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Data-driven stock valuation

Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Softbank Group Corp. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Communication Services · US · Market cap $247B · ISIN JP3436100006

At a glance

SG Softbank Group Corp. logo Softbank Group Corp. SFTBF · US
Price$43.30
Fair Value$104.06
Upside+140.3%
Quality24/100

Below-average quality, trading 58% below our fair value of $104.06.

As of Aug 28, 2026, the fair value of Softbank Group Corp. is $104.06 per share against a price of $43.30, so the fair value sits 140% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.9 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 64.1% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·0.77% dividend yield
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Moderate moat 57/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 15 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $75.93 to $130.08

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 13 days ago

Share price +27.4% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (24/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($75.93). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$175.54 $21.39 Fair Value $104.06 Jan 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $21.39 – $175.54 · fair‑value band $75.93 – $130.08 · the $43.30 price screens below the $104.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

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Analysis

Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF) currently trades at $43.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $104.06, implying the stock looks roughly 58.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $160.75 per share, and 9 of the 13 models we run sit above the $43.30 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $22.90, and 4 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Softbank Group Corp. generated revenue of ¥7.8T at a net margin of 64.1%. Revenue grew 7.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.7%. Net debt stands at ¥20.6T. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Scenario range: $75.93 (bear) to $130.08 (bull), the price of $43.30 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high and 110% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 29% fair-value upside, at 140%, SFTBF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 5 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.27 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings best evidence $89.36 $159.89 $278.27 74
Growth-Adj P/E $112.52 $160.75 $208.97 67
DDM Multi-Stage $1.19 $2.12 $2.70 66
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings best evidence $89.36 $159.89 $278.27 74
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $66.70 $243.98 $329.31 64
Lynch FV $58.15 $83.08 $108.00 61
PEG = 1.0 $58.15 $83.08 $108.00 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.19 $2.59 $4.36 65
DDM Multi-Stage $1.19 $2.12 $2.70 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $161.84 $215.78 $269.73 63
P/S Multiple $40.14 $53.52 $66.90 58
P/B Multiple $89.71 $119.61 $149.51 55
EV/EBITDA $2.53 $7.90 $13.28 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $17.09 $22.90 $34.17 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $78.45 $122.42 $1,417 64
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $112.52 $160.75 $208.97 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($160.75) versus Dividend Discount ($2.12). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 8.0
P/S ratio 5.13 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $5.41 price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.0
Dividend yield 0.8% payout 6.1%
Net margin 64.1% FY2026
Return on equity 32.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% avg 5y
Operating margin −20.4% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ¥7.8T TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.1% 3y avg +6.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +261%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −¥2.5T FY2026
Net debt ¥20.6T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 14
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

SoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services in Japan and internationally. It operates through Investment Business of Holding Companies, SoftBank Vision Funds, SoftBank, Arm, and Other segments.

Full company description

SoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services in Japan and internationally. It operates through Investment Business of Holding Companies, SoftBank Vision Funds, SoftBank, Arm, and Other segments. The company offers mobile communications and solutions to enterprise customers, and broadband services to retail customers; and sells mobile devices and software tools, as well as related services. It also provides online advertising and e-commerce services; payment and financial services; information and communication technology services products to enterprise customers; and communication device-related products and Internet of Things equipment to retail customers. In addition, the company engages in the design of microprocessor intellectual property and related technology; alternative investment management; ownership of professional baseball team; operation of baseball games; management and maintenance of baseball stadium and other sports facilities; and distribution of video, voice, and data content via media businesses. Further, it is involved in the certification services, security solutions, and Linux/OSS businesses; operation of comprehensive IT information site ITmedia; internet advertising agency business; sale of indirect materials, such as consumable supplies; facility management; operation of StoreMatch, an online advertising distribution service; planning and operation of fashion e-commerce website; operational support of brands' own e-commerce website; operation of fashion coordination app; banking; mail order sale of stationery and services; and provision of autonomous forklifts. The company was formerly known as SoftBank Corp. and changed its name to SoftBank Group Corp. in July 2015. SoftBank Group Corp. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Softbank Group Corp. reported revenue of ¥7.8T in FY2026 versus ¥6.2T in FY2022, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥5.0T in FY2026.

Growth Quality 45/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
¥7.8T
Latest YoY
+8.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (29Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−18.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−19.6%
Dividend yield0.8%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −19.6% vs 10Y 12.1%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10.7% (2021) → −0.1% (2026) · falling
Worst earnings drop145% (2020) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in JPY
Revenue +6.0%/yr
FY22 ¥6.2T
FY23 ¥6.6T
FY24 ¥6.8T
FY25 ¥7.2T
FY26 ¥7.8T
Net income
FY22 −¥1.7T
FY23 −¥970B
FY24 −¥228B
FY25 ¥1.2T
FY26 ¥5.0T

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Softbank Group Corp. · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Softbank Group Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SFTBF

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 251 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 33% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 64% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −20% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.71× · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 2.28× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.12× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 50.5× · Priciest 25%
PEG 1,235.70× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 29
FUTURE36 · sector 15
PAST100 · sector 29
HEALTH65 · sector 89
DIVIDEND15 · sector 74

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥96.11 ¥109.88 +14%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $181.52 $172.67 −5%
Verizon Communications Inc VZ $50.14 $64.43 +29%
AT&T Inc T $25.68 $43.97 +71%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,935 ₹941.48 −51%
Comcast Corporation CMCSA $26.49 $95.42 +260%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.43 ¥8.36 +30%
América Móvil, S.A. AMX $23.00 $39.79 +73%
Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z77 4.53 SGD 3.03 SGD −33%
Swisscom AG SCMN CHF 641.00 CHF 463.92 −28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $104.06 versus a price of $43.30, about +140% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SFTBF?
Our model-based fair value for Softbank Group Corp. is $104.06 (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $43.30.
What is the quality score of SFTBF?
Softbank Group Corp. has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $104.06 (as of Aug 28, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $75.93, optimistic scenario $130.08. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Softbank Group Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $104.06, about +140% upside versus a price of $43.30 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $75.93, optimistic scenario $130.08. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
Softbank Group Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥7.8T (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SFTBF?
The net profit margin of Softbank Group Corp. is about 64.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 64.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Softbank Group Corp. pay a dividend?
Softbank Group Corp. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.77% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Softbank Group Corp. it is $104.06 per share (as of Aug 28, 2026), against a price of $43.30. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Softbank Group Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 28, 2026, SFTBF trades below its calculated fair value: price $43.30, fair value $104.06, a gap of about +140% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SFTBF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($43.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($104.06). For Softbank Group Corp. the two are $60.76 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Softbank Group Corp. worth?
The market values Softbank Group Corp. at about $247B (market capitalisation, as of Aug 28, 2026). Per share that is $43.30; our models calculate a fair value of $104.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SFTBF?
Our models span a range for Softbank Group Corp.: cautious scenario $75.93, base $104.06, optimistic $130.08 per share (as of Aug 28, 2026, price $43.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SFTBF?
Softbank Group Corp. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.0 (as of Aug 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $104.06 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.3, P/S 5.1, EV/EBITDA 50.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Softbank Group Corp. (as of Aug 28, 2026): return on equity 32.7%, debt of 0.71 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SFTBF from its 52-week high?
Softbank Group Corp. trades at $43.30, about 76% below its 52-week high of $178.66 and 110% above the low of $20.65 (as of Aug 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $104.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Softbank Group Corp.?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, T-Mobile US, Inc, Verizon Communications Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Softbank Group Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 28, 2026: price $43.30, calculated fair value $104.06 (+140%), Quality Score 24/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SFTBF calculated?
We run Softbank Group Corp. through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $104.06, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
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