Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Groep Brussel Lambert NV $2.34, price $7.98, upside -70.7%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.55 – $15.02 · fair‑value band $2.34 – $9.16 · the $7.98 price screens above the $2.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA invests in a portfolio of industrial, consumer goods, and business service companies in Belgium, other European countries, North America, and internationally. It operates through six segments: Holding, Imerys, Canyon, Affidea, Sanoptis, and GBL Capital and Sienna Investment Managers.
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Groupe Bruxelles Lambert SA invests in a portfolio of industrial, consumer goods, and business service companies in Belgium, other European countries, North America, and internationally. It operates through six segments: Holding, Imerys, Canyon, Affidea, Sanoptis, and GBL Capital and Sienna Investment Managers. The company was incorporated in 1902 and is headquartered in Brussels, Belgium.
Stock analysis
Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR (GBLBY) currently trades at $7.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.34, 70.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $8.99 per share, and 2 of the 4 models we run sit above the $7.98 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $1.57, and 2 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $2.34 (bear) to $9.16 (bull), the price of $7.98 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR reported revenue of €6.2B in FY2025 versus €6.5B in FY2021, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was −€601M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $12.3B · P/S ratio 1.91 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3200 · Dividend yield 6.5% · Net margin −9.7% · Return on equity −3.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1% · Operating margin 10.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 36 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −71%, GBLBY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.34Fair Value $2.34Bull $9.16
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.19/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.5% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
17.2% (2020) → 5.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+53.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +50.4% a year for the price.
Compare Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 657 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−81.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−10.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)10.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)6.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.59× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.07× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)1.91× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF186.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA20.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 60
FUTURE (revenue growth)31· sector 35
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)71· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 81
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.34 versus a price of $7.98, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GBLBY?
Our model-based fair value for Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR is $2.34 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.98.
What is the quality score of GBLBY?
Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.34 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.34, optimistic scenario $9.16. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.34, about −71% upside versus a price of $7.98 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.34, optimistic scenario $9.16. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY)?
Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €6.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR pay a dividend?
Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.51% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +53.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.4 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GBLBY use?
Our models discount Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.67, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR that is +53.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR grew -0.4 % a year. The price currently implies +53.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR (+53.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.74 %: that much free cash flow Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR it is $2.34 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $7.98. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, GBLBY trades above its calculated fair value: price $7.98, fair value $2.34, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GBLBY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.34). For Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR the two are $5.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR worth?
The market values Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR at about $12.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $7.98; our models calculate a fair value of $2.34 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GBLBY?
Our models span a range for Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR: cautious scenario $2.34, base $2.34, optimistic $9.16 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $7.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −3.6%, debt of 0.59 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GBLBY from its 52-week high?
Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR trades at $7.98, about 47% below its 52-week high of $15.02 and 2% above the low of $7.81 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.34 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $7.98, calculated fair value $2.34 (−71%), Quality Score 45/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GBLBY calculated?
We run Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.34, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was $7.98. Our model-based fair value is $2.34, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($2.34 to $9.16). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY) come from?
Earnings per share at Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR grew +1.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.5 %, EBIT margin −0.2 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY)?
The market capitalisation of Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR is $12.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR is 1.91 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY)?
Earnings per share at Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR are $−0.3200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY)?
The dividend yield of Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR is 6.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY)?
The net margin of Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR is −9.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR is −3.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR is 3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY)?
The operating margin of Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY)?
Revenue at Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR is growing +6.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY)?
Earnings per share at Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR are growing −31.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Groep Brussel Lambert NV (GBLBY) carry?
The net debt of Groep Brussel Lambert NV ADR is €6.8B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 23, 2026