Fridenson (FRDN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Fridenson ILS 109, price ILS 68.16, upside +60.0%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 31.49 ILA – 85.02 ILA · fair‑value band 53.85 ILA – 178.48 ILA · the 68.16 ILA price screens below the 109.06 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Fridenson Logistic Services Ltd. provides logistics solutions worldwide. The company operates through the Logistics centers, Cargo transportation, and International Forwarding segments.
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Fridenson Logistic Services Ltd. provides logistics solutions worldwide. The company operates through the Logistics centers, Cargo transportation, and International Forwarding segments. It also provides services related to freight forwarding and customs brokerage, logistics for chemical procurement, overland transport and distribution, logistics centers and cargo terminals, shipping agency, trade and finance. It serves various sectors, including infrastructure and energy, chemical, vehicle, security, automotive, food, and consumer goods. The company was formerly known as Fridenson Cranes and Trucking Ltd. and changed its name to Fridenson Logistic Services Ltd. in June 2007. The company was incorporated in 1975 and is based in Ashdod, Israel.
Stock analysis
Fridenson (FRDN) currently trades at 68.16 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 109.06 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 78.78 ILA per share, and 6 of the 12 models we run sit above the 68.16 ILA price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 31.60 ILA, and 6 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 53.85 ILA (bear) to 178.48 ILA (bull), the price of 68.16 ILA sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Fridenson reported revenue of 507M ILA in FY2025 versus 518M ILA in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was −3.3M ILA in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 111M ILA · P/E ratio 1.8 · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) 38.45 ILA · Dividend yield 7.6% · Net margin −0.6% · Return on equity 2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 60%, FRDN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 53.85 ILAFair Value 109.06 ILABull 178.48 ILA
Price 68.16 ILA · Upside +60.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (25.31 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.9% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.6% (2020) → −0.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 208 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fridenson Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FRDN
Frequently asked questions
Is Fridenson (FRDN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 109.06 ILA versus a price of 68.16 ILA, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FRDN?
Our model-based fair value for Fridenson is 109.06 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 68.16 ILA.
What is the quality score of FRDN?
Fridenson has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Fridenson (FRDN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 109.06 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 53.85 ILA, optimistic scenario 178.48 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Fridenson stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 109.06 ILA, about +60% upside versus a price of 68.16 ILA (undervalued). Cautious scenario 53.85 ILA, optimistic scenario 178.48 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Fridenson (FRDN)?
Fridenson reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 487M ILS (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
Does Fridenson pay a dividend?
Fridenson currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.65% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Fridenson (FRDN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Fridenson would have to grow free cash flow by +14.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.6 % per year. As of Oct 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FRDN use?
Our models discount Fridenson at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.15, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Fridenson that is +14.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Fridenson (FRDN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Fridenson grew +9.6 % a year. The price currently implies +14.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Fridenson (FRDN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Fridenson (+14.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Fridenson (FRDN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.62 %: that much free cash flow Fridenson produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Fridenson (FRDN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Fridenson it is 109.06 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 68.16 ILA. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Fridenson stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, FRDN trades below its calculated fair value: price 68.16 ILA, fair value 109.06 ILA, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FRDN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (68.16 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (109.06 ILA). For Fridenson the two are 40.90 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Fridenson worth?
The market values Fridenson at about 111M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 68.16 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 109.06 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FRDN?
Our models span a range for Fridenson: cautious scenario 53.85 ILA, base 109.06 ILA, optimistic 178.48 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 68.16 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FRDN?
Fridenson trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 1.8 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 109.06 ILA is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Fridenson (FRDN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Fridenson (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 2.2%, debt of 0.49 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FRDN from its 52-week high?
Fridenson trades at 68.16 ILA, about 13% below its 52-week high of 78.25 ILA and 29% above the low of 53.02 ILA (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 109.06 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Fridenson?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Fridenson stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 68.16 ILA, calculated fair value 109.06 ILA (+60%), Quality Score 52/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FRDN calculated?
We run Fridenson through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 109.06 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Fridenson currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Fridenson (FRDN)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 68.16 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 109.06 ILA, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Fridenson right now?
The model range is unusually wide (53.85 ILA to 178.48 ILA). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Fridenson (FRDN) come from?
Earnings per share at Fridenson grew −5.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.3 %, EBIT margin −11.9 %, tax rate −1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Fridenson
How large is the market capitalisation of Fridenson (FRDN)?
The market capitalisation of Fridenson is 111M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Fridenson (FRDN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Fridenson is 0.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Fridenson (FRDN)?
Earnings per share at Fridenson are 38.45 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 1.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Fridenson (FRDN)?
The dividend yield of Fridenson is 7.6% (payout 13.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Fridenson (FRDN)?
The net margin of Fridenson is −0.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Fridenson (FRDN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Fridenson is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Fridenson (FRDN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Fridenson is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Fridenson (FRDN)?
The operating margin of Fridenson is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Fridenson (FRDN)?
Revenue at Fridenson is growing −3.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Fridenson (FRDN)?
Earnings per share at Fridenson are growing +441% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Fridenson (FRDN) carry?
The net debt of Fridenson is 45.6M ILA (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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