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Giordano International Limited (GRDZF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Giordano International Limited $0.29, price $0.17, upside +70.4%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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GI
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Giordano International Limited
GRDZF · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value $0.2900 · Strongly undervalued (+70.4%)
✓Quality 67/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +4.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0587 – $0.8584 · fair‑value band $0.2200 – $0.3600 · the $0.1702 price screens below the $0.2900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Giordano International Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the retail and distribution of men's, women's, and children's fashion apparel and accessories in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, Southeast Asia and Australia, Gulf Cooperation Council, and internationally.
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Giordano International Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the retail and distribution of men's, women's, and children's fashion apparel and accessories in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, Southeast Asia and Australia, Gulf Cooperation Council, and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Retail and Distribution; and Wholesales to Overseas Franchisees. The company offers provision of company consultancy services and management services. It sells its products under Giordano, Giordano Junior, Beau Monde, Giordano Ladies, BSX, and other owned and licensed brand names through its own stores, as well as franchised stores, online channels, and wholesale. Giordano International Limited was founded in 1981 and is based in Cheung Sha Wan, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Giordano International Limited (GRDZF) currently trades at $0.1702, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2900, implying the stock looks roughly 41.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.4100 per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the $0.1702 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.1100, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.2200 (bear) to $0.3600 (bull), the price of $0.1702 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Giordano International Limited reported revenue of HK$3.9B in FY2025 versus HK$3.4B in FY2021, a compound +3.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$217M in FY2025, compounding +3.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $298M · P/E ratio 8.5 · P/S ratio 0.48 · EPS (TTM) $0.0200 · Net margin 5.6% · Return on equity 11.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.1% · Operating margin 4.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 70%, GRDZF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.2200
Fair Value $0.2900
Bull $0.3600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.3400
$0.4100
$0.5300
82
Growth DCF
$0.3400
$0.4100
$0.5100
80
Owner Earnings
$0.4400
$0.5400
$0.7100
78
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.3400
$0.4100
$0.5300
82
Owner Earnings
$0.4400
$0.5400
$0.7100
78
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.2600
$0.3200
$0.4100
74
5Y EBITDA Exit
$0.4100
$0.5800
$0.8100
75
5Y P/E Exit
$0.3200
$0.4200
$0.5400
72
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.2900
$0.3400
$0.3800
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.3700
$0.4700
$0.5800
70
10Y P/E Exit
$0.3300
$0.3900
$0.4500
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.1200
$0.1400
$0.1600
67
EPV
$0.1500
$0.1700
$0.1700
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.1200
$0.1300
$0.1400
69
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.1200
$0.1400
$0.1600
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.2800
$0.3800
$0.4700
63
P/S Multiple
$0.2200
$0.2900
$0.3600
58
P/B Multiple
$0.2200
$0.2900
$0.3600
55
EV/EBIT
$0.2700
$0.3400
$0.4200
66
EV/EBITDA
$0.5500
$0.7100
$0.8800
67
EV/Revenue
$0.2000
$0.2600
$0.3300
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.0800
$0.1100
$0.1600
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.3400
$0.4100
$0.5100
80
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.2600
$0.3300
$0.4100
74
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.1300
$0.1400
$0.1600
76
ROIC Compounder
$0.1500
$0.1700
$0.1800
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.2000
$0.2800
$0.3700
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
67/100
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Profitability
61
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.3% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+0.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.0.2% vs −6.8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−3% → 5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 3.8%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−21.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in HKD, Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −22.6% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Retail · 98 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A ITX | €53.06 | €58.37 | +10% |
| Fast Retailing Co 6288 | HK$33.92 | HK$30.82 | −9% |
| The TJX Companies, Inc TJX | $132.31 | $84.95 | −36% |
| Ross Stores, Inc ROST | $237.09 | $118.41 | −50% |
| Burlington Stores, Inc BURL | $254.69 | $150.49 | −41% |
| Trent Limited TRENT | ₹2,669 | ₹709.49 | −73% |
| lululemon athletica inc., LULU | $95.86 | $307.70 | +221% |
| Aritzia Inc ATZ | C$117.81 | C$129.59 | +10% |
| The Gap, Inc GAP | $21.82 | $37.58 | +72% |
| Urban Outfitters, Inc URBN | $78.77 | $93.57 | +19% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Giordano International Limited (GRDZF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2900 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.1702, about +70% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GRDZF?
Our model-based fair value for Giordano International Limited is $0.2900 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.1702.
What is the quality score of GRDZF?
Giordano International Limited has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Giordano International Limited (GRDZF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2900 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.2200, optimistic scenario $0.3600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Giordano International Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2900, about +70% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.1702 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.2200, optimistic scenario $0.3600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Giordano International Limited (GRDZF)?
Giordano International Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$3.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Giordano International Limited (GRDZF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Giordano International Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -21.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GRDZF use?
Our models discount Giordano International Limited at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.64, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Giordano International Limited that is -21.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Giordano International Limited (GRDZF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Giordano International Limited grew +4.3 % a year. The price currently implies -21.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Giordano International Limited (GRDZF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Giordano International Limited (-21.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Giordano International Limited (GRDZF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 21.03 %: that much free cash flow Giordano International Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Giordano International Limited (GRDZF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Giordano International Limited it is $0.2900 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.1702. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Giordano International Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GRDZF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.1702, fair value $0.2900, a gap of about +70% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GRDZF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1702); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2900). For Giordano International Limited the two are $0.1198 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Giordano International Limited worth?
The market values Giordano International Limited at about $298M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.1702; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GRDZF?
Our models span a range for Giordano International Limited: cautious scenario $0.2200, base $0.2900, optimistic $0.3600 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.1702). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GRDZF?
Giordano International Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.2900 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Giordano International Limited (GRDZF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Giordano International Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GRDZF from its 52-week high?
Giordano International Limited trades at $0.1702, about 9% below its 52-week high of $0.1866 and 40% above the low of $0.1214 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Giordano International Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A, Fast Retailing Co, The TJX Companies, Inc, Ross Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Giordano International Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.1702, calculated fair value $0.2900 (+70%), Quality Score 67/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GRDZF calculated?
We run Giordano International Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Giordano International Limited currently trades 41 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Giordano International Limited (GRDZF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.1702. Our model-based fair value is $0.2900, about +70% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Giordano International Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.2200). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Giordano International Limited (GRDZF) come from?
Earnings per share at Giordano International Limited grew −5.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −3.8 %, EBIT margin −1.2 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Giordano International Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Giordano International Limited (GRDZF)?
The market capitalisation of Giordano International Limited is $298M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Giordano International Limited (GRDZF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Giordano International Limited is 0.48 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Giordano International Limited (GRDZF)?
Earnings per share at Giordano International Limited are $0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Giordano International Limited (GRDZF)?
The net margin of Giordano International Limited is 5.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Giordano International Limited (GRDZF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Giordano International Limited is 11.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Giordano International Limited (GRDZF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Giordano International Limited is 9.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Giordano International Limited (GRDZF)?
The operating margin of Giordano International Limited is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Giordano International Limited (GRDZF)?
Revenue at Giordano International Limited is growing −4.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does Giordano International Limited (GRDZF) hold?
Giordano International Limited holds more cash than debt, HK$47.0M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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