Alphabet Inc (GOOGL) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $4.5T
Alphabet Inc
GOOGL · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 13 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $141.08 to $145.14 (+2.9%) since Jul 5, 2026. Share price −4.8% over the past month.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The model range is unusually wide ($106.90 to $377.00). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $188.59 – $402.38 · fair‑value band $106.90 – $377.00 · the $336.71 price screens above the $145.14 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.
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Alphabet Inc (GOOGL) currently trades at $336.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $145.14, implying the stock looks roughly 56.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Alphabet Inc generated revenue of $422B at a net margin of 37.9%. Revenue grew 21.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 38.9%. Net debt stands at $28.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $106.90 (bear case) to $377.00 (bull case); at $336.71, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 108% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -57%, GOOGL screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Alphabet Inc. offers various products and platforms in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Latin America. It operates through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets segments.
Full company description
Alphabet Inc. offers various products and platforms in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Latin America. It operates through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets segments. The Google Services segment provides products and services, including ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Gmail, Google Drive, Google Maps, Google Photos, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. It is also involved in the sale of apps and in-app purchases and digital content in Google Play and YouTube; and devices, as well as the provision of YouTube consumer subscription services, such as YouTube TV, YouTube Music and Premium, NFL Sunday Ticket, and Google One. The Google Cloud segment offers consumption-based fees and subscriptions for AI solutions, including AI infrastructure, Vertex AI platform, and Gemini enterprise. It also provides cybersecurity, and data and analytics services; Google Workspace that include cloud-based communication and collaboration tools for enterprises, such as Calendar, Gmail, Docs, Drive, and Meet; and other enterprise services. The Other Bets segment sells transportation and internet services. Alphabet Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Alphabet Inc reported revenue of $403B in FY2025 versus $258B in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was $132B in FY2025, compounding +14.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- AI data centre supplier Zhongji InnoLight tumbles on Hong Kong debut
- Alphabet (GOOGL) Disbands AlphaFold Team As DeepMind Pushes Gemini Further
- Chinese AI Just Made History
- Is Microsoft a Buy After Its Latest Earnings Report?
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Meta Platforms, Inc M1TA34 | R$122.50 | R$19.51 | -84% |
| Tencent Holdings TCEHY | $59.06 | $42.01 | -29% |
| Spotify Technology S.A SPOT | $459.34 | $280.25 | -39% |
| Recruit Holdings RCRUY | $13.75 | $9.86 | -28% |
| Baidu, Inc BAIDF | $12.50 | $9.43 | -25% |
| Reddit, Inc RDDT | $173.45 | $126.90 | -27% |
| Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, KUASF | $6.13 | $11.20 | +83% |
| Tencent Music Entertainment Group TCMEF | $6.24 | $14.69 | +135% |
| NAVER Corporation 035420 | 222,000 KRW | 315,595 KRW | +42% |
| REA Group RPGRF | $124.45 | $58.85 | -53% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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