Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Grupo Televisa S.A.B $0.80, price $0.50, upside +60.0%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.3004 – $6.56 · fair‑value band $0.8000 – $1.35 · the $0.5000 price screens below the $0.8000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Grupo Televisa, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the cable networks and direct-to-home system businesses with Residential, Satellite, and Enterprise categories in Mexico and internationally. It operates through Cable and Sky segments.
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Grupo Televisa, S.A.B., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the cable networks and direct-to-home system businesses with Residential, Satellite, and Enterprise categories in Mexico and internationally. It operates through Cable and Sky segments. The company offers basic and premium television subscription, pay-per-view, installation, internet subscription, and telephone and mobile services subscription, as well as local and national advertising services; and data and long-distance services solutions to carriers and other telecommunications service providers through its fiber-optic network. It also provides direct-to-home broadcast satellite pay television services comprising program, installation, and equipment rental services to subscribers; and national advertising sales. Grupo Televisa, S.A.B. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
Stock analysis
Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF) currently trades at $0.5000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8000, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $1.30 per share, and 9 of the 13 models we run sit above the $0.5000 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.2300, and 4 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.8000 (bear) to $1.35 (bull), the price of $0.5000 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Grupo Televisa S.A.B reported revenue of 58.8B MXN in FY2025 versus 73.9B MXN in FY2021, a compound −5.6%/yr. Reported net income was −8.8B MXN in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.5B · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1900 · Net margin −15.0% · Return on equity −7.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% · Operating margin 11.2% · Revenue (TTM) 58.4B MXN.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at 60%, GRPFF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.8000Fair Value $0.8000Bull $1.35
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.12/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.0% a year
Revenue growth 31 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.1% (2020) → 8.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−1.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in MXN, Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.8% a year for the price and −4.7% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 237 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside+23.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets1.6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−14.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)11.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.88× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8000 versus a price of $0.5000, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GRPFF?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Televisa S.A.B is $0.8000 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.5000.
What is the quality score of GRPFF?
Grupo Televisa S.A.B has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.8000 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.8000, optimistic scenario $1.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Grupo Televisa S.A.B stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.8000, about +60% upside versus a price of $0.5000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.8000, optimistic scenario $1.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF)?
Grupo Televisa S.A.B reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 58.4B MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Grupo Televisa S.A.B would have to grow free cash flow by +9.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GRPFF use?
Our models discount Grupo Televisa S.A.B at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.04, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Grupo Televisa S.A.B that is +9.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Grupo Televisa S.A.B grew -3.6 % a year. The price currently implies +9.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Grupo Televisa S.A.B (+9.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 21.01 %: that much free cash flow Grupo Televisa S.A.B produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Grupo Televisa S.A.B it is $0.8000 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.5000. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Grupo Televisa S.A.B stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GRPFF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.5000, fair value $0.8000, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GRPFF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.5000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.8000). For Grupo Televisa S.A.B the two are $0.3000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Grupo Televisa S.A.B worth?
The market values Grupo Televisa S.A.B at about $1.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.5000; our models calculate a fair value of $0.8000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GRPFF?
Our models span a range for Grupo Televisa S.A.B: cautious scenario $0.8000, base $0.8000, optimistic $1.35 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.5000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of GRPFF?
The PEG ratio of Grupo Televisa S.A.B is 57.24 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Grupo Televisa S.A.B (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −7.6%, debt of 0.88 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GRPFF from its 52-week high?
Grupo Televisa S.A.B trades at $0.5000, about 23% below its 52-week high of $0.6500 and 11% above the low of $0.4500 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.8000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Grupo Televisa S.A.B?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Grupo Televisa S.A.B stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.5000, calculated fair value $0.8000 (+60%), Quality Score 47/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GRPFF calculated?
We run Grupo Televisa S.A.B through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.8000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Grupo Televisa S.A.B currently trades 38 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.5000. Our model-based fair value is $0.8000, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Grupo Televisa S.A.B right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.8000). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Grupo Televisa S.A.B
How large is the market capitalisation of Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF)?
The market capitalisation of Grupo Televisa S.A.B is $1.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Grupo Televisa S.A.B is 0.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Televisa S.A.B are $−0.1900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF)?
The net margin of Grupo Televisa S.A.B is −15.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Grupo Televisa S.A.B is −7.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Grupo Televisa S.A.B is 1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF)?
The operating margin of Grupo Televisa S.A.B is 11.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF)?
Revenue at Grupo Televisa S.A.B is growing −3.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF)?
Earnings per share at Grupo Televisa S.A.B are growing +227% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Grupo Televisa S.A.B (GRPFF) carry?
The net debt of Grupo Televisa S.A.B is 63.7B MXN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 15.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026