Holding (EXS) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · SE · Market cap 1.4B SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +4.3% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 18% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from kr 94.22 (bear) to kr 159.87 (bull), base kr 127.89. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 96.80 – kr 235.53 · fair‑value band kr 94.22 – kr 159.87 · the kr 108.50 price screens below the kr 127.89 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Exsitec Holding (EXS) currently trades at kr 108.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 127.89, implying the stock looks roughly 17.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Exsitec Holding generated revenue of 893M SEK at a net margin of 10.2%. Revenue declined 0.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.7%. Net debt stands at 350M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 94.22 (bear case) to kr 159.87 (bull case); at kr 108.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 18%, EXS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 181.93) versus Asset-Based (kr 25.39). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Exsitec Holding AB (publ) provides digital solutions to medium-sized companies in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, and Finland. It offers ERP systems; AP automation; cloud-based payroll system; budget and forecasting; analytics and reporting; CRM system; procurement; warehouse management; service, construction, and contracting system; integrations; application …
Full company description
Exsitec Holding AB (publ) provides digital solutions to medium-sized companies in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, and Finland. It offers ERP systems; AP automation; cloud-based payroll system; budget and forecasting; analytics and reporting; CRM system; procurement; warehouse management; service, construction, and contracting system; integrations; application development; IT operations; e-commerce; project management; and digital marketing solutions. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Linköping, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Exsitec Holding reported revenue of kr 895M in FY2025 versus kr 536M in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was kr 85.9M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 475 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $235.92 | $143.90 | -39% |
| Accenture plc ACNN | 2,460 MXN | 250.95 MXN | -90% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,156 | ₹1,457 | +26% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,204 | ₹1,230 | +2% |
| Wipro Limited WIPRO | ₹178.43 | ₹226.81 | +27% |
| Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM | ₹1,455 | ₹1,086 | -25% |
| Samsung SDS Co 018260 | 199,300 KRW | 196,390 KRW | -1% |
| Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT | ₹5,059 | ₹2,364 | -53% |
| Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 | 393,000 KRW | 133,088 KRW | -66% |
| Coforge Limited COFORGE | ₹1,541 | ₹702.84 | -54% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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