Grid Dynamics Holdings (GDYN) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $473M
Grid Dynamics Holdings
GDYN · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $4.25 to $4.03 (−5.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +29.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 47% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.21 – $42.08 · fair‑value band $2.28 – $4.03 · the $7.58 price screens above the $4.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Grid Dynamics Holdings (GDYN) currently trades at $7.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.03, implying the stock looks roughly 46.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Grid Dynamics Holdings generated revenue of $416M at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue grew 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $325M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.28 (bear case) to $4.03 (bull case); at $7.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -47%, GDYN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($9.17) versus Dividend Discount ($0.8800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides enterprise artificial intelligence and digital transformation services in North America, Europe, and internationally.
Full company description
Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides enterprise artificial intelligence and digital transformation services in North America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers artificial intelligence services, such as AI-Readiness through strategy consulting, data modernization, rapid and deployment-ready prototyping, and software development lifecycle transformation; identify AI use cases service, which deploys AI in customer-facing, operational, and knowledge management scenarios; AI infrastructure agentic systems; and enterprise AI scale, which helps enterprises gain enterprise-wide efficiency with deployment. It also provides cloud platform and product engineering services, including digital engagement, which delivers modular composable commerce platforms; IoT and edge computing, which assists manufacturers and logistics providers in implementing physical AI; and AI and data platforms. The company serves retail, technology, media and telecom, finance, consumer packaged goods and manufacturing, healthcare and pharma, and other verticals. Grid Dynamics Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in San Ramon, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Grid Dynamics Holdings reported revenue of $412M in FY2025 versus $211M in FY2021, a compound +18.2%/yr. Reported net income was $9.7M in FY2025.
GDYN screens 47% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Grid Dynamics (GDYN) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- Grid Dynamics Enters Strategic Partnership with Doosan Robotics to Accelerate Physical AI Adoption Across Manufacturing and Logistics
Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 480 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $235.92 | $143.90 | -39% |
| Accenture plc ACNN | 2,460 MXN | 250.95 MXN | -90% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,156 | ₹1,457 | +26% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,204 | ₹1,230 | +2% |
| Wipro Limited WIPRO | ₹178.43 | ₹226.81 | +27% |
| Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM | ₹1,455 | ₹1,086 | -25% |
| Samsung SDS Co 018260 | 199,300 KRW | 196,390 KRW | -1% |
| Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT | ₹5,059 | ₹2,364 | -53% |
| Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 | 393,000 KRW | 133,088 KRW | -66% |
| Coforge Limited COFORGE | ₹1,541 | ₹702.84 | -54% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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