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Five Point Holdings (FPH) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $760M

FP Five Point Holdings logo Five Point Holdings FPH · US
Price$5.13
Fair Value$9.88
Upside+92.6%
Quality80/100
Evidence: Medium Range $8.87 – $12.56

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +8.7% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$6.09 $4.42 Fair Value $9.88 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $4.42 – $6.09 · fair‑value band $8.87 – $12.56 · the $5.13 price screens below the $9.88 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Five Point Holdings (FPH) currently trades at $5.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.88 — implying the stock looks roughly 92.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 80/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Five Point Holdings generated revenue of $110M at a net margin of 41.2%. Revenue grew 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. Net debt stands at $91.5M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $110M
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.2%
Net margin 41.2%
Return on equity 5.1%
Free cash flow $105M FY2025
P/E ratio 8.4
More key figures
Operating margin -70.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.6100
EPS growth (YoY) -52.3%
Net debt $91.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Five Point Holdings, LLC designs, develops, and owns mixed-use planned communities in California, the United States. It operates through Valencia, San Francisco, Great Park, and Hearthstone segments. The company sells residential and commercial land sites to homebuilders, commercial developers, and commercial buyers. It also provides development management services; and asset management services to land banking funds that are primarily focused on acquiring, developing, and managing residential lot option programs. The company was formerly known as Newhall Holding Company, LLC and changed its name to Five Point Holdings, LLC in May 2016. Five Point Holdings, LLC was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Irvine, California.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Five Point Holdings reported revenue of $110M in FY2025 versus $224M in FY2021, a compound −16.3%/yr. Reported net income was $71.0M in FY2025, compounding +81.3%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −16.3%/yr
FY21 $224M
FY22 $42.7M
FY23 $212M
FY24 $238M
FY25 $110M
Net income +81.3%/yr
FY21 $6.6M
FY22 −$15.4M
FY23 $55.4M
FY24 $68.3M
FY25 $71.0M

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6 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

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PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,675 IDR 1,330 IDR -80%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹862.00 ₹721.45 -16%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Five Point Holdings (FPH) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.88 versus a price of $5.13 — about +93% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of FPH?
Our 21-model fair value for Five Point Holdings is $9.88 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.13.
What is the quality score of FPH?
Five Point Holdings has a Quality Score of 80/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Five Point Holdings (FPH)?
Five Point Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $110M (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FPH?
The net profit margin of Five Point Holdings is about 41.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 41.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.