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FutureFuel Corp (FF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $186M

FC FutureFuel Corp logo FutureFuel Corp FF · US
Price$4.16
Fair Value$1.44
Upside-65.4%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.9500 – $1.80

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 25, 2026 — revised from $10.58 to $1.44 (−86.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +12.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$4.46 $2.69 Fair Value $1.44 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $2.69 – $4.46 · fair‑value band $0.9500 – $1.80 · the $4.16 price screens above the $1.44 fair value. As of Jun 25, 2026.

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Analysis

FutureFuel Corp (FF) currently trades at $4.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.44 — implying the stock looks roughly 65.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, FutureFuel Corp generated revenue of $110M at a net margin of -47.1%. Revenue grew 82.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -31.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $51.3M. Fundamentals as of Jun 25, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $110M
Revenue growth (YoY) +82.2%
Net margin -47.1%
Return on equity -31.4%
Free cash flow −$46.0M FY2025
Operating margin -65.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.19
Dividend yield 5.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -88.7%
Net cash $51.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

FutureFuel Corp., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells diversified inorganic chemicals, bio-based fuel, and bio-based specialty chemical products in the United States. It operates through two segments: Chemicals and Biofuels. The Chemicals segment includes custom chemicals that are used in coatings, chemical intermediates, industrial and consumer cleaning, oil and gas, and specialty chemicals for specific customers under long-term contracts; and performance chemicals, which are multi-customer specialty products such as polymer modifiers, specialty solvents, surfactants, and glycerin products. The Biofuels segment is involved in the production and sale of biodiesel and petrodiesel blends; markets its biodiesel products directly to customers through trucks, barges, and rail cars; and biodiesel using a variety of feedstocks, including soy oil, poultry fat, used cooking oil, and tallow, and generates and sells byproducts such as glycerin and distillation residue. The c…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

FutureFuel Corp reported revenue of $95.7M in FY2025 versus $321M in FY2021, a compound −26.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$49.4M in FY2025.

Revenue −26.1%/yr
FY21 $321M
FY22 $396M
FY23 $368M
FY24 $243M
FY25 $95.7M
Net income
FY21 $26.3M
FY22 $15.2M
FY23 $37.4M
FY24 $15.5M
FY25 −$49.4M

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Frequently asked questions

Is FutureFuel Corp (FF) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.44 versus a price of $4.16 — about −65% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of FF?
Our 21-model fair value for FutureFuel Corp is $1.44 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.16.
What is the quality score of FF?
FutureFuel Corp has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of FutureFuel Corp (FF)?
FutureFuel Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $110M (latest available figure, as of Jun 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FF?
The net profit margin of FutureFuel Corp is about -47.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does FutureFuel Corp pay a dividend?
FutureFuel Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.67% relative to its recent price (as of Jun 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.