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Fosun International Limited (FOSUF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Fosun International Limited $0.54, price $0.67, upside -19.9%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · US · Home Hong Kong · ISIN HK0656038673

FI Fosun International Limited logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Fosun International Limited

FOSUF · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $0.5369 · Overvalued (−19.9%)
!Quality 45/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +6.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -13.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $0.2937 to $0.9496

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$2.14 $0.3794 Fair Value $0.5369 Jun 2015 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.3794 – $2.14 · fair‑value band $0.2937 – $0.9496 · the $0.6700 price screens above the $0.5369 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Fosun International Limited operates in the health, happiness, wealth, and intelligent manufacturing sectors in Mainland China, Portugal, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Health, Happiness, Insurance, Asset Management, and Intelligent Manufacturing.

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Fosun International Limited operates in the health, happiness, wealth, and intelligent manufacturing sectors in Mainland China, Portugal, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Health, Happiness, Insurance, Asset Management, and Intelligent Manufacturing. The Health segment engages in the research, development, manufacture, sale, and trading of pharmaceutical and health products; and provision of medical and health management services. The Happiness segment operates and invests in tourism and leisure, fashion consumer, and lifestyle industries. The Insurance segment operates and invests in the insurance business. The Asset Management segment engages in the operation and investment of asset management, market investments, and investments in other companies of the Group. The Intelligent Manufacturing segment operates and invests in the intelligent manufacturing business; and produces iron, steel, new functional material, and ore. It is also involved in the capital investment and management, property development, retail, and medical research; tourism business; sale of iron and steel products; retail of jewelry; underwriting of life and non-life insurance; manufacture and trading of dairy products, and wine and beverage; reinsurance services; and provision of banking and financial services, as well as digital and intelligent solutions. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. Fosun International Limited is a subsidiary of Fosun Holdings Limited.

Stock analysis

Fosun International Limited (FOSUF) currently trades at $0.6700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5369, 19.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $1.15 per share, and 3 of the 5 models we run sit above the $0.6700 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.0600, and 2 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $0.2937 (bear) to $0.9496 (bull), the price of $0.6700 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Fosun International Limited reported revenue of 169B CNY in FY2025 versus 161B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was −22.8B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $5.4B · P/S ratio 0.02 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0800 · Net margin −13.5% · Return on equity −12.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% · Operating margin −28.3% · Revenue (TTM) 173B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −20%, FOSUF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.2937 Fair Value $0.5369 Bull $0.9496
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $4.44 $7.70 $12.63 74
Rev-Margin DCF $3.24 $5.83 $8.95 69
Gordon GGM $0.0300 $0.0700 $0.1000 64
All 5 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0300 $0.0700 $0.1000 64
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0300 $0.0600 $0.0700 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8600 $1.15 $1.72 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $4.44 $7.70 $12.63 74
Rev-Margin DCF $3.24 $5.83 $8.95 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 87

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 11
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 90
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.2% (2020) → 25.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.8% a year for the price and +3.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+11.6%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.3%

FOSUF screens overvalued: fair value 20% below the price. Compare with 3M Company →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (93 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

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Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Fosun International Limited · Fair Value
$0.5369 −20%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fosun International Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FOSUF

Frequently asked questions

Is Fosun International Limited (FOSUF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5369 versus a price of $0.6700, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FOSUF?
Our model-based fair value for Fosun International Limited is $0.5369 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.6700.
What is the quality score of FOSUF?
Fosun International Limited has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Fosun International Limited (FOSUF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.5369 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2937, optimistic scenario $0.9496. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Fosun International Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.5369, about −20% upside versus a price of $0.6700 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.2937, optimistic scenario $0.9496. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Fosun International Limited (FOSUF)?
Fosun International Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 173B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Fosun International Limited (FOSUF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Fosun International Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -4.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FOSUF use?
Our models discount Fosun International Limited at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.46, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Fosun International Limited that is -4.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Fosun International Limited (FOSUF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Fosun International Limited grew +4.3 % a year. The price currently implies -4.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Fosun International Limited (FOSUF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Fosun International Limited (-4.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Fosun International Limited (FOSUF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 42.25 %: that much free cash flow Fosun International Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Fosun International Limited (FOSUF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Fosun International Limited it is $0.5369 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.6700. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Fosun International Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, FOSUF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.6700, fair value $0.5369, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FOSUF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.6700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.5369). For Fosun International Limited the two are $0.1331 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Fosun International Limited worth?
The market values Fosun International Limited at about $5.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.6700; our models calculate a fair value of $0.5369 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FOSUF?
Our models span a range for Fosun International Limited: cautious scenario $0.2937, base $0.5369, optimistic $0.9496 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.6700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is FOSUF from its 52-week high?
Fosun International Limited trades at $0.6700, at its 52-week high of $0.6700 and 56% above the low of $0.4300 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.5369 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Fosun International Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Swire Pacific Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Fosun International Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.6700, calculated fair value $0.5369 (−20%), Quality Score 45/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FOSUF calculated?
We run Fosun International Limited through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.5369, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Fosun International Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Fosun International Limited (FOSUF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.6700. Our model-based fair value is $0.5369, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Fosun International Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($0.2937 to $0.9496). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Fosun International Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Fosun International Limited (FOSUF)?
The market capitalisation of Fosun International Limited is $5.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Fosun International Limited (FOSUF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Fosun International Limited is 0.02 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Fosun International Limited (FOSUF)?
Earnings per share at Fosun International Limited are $−0.0800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Fosun International Limited (FOSUF)?
The net margin of Fosun International Limited is −13.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Fosun International Limited (FOSUF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Fosun International Limited is −12.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Fosun International Limited (FOSUF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Fosun International Limited is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Fosun International Limited (FOSUF)?
The operating margin of Fosun International Limited is −28.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Fosun International Limited (FOSUF)?
Revenue at Fosun International Limited is growing −8.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Fosun International Limited (FOSUF)?
Earnings per share at Fosun International Limited are growing −9.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Fosun International Limited (FOSUF) carry?
The net debt of Fosun International Limited is 165B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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