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Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $84.2B

CC Comcast Corporation logo Comcast Corporation CMCSA · US
Price$25.17
Fair Value$70.71
Upside+180.9%
Quality59/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
5.65% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/15)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range $46.45 – $104.71 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from $95.42 to $70.71 (−25.9%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +7.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 181% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($46.45). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($46.45 to $104.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$49.17 $21.92 Fair Value $70.71 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $21.92 – $49.17 · fair‑value band $46.45 – $104.71 · the $25.17 price screens below the $70.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) currently trades at $25.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $70.71, implying the stock looks roughly 180.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Comcast Corporation generated revenue of $125B at a net margin of 15.0%. Revenue grew 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.9%. Net debt stands at $101B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $46.45 (bear case) to $104.71 (bull case); at $25.17, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 181%, CMCSA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $55.08 $113.68 $212.79 80
Residual Income $37.20 $50.08 $226.35 76
Rev-Margin DCF $37.35 $78.85 $132.42 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $55.63 $119.33 $229.93 38
Owner Earnings $64.89 $136.07 $259.63 31
5Y Revenue Exit $37.35 $79.53 $136.14 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $65.12 $136.69 $226.55 41
5Y P/E Exit $54.65 $115.13 $184.09 38
10Y Revenue Exit $41.05 $83.20 $146.57 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $61.26 $125.04 $222.13 37
10Y P/E Exit $54.32 $109.26 $186.64 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $38.17 $176.06 $241.75 54
Lynch FV $46.32 $66.18 $86.03 50
PEG = 1.0 $46.32 $66.18 $86.03 46
EPV $15.50 $21.98 $27.66 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $12.61 $26.22 $41.60 70
DDM Multi-Stage $12.61 $22.11 $27.52 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $84.20 $112.26 $140.33 63
P/S Multiple $65.10 $86.81 $108.51 58
P/B Multiple $61.20 $81.60 $102.00 55
EV/EBIT $54.89 $80.99 $107.10 53
EV/EBITDA $77.49 $111.14 $144.78 54
EV/Revenue $29.36 $51.99 $74.61 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.60 $18.22 $27.20 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $55.08 $113.68 $212.79 80
Rev-Margin DCF $37.35 $78.85 $132.42 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $37.20 $50.08 $226.35 76
ROIC Compounder $15.50 $21.98 $28.33 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $72.20 $103.14 $134.08 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($115.13) versus Asset-Based ($18.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $125B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.3%
Net margin 15.0%
Return on equity 20.9%
Free cash flow $21.9B FY2025
P/E ratio 4.6
More key figures
Operating margin 13.2%
EPS (TTM) $5.10
Dividend yield 5.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -32.6%
Net debt $101B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Comcast Corporation operates as a media and technology company worldwide. The company operates through Residential Connectivity & Platforms, Business Services Connectivity, Media, Studios, and Theme Parks segments.

Full company description

Comcast Corporation operates as a media and technology company worldwide. The company operates through Residential Connectivity & Platforms, Business Services Connectivity, Media, Studios, and Theme Parks segments. Its Residential Connectivity & Platforms segment provides residential broadband and wireless connectivity services, residential and business video services, sky-branded entertainment television networks, and advertising. The Business Services Connectivity segment offers connectivity services for small business locations, which include broadband, wireline voice, and wireless services; and ethernet network services for medium-sized customers and larger enterprises. Its Media segment operates NBCUniversal's national and regional cable networks; the NBC and Telemundo broadcast networks and owned local broadcast television stations; and Peacock, a direct-to-consumer streaming services. The company also operates international television networks comprising the Sky Sports networks, as well as other digital properties. Its Studios segment operates NBCUniversal and Sky film and television studio production and distribution operations. The Theme Parks segment operates Universal theme parks in Orlando, Florida; Hollywood, California; Osaka, Japan; and Beijing, China. It also offers a consolidated streaming platforms under the Philadelphia Flyers and the Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; and Xumo. Comcast Corporation was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Comcast Corporation reported revenue of $124B in FY2025 versus $116B in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was $20.0B in FY2025, compounding +9.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$124B
Latest YoY
+0.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+19.0%
Revenue +1.5%/yr
FY21 $116B
FY22 $121B
FY23 $122B
FY24 $124B
FY25 $124B
Net income +9.0%/yr
FY21 $14.2B
FY22 $5.4B
FY23 $15.4B
FY24 $16.2B
FY25 $20.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Comcast Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CMCSA

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 252 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +181% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.96× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.87× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.67× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 142.98× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 29
FUTURE 27 · sector 15
PAST 84 · sector 28
HEALTH 52 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 73

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥89.98 ¥109.88 +22%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $187.61 $172.67 -8%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,922 ₹941.55 -51%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.01 ¥8.36 +39%
América Móvil, S.A. AMXB 23.07 MXN 30.35 MXN +32%
Vodafone Group VODN 259.50 MXN 507.27 MXN +95%
Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC 379.00 THB 286.77 THB -24%
Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 133.50 TWD 100.00 TWD -25%
China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited 0762 HK$6.50 HK$13.03 +100%
Telefónica, S.A TEFN 75.67 MXN 111.01 MXN +47%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $70.71 versus a price of $25.17, about +181% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CMCSA?
Our model-based fair value for Comcast Corporation is $70.71 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $25.17.
What is the quality score of CMCSA?
Comcast Corporation has a Quality Score of 59/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Comcast Corporation (CMCSA)?
Comcast Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $125B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CMCSA?
The net profit margin of Comcast Corporation is about 15.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Comcast Corporation pay a dividend?
Comcast Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.61% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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