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T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of T-Mobile US, Inc €245, price €144, upside +70.0%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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TM
Broad data
Sep 29, 2026
T-Mobile US, Inc
TM5 · XETRAClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value €245.25 · Strongly undervalued (+70.0%)
✓Quality 62/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +5.2 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.7% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 64/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €87.96 – €256.12 · fair‑value band €146.22 – €318.83 · the €144.28 price screens below the €245.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
T-Mobile US, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides wireless communications services in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands. The company offers voice, messaging, and data services to postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale and other services customers.
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T-Mobile US, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides wireless communications services in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands. The company offers voice, messaging, and data services to postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale and other services customers. It also provides wireless devices, including smartphones, wearables, tablets, home broadband gateways, headsets, and other mobile communication devices, as well as accessories; financing through equipment installment plans; reinsurance for device insurance policies and extended warranty contracts. The company offers services under the T-Mobile, Metro by T-Mobile, and Mint Mobile brands through its owned and operated retail stores, customer care channels, national retailers, and its websites, as well as through T-Mobile, Metro by T-Mobile, and Mint Mobile apps. It also sells devices to dealers and other third-party distributors for resale through independent third-party retail outlets and various third-party websites. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington. T-Mobile US, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Deutsche Telekom AG.
Stock analysis
T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5) currently trades at €144.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €245.25, implying the stock looks roughly 41.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €305.56 per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the €144.28 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €32.56, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €146.22 (bear) to €318.83 (bull), the price of €144.28 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
T-Mobile US, Inc reported revenue of $88.3B in FY2025 versus $80.1B in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was $11.0B in FY2025, compounding +38.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €178B · P/E ratio 17.4 · P/S ratio 2.17 · EPS (TTM) €8.27 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 12.4% · Return on equity 18.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 70%, TM5 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €146.22
Fair Value €245.25
Bull €318.83
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€3.27 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV
€61.04
€82.75
€102.05
74
Residual Income
€61.80
€80.59
€140.75
73
FCF DCF
€187.88
€375.80
€919.53
72
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
€187.88
€375.80
€919.53
72
Owner Earnings
€141.33
€407.79
€985.78
68
5Y Revenue Exit
€110.44
€250.32
€507.16
67
5Y EBITDA Exit
€173.75
€388.69
€761.15
70
5Y P/E Exit
€112.29
€275.86
€481.65
67
10Y Revenue Exit
€126.69
€302.03
€520.61
64
10Y EBITDA Exit
€177.87
€422.69
€862.36
63
10Y P/E Exit
€133.79
€305.56
€589.31
60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
€61.36
€419.09
€587.61
63
Lynch FV
€123.17
€175.96
€228.75
61
PEG = 1.0
€123.17
€175.96
€228.75
57
EPV
€61.04
€82.75
€102.05
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
€32.54
€71.04
€119.53
65
DDM Multi-Stage
€32.54
€58.20
€74.04
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
€148.89
€198.52
€248.15
63
P/S Multiple
€115.05
€153.40
€191.75
58
P/B Multiple
€115.05
€153.40
€191.75
55
EV/EBIT
€118.05
€178.07
€238.09
65
EV/EBITDA
€172.83
€251.11
€329.40
67
EV/Revenue
€74.53
€133.05
€191.57
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
€24.30
€32.56
€48.60
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
€177.61
€433.12
€937.35
72
Rev-Margin DCF
€110.44
€264.09
€491.00
68
Economic Profit
Residual Income
€61.80
€80.59
€140.75
73
ROIC Compounder
€72.77
€135.00
€192.26
70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
€173.34
€247.62
€321.91
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
62/100
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Profitability
47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
77
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
24
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.7% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.8%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+32.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+29.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.29.6% vs 27.0%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 21%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−0.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −3.2% a year for the price and +2.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+7.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.6%
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: German Stocks
- Valuation of the Germany market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 80941 | HK$67.30 | HK$114.85 | +71% |
| Verizon Communications Inc VZ | $45.87 | $70.27 | +53% |
| AT&T Inc T | $24.48 | $51.11 | +109% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,741 | ₹1,883 | +8% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.16 | ¥8.36 | +36% |
| Saudi Telecom Company 7010 | 43.22 SAR | 41.80 SAR | −3% |
| Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z74 | 4.28 SGD | 2.16 SGD | −50% |
| Swisscom AG SCMN | CHF 639.00 | CHF 505.18 | −21% |
| Telstra Group TLS | A$4.83 | A$4.43 | −8% |
| Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 | 145.00 TWD | 98.28 TWD | −32% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €245.25 versus a price of €144.28, about +70% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TM5?
Our model-based fair value for T-Mobile US, Inc is €245.25 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €144.28.
What is the quality score of TM5?
T-Mobile US, Inc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €245.25 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario €146.22, optimistic scenario €318.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the T-Mobile US, Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €245.25, about +70% upside versus a price of €144.28 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €146.22, optimistic scenario €318.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5)?
T-Mobile US, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $90.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does T-Mobile US, Inc pay a dividend?
T-Mobile US, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.73% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, T-Mobile US, Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -0.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 7.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.2 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TM5 use?
Our models discount T-Mobile US, Inc at 7.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (mega), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For T-Mobile US, Inc that is -0.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (7.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at T-Mobile US, Inc grew +5.2 % a year. The price currently implies -0.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into T-Mobile US, Inc (-0.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.45 %: that much free cash flow T-Mobile US, Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (7.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For T-Mobile US, Inc it is €245.25 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of €144.28. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is T-Mobile US, Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, TM5 trades below its calculated fair value: price €144.28, fair value €245.25, a gap of about +70% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TM5?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€144.28); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€245.25). For T-Mobile US, Inc the two are €100.97 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is T-Mobile US, Inc worth?
The market values T-Mobile US, Inc at about €178B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is €144.28; our models calculate a fair value of €245.25 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TM5?
Our models span a range for T-Mobile US, Inc: cautious scenario €146.22, base €245.25, optimistic €318.83 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price €144.28). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is TM5 from its 52-week high?
T-Mobile US, Inc trades at €144.28, about 26% below its 52-week high of €195.19 and 1% above the low of €143.06 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €245.25 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to T-Mobile US, Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, AT&T Inc, Bharti Airtel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is T-Mobile US, Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price €144.28, calculated fair value €245.25 (+70%), Quality Score 62/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TM5 calculated?
We run T-Mobile US, Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €245.25, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. T-Mobile US, Inc currently trades 41 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €144.28. Our model-based fair value is €245.25, about +70% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with T-Mobile US, Inc right now?
Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (€146.22 to €318.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5) come from?
Earnings per share at T-Mobile US, Inc grew +27.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.5 %, EBIT margin +11.6 %, tax rate +1.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +5.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of T-Mobile US, Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5)?
The market capitalisation of T-Mobile US, Inc is €178B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of T-Mobile US, Inc is 17.4. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5)?
The price-to-sales ratio of T-Mobile US, Inc is 2.17 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5)?
Earnings per share at T-Mobile US, Inc are €8.27 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5)?
The dividend yield of T-Mobile US, Inc is 2.7% (payout 47.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5)?
The net margin of T-Mobile US, Inc is 12.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5)?
The return on equity (ROE) of T-Mobile US, Inc is 18.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of T-Mobile US, Inc is 6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5)?
The operating margin of T-Mobile US, Inc is 24.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5)?
Revenue at T-Mobile US, Inc is growing +10.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5)?
Earnings per share at T-Mobile US, Inc are growing −12.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does T-Mobile US, Inc (TM5) carry?
The net debt of T-Mobile US, Inc is $117B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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