Gelecek Varlik Yönetimi Anonim Sirketi (GLCVY) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · TR · Market cap 7.3B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −2.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 81% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (20.23 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (8.46 TRY to 20.23 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range 8.76 TRY – 79.53 TRY · fair‑value band 8.46 TRY – 20.23 TRY · the 53.05 TRY price screens above the 10.34 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.
Analysis
Gelecek Varlik Yönetimi Anonim Sirketi (GLCVY) currently trades at 53.05 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.34 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 80.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Gelecek Varlik Yönetimi Anonim Sirketi generated revenue of 8.1B TRY at a net margin of 19.1%. Revenue grew 23.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 42.5%. Net debt stands at 363M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 8.46 TRY (bear case) to 20.23 TRY (bull case); at 53.05 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -81%, GLCVY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (18.87 TRY) versus Dividend Discount (2.98 TRY). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gelecek Varlik Yönetimi Anonim Sirketi operates as a financial institution in Turkey. It also provides consultancy and brokerage services. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey. Gelecek Varlik Yönetimi Anonim Sirketi is a subsidiary of Fiba Holding Anonim Sirketi.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2018 – FY2021 · reported fiscal years
Gelecek Varlik Yönetimi Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 629M TRY in FY2021 versus 716M TRY in FY2018, a compound −4.2%/yr. Reported net income was 174M TRY in FY2021, compounding +170.4%/yr from FY2018.
GLCVY screens 81% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →
Peer Group
Asset Management · 973 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fondul Proprietatea SA FP | $0.0420 | $0.0800 | +90% |
| BlackRock, Inc BLK | $1,036 | $504.81 | -51% |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $124.56 | $16.35 | -87% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 394.40 | kr 788.80 | +100% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$62.45 | C$10.12 | -84% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $100.94 | $44.88 | -56% |
| AB Industrivärden INDUA | kr 532.50 | kr 1,065 | +100% |
| Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN | ₹242.98 | ₹40.19 | -83% |
| Hedef Holding HEDEF | 267.25 TRY | 320.98 TRY | +20% |
| Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG | ₹10,398 | ₹9,202 | -12% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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