GomSpace Group AB (GOMX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of GomSpace Group AB SEK 1.12, price SEK 11.00, upside -89.8%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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GomSpace Group AB (publ), through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells nanosatellites and components, and turnkey solutions for satellites in Denmark, Sweden, France, rest of Europe, the United States, Asia, and internationally.
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GomSpace Group AB (publ), through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells nanosatellites and components, and turnkey solutions for satellites in Denmark, Sweden, France, rest of Europe, the United States, Asia, and internationally. The company offers mission payloads, power and communication systems, command and data handling, attitude and orbit control system products, and structures; products from ground systems; and hands-off operations platform for satellite operations. It also provides maritime domain awareness, national security and defence, air traffic management, advanced missions, telecom, national capacity building solutions. The company serves the academic, government, and commercial markets. The company was formerly known as GS Sweden AB and changed its name to GomSpace Group AB (publ) in June 2017. GomSpace Group AB (publ) was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Aalborg, Denmark.
Stock analysis
GomSpace Group AB (GOMX) currently trades at kr 11.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 1.12, 89.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 1.61 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the kr 11.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 0.7500, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: kr 1.06 (bear) to kr 1.21 (bull), the price of kr 11.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
GomSpace Group AB reported revenue of 442M SEK in FY2025 versus 214M SEK in FY2021, a compound +19.9%/yr. Reported net income was −27.2M SEK in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.5B SEK (≈ $246M) · P/S ratio 5.59 · EPS (TTM) kr −0.1700 · Net margin −6.2% · Return on equity −20.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −24.7% · Operating margin 3.7% · Revenue (TTM) 442M SEK.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −90%, GOMX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 1.06Fair Value kr 1.12Bull kr 1.21
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+71.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +29.2% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−15.6% (2020) → 2.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 227 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−89.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets1.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−5.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)3.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth82.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.48× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.26× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.56× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA10.9× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 59
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)76· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 18
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GomSpace Group AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GOMX
Frequently asked questions
Is GomSpace Group AB (GOMX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 1.12 versus a price of kr 11.00, about −90% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GOMX?
Our model-based fair value for GomSpace Group AB is kr 1.12 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 11.00.
What is the quality score of GOMX?
GomSpace Group AB has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for GomSpace Group AB (GOMX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 1.12 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 1.06, optimistic scenario kr 1.21. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the GomSpace Group AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 1.12, about −90% upside versus a price of kr 11.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 1.06, optimistic scenario kr 1.21. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of GomSpace Group AB (GOMX)?
GomSpace Group AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 442M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of GomSpace Group AB (GOMX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For GomSpace Group AB it is kr 1.12 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 11.00. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is GomSpace Group AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GOMX trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 11.00, fair value kr 1.12, a gap of about −90% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GOMX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 11.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 1.12). For GomSpace Group AB the two are kr 9.88 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is GomSpace Group AB worth?
The market values GomSpace Group AB at about 2.5B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 11.00; our models calculate a fair value of kr 1.12 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GOMX?
Our models span a range for GomSpace Group AB: cautious scenario kr 1.06, base kr 1.12, optimistic kr 1.21 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 11.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of GomSpace Group AB (GOMX)?
Balance-sheet figures for GomSpace Group AB (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −20.4%, debt of 0.48 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GOMX from its 52-week high?
GomSpace Group AB trades at kr 11.00, about 56% below its 52-week high of kr 25.20 and 2% above the low of kr 10.81 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 1.12 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to GomSpace Group AB?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is GomSpace Group AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 11.00, calculated fair value kr 1.12 (−90%), Quality Score 29/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GOMX calculated?
We run GomSpace Group AB through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 1.12, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. GomSpace Group AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of GomSpace Group AB (GOMX)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was kr 11.00. Our model-based fair value is kr 1.12, about −90% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with GomSpace Group AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 1.21). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. The models converge in a tight band (kr 1.06 to kr 1.21), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of GomSpace Group AB
How large is the market capitalisation of GomSpace Group AB (GOMX)?
The market capitalisation of GomSpace Group AB is 2.5B SEK (≈ $246M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of GomSpace Group AB (GOMX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of GomSpace Group AB is 5.59 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of GomSpace Group AB (GOMX)?
Earnings per share at GomSpace Group AB are kr −0.1700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of GomSpace Group AB (GOMX)?
The net margin of GomSpace Group AB is −6.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of GomSpace Group AB (GOMX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of GomSpace Group AB is −20.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of GomSpace Group AB (GOMX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of GomSpace Group AB is −24.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of GomSpace Group AB (GOMX)?
The operating margin of GomSpace Group AB is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at GomSpace Group AB (GOMX)?
Revenue at GomSpace Group AB is growing +82.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +30.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does GomSpace Group AB (GOMX) generate?
The free cash flow of GomSpace Group AB is −97.5M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does GomSpace Group AB (GOMX) hold?
GomSpace Group AB holds more cash than debt, 86.2M SEK net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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