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Itaúsa S.A (ITSA3) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · BR · Market cap R$154B

IS Itaúsa S.A ITSA3 · SA
PriceR$12.68
Fair ValueR$25.44
Upside+100.6%
Quality57/100
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Weak Growth
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: Medium Range R$16.27 – R$36.74 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from R$25.11 to R$25.44 (+1.3%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price −9.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 101% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$16.27). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (R$16.27 to R$36.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$14.69 R$4.59 Fair Value R$25.44 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$4.59 – R$14.69 · fair‑value band R$16.27 – R$36.74 · the R$12.68 price screens below the R$25.44 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Itaúsa S.A (ITSA3) currently trades at R$12.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$25.44, implying the stock looks roughly 100.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at R$8.4B. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.4%. Net debt stands at R$7.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$16.27 (bear case) to R$36.74 (bull case); at R$12.68, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 101%, ITSA3 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF R$18.09 R$27.35 R$40.72 80
Residual Income R$9.30 R$11.28 R$24.60 76
Gordon GGM R$15.55 R$32.34 R$51.30 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings R$16.72 R$26.62 R$41.88 31
5Y P/E Exit R$19.38 R$32.16 R$45.64 38
10Y P/E Exit R$18.64 R$29.55 R$43.04 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$10.04 R$32.35 R$43.17 54
Lynch FV R$7.19 R$10.27 R$13.35 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$15.55 R$32.34 R$51.30 70
DDM Multi-Stage R$15.55 R$26.12 R$33.94 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$23.26 R$31.02 R$38.77 63
P/B Multiple R$18.83 R$25.11 R$31.39 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$3.98 R$5.33 R$7.95 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$18.09 R$27.35 R$40.72 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$9.30 R$11.28 R$24.60 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (R$29.55) versus Asset-Based (R$5.33). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) R$8.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.1%
Net margin 203%
Return on equity 18.4%
Free cash flow R$17.9B FY2025
P/E ratio 8.4 as of Jun 8, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 4.7%
EPS (TTM) R$1.52
EPS growth (YoY) +11.2%
Net debt R$7.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 54
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Itaúsa S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates a banking institution in Brazil and internationally. It operates through Dexco, Itaúsa, and Other segments. The company offers credit products, credit cards, asset management, investments, private banking, insurance, pension plans, and other financial services to individual and corporate clients.

Full company description

Itaúsa S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates a banking institution in Brazil and internationally. It operates through Dexco, Itaúsa, and Other segments. The company offers credit products, credit cards, asset management, investments, private banking, insurance, pension plans, and other financial services to individual and corporate clients. It also engages in the operation of platforms for highways, subways, trains, light rail, ferries, and airports; the distribution of LPG; and the transportation of natural gas through gas pipelines to distribution companies. In addition, the company manufactures and sells bathroom fixtures, fittings, and showers under the Deca, Hydra and Elizabeth brands; ceramic tiles under the Ceusa, Portinari, and Castelatto brands; medium- and high-density wood panels under the Duratex brand; laminate flooring under the Durafloor brand; dissolving wood pulp; and footwear, apparel, and textiles, as well as related components, including leather, resin, and natural and artificial rubber. Further, it provides private sanitation services. The company was formerly known as Itaúsa - Investimentos Itaú SA and changed its name to Itaúsa S.A. in June 2020. Itaúsa S.A. was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Itaúsa S.A reported revenue of R$8.2B in FY2025 versus R$23.1B in FY2021, a compound −22.7%/yr. Reported net income was R$16.5B in FY2025, compounding +7.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$8.2B
Latest YoY
+0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.8%
Revenue −22.7%/yr
FY21 R$23.1B
FY22 R$8.5B
FY23 R$7.4B
FY24 R$8.2B
FY25 R$8.2B
Net income +7.8%/yr
FY21 R$12.2B
FY22 R$13.7B
FY23 R$13.5B
FY24 R$14.8B
FY25 R$16.5B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +5.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share −7.3 pp

of which total revenue −6.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.1 pp

EBIT margin +4.8 pp
Tax rate +0.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +7.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Itaúsa S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ITSA3

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 385 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +101% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.11× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.34× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.56× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 21.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 26
FUTURE 31 · sector 17
PAST 74 · sector 18
HEALTH 94 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 39

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Itaúsa S.A (ITSA3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$25.44 versus a price of R$12.68, about +101% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ITSA3?
Our model-based fair value for Itaúsa S.A is R$25.44 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R$12.68.
What is the quality score of ITSA3?
Itaúsa S.A has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Itaúsa S.A (ITSA3)?
Itaúsa S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$8.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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