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Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Grupo Clarin S.A. ARS 7,756, price ARS 3,175, upside +144.3%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Communication Services · AR · ISIN ARGCLA010015

GC Broad data Oct 1, 2026

Grupo Clarin S.A.

GCLA · BA

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

Fair value 7,756 ARS · Strongly undervalued (+144.3%)
Quality 60/100
Low debt
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Broad data
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +82.5 %/yr in ARS)
Thin margins · 4.3% net margin (TTM)
3.9% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Moderate moat 47/100
Insider activity 45/100
Negative free cash flow
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

4,795 ARS 40.00 ARS Fair Value 7,756 ARS Mar 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 40.00 ARS – 4,795 ARS · fair‑value band 5,429 ARS – 10,083 ARS · the 3,175 ARS price screens below the 7,756 ARS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.

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Company profile

Grupo Clarín S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the media industry in Argentina an Internationally. It operates through Digital and Printed Publications; and Production and Distribution of Content segments.

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Grupo Clarín S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates in the media industry in Argentina an Internationally. It operates through Digital and Printed Publications; and Production and Distribution of Content segments. The Digital and Printed Publications segment includes newspapers with national and regional circulation, sports newspapers, the edition, and publication and distribution of magazines, as well as commercial printing; publishes newspapers, a sports daily; magazine publishing and editing and distribution. This segment also offers Diario Clarín, a national newspaper for the Spanish-speaking world; Olé, a sports newspaper for the Argentine market; and Genios, a children's magazine. The Production and Distribution of Content segment offers Canal 13 channels, amplitude modulation/frequency modulation radio broadcast stations, and Radio Mitre and La 100, as well as produces content for television, films and radio, and cable television signals; and organizes and broadcasts sporting events. The company was founded in 1945 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Grupo Clarín S.A. is a subsidiary of GC Dominio S.A.

Stock analysis

Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA) currently trades at 3,175 ARS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7,756 ARS, implying the stock looks roughly 59.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 19,562 ARS per share, and 12 of the 16 models we run sit above the 3,175 ARS price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 2,284 ARS, and 4 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 5,429 ARS (bear) to 10,083 ARS (bull), the price of 3,175 ARS sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Grupo Clarin S.A. reported revenue of 540B ARS in FY2025 versus 40.1B ARS in FY2021, a compound +91.5%/yr. Reported net income was 45.0B ARS in FY2025, compounding +156.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 367B ARS (≈ $241M) · P/E ratio 16.6 · P/S ratio 1.38 · EPS (TTM) 207.73 ARS · Dividend yield 3.9% · Net margin 8.3% · Return on equity 5.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 86% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 144%, GCLA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 5,429 ARS Fair Value 7,756 ARS Bull 10,083 ARS
Price 3,175 ARS · Upside +144.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (65.04 ARS per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 2,842 ARS 3,156 ARS 4,042 ARS 73
EPV 5,009 ARS 5,602 ARS 6,083 ARS 72
ROIC Compounder 6,091 ARS 8,504 ARS 9,773 ARS 69
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 2,863 ARS 19,967 ARS 28,021 ARS 58
Lynch FV 10,316 ARS 14,737 ARS 19,158 ARS 57
PEG = 1.0 10,316 ARS 14,737 ARS 19,158 ARS 53
EPV 5,009 ARS 5,602 ARS 6,083 ARS 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 52.20 ARS 87.43 ARS 113.48 ARS 64
DDM Multi-Stage 52.20 ARS 82.92 ARS 94.06 ARS 63
Multiples
P/E Multiple 6,947 ARS 9,263 ARS 11,579 ARS 61
P/S Multiple 5,368 ARS 7,158 ARS 8,947 ARS 56
P/B Multiple 5,368 ARS 7,158 ARS 8,947 ARS 53
EV/EBIT 9,289 ARS 12,362 ARS 15,435 ARS 65
EV/EBITDA 7,132 ARS 9,485 ARS 11,839 ARS 66
EV/Revenue 7,062 ARS 10,058 ARS 13,054 ARS 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1,705 ARS 2,284 ARS 3,409 ARS 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income 2,842 ARS 3,156 ARS 4,042 ARS 73
ROIC Compounder 6,091 ARS 8,504 ARS 9,773 ARS 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 13,693 ARS 19,562 ARS 25,430 ARS 64

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 83
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+94.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+82.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +51.8% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.1% (2020) → 15.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 235 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +144.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5.9% · Above median
Return on assets 6.8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −10.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.01× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.71× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 34
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 27
PAST (return on equity)23 · sector 4
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)77 · sector 49

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $69.58 $76.54 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $104.90 $101.23 −3%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $30.86 $13.47 −56%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $170.87 $48.93 −71%
TKO Group TKO $182.67 $69.66 −62%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.59 €16.05 +10%
Fox Corporation FOX $56.54 $65.92 +17%
Formula One Group FWONK $94.61 $104.07 +10%
Roku, Inc ROKU $152.67 $42.86 −72%
News Corporation NWS $31.75 $17.05 −46%

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Grupo Clarin S.A. · Fair Value
7,756 ARS +59%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Clarin S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GCLA

Frequently asked questions

Is Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7,756 ARS versus a price of 3,175 ARS, about +144% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GCLA?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Clarin S.A. is 7,756 ARS (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3,175 ARS.
What is the quality score of GCLA?
Grupo Clarin S.A. has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 7,756 ARS (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5,429 ARS, optimistic scenario 10,083 ARS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grupo Clarin S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 7,756 ARS, about +144% upside versus a price of 3,175 ARS (undervalued). Cautious scenario 5,429 ARS, optimistic scenario 10,083 ARS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA)?
Grupo Clarin S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 515B ARS (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Grupo Clarin S.A. pay a dividend?
Grupo Clarin S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.85% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grupo Clarin S.A. it is 7,756 ARS per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of 3,175 ARS. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Grupo Clarin S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, GCLA trades below its calculated fair value: price 3,175 ARS, fair value 7,756 ARS, a gap of about +144% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GCLA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3,175 ARS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (7,756 ARS). For Grupo Clarin S.A. the two are 4,581 ARS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grupo Clarin S.A. worth?
The market values Grupo Clarin S.A. at about 367B ARS (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is 3,175 ARS; our models calculate a fair value of 7,756 ARS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GCLA?
Our models span a range for Grupo Clarin S.A.: cautious scenario 5,429 ARS, base 7,756 ARS, optimistic 10,083 ARS per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price 3,175 ARS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GCLA?
Grupo Clarin S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.6 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 7,756 ARS is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 4.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grupo Clarin S.A. (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 5.9%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GCLA from its 52-week high?
Grupo Clarin S.A. trades at 3,175 ARS, about 34% below its 52-week high of 4,795 ARS and 86% above the low of 1,710 ARS (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 7,756 ARS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grupo Clarin S.A.?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grupo Clarin S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price 3,175 ARS, calculated fair value 7,756 ARS (+144%), Quality Score 60/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GCLA calculated?
We run Grupo Clarin S.A. through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 7,756 ARS, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Grupo Clarin S.A. currently trades 59 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 3,175 ARS. Our model-based fair value is 7,756 ARS, about +144% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grupo Clarin S.A. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (5,429 ARS). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (5,429 ARS to 10,083 ARS) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Grupo Clarin S.A.

How large is the market capitalisation of Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA)?
The market capitalisation of Grupo Clarin S.A. is 367B ARS (≈ $241M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grupo Clarin S.A. is 1.38 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Clarin S.A. are 207.73 ARS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA)?
The dividend yield of Grupo Clarin S.A. is 3.9% (payout 58.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA)?
The net margin of Grupo Clarin S.A. is 8.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grupo Clarin S.A. is 5.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grupo Clarin S.A. is 8.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA)?
The operating margin of Grupo Clarin S.A. is 11.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA)?
Revenue at Grupo Clarin S.A. is growing −10.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +94.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Clarin S.A. are growing −68.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA) generate?
The free cash flow of Grupo Clarin S.A. is −930M ARS (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Grupo Clarin S.A. (GCLA) carry?
The net debt of Grupo Clarin S.A. is 8.4B ARS (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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