GQG Partners Inc (GQG) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · AU · Market cap A$4.3B

A strong business, but screening 85% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• A high-quality business (quality 83/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.2600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

57‑month range A$0.7699 – A$2.49 · fair‑value band A$0.1600 – A$0.2600 · the A$1.44 price screens above the A$0.2100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

GQG Partners Inc (GQG) currently trades at A$1.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.2100, implying the stock looks roughly 85.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, GQG Partners Inc generated revenue of A$808M at a net margin of 57.3%. Revenue grew 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 107.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$108M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.1600 (bear case) to A$0.2600 (bull case); at A$1.44, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -85%, GQG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$4.30) versus Asset-Based (A$0.1000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

GQG Partners Inc. together with its subsidiaries, is a global boutique asset management firm focused on active equity investment management internationally. The company offers several vehicles, including separately managed accounts, U.S. mutual funds, UCITS funds, private funds, managed funds (AU/NZ), U.S.

Full company description

GQG Partners Inc. together with its subsidiaries, is a global boutique asset management firm focused on active equity investment management internationally. The company offers several vehicles, including separately managed accounts, U.S. mutual funds, UCITS funds, private funds, managed funds (AU/NZ), U.S. collective investment trusts, Canadian managed funds, retail managed accounts, and a U.S. exchange traded fund. It manages equity portfolios for investors, including insurance funds, pension/superannuation funds, sovereign wealth funds, ultra-high net worth investors, sub-advised funds, financial advisors, wealth management administration platforms, private banks, and other discretionary wealth managers. The company was founded in 2016 and is based in Fort Lauderdale, Florida. GQG Partners Inc. is a subsidiary of QVFT LLC.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GQG Partners Inc reported revenue of A$779M in FY2025 versus A$398M in FY2021, a compound +18.3%/yr. Reported net income was A$463M in FY2025, compounding +11.0%/yr from FY2021.

GQG screens 85% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.