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Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc $8.44, price $9.05, upside -6.7%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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MV
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc
GRWXF · USNeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
·Fair value $8.44 · Fairly valued (−6.7%)
✓Quality 60/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −11.1 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 75.5% net margin (TTM)
✓generates free cash flow
✓Wide moat 67/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.59 – $16.00 · fair‑value band $7.08 – $9.02 · the $9.05 price screens above the $8.44 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc, is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in directly investing as well as investing in other funds.
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Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc, is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in directly investing as well as investing in other funds. In direct investments, the firm invests in any stage in the lifecycle of a business from seed, early stage, later stage, later venture, and series A stage, mature, growth capital, pre-IPO investments, IPO or acquisition, late stage, start-ups, cross-stage investments, buyouts, PIPES, and also makes direct and secondary investments in portfolio companies. It also seeks to buy entire funds from other tech investors. The firm primarily invests in companies from pre-revenue stage upwards. It primarily invests in technology-oriented business. The firm typically invests in digital technology, digital health and wellness, AI, cloud, enterprise, consumer, utilities, communication equipment, financial technology, infrastructure services, commerce, enterprise and data, systems and semiconductors, commercial digital lending, consumer digital lending, online trading systems, internet, telecommunications equipment, mobile, media, renewable energy, consumer technology, enterprise software, education services, consumer electronics, home furnishings, homebuilding, household appliances, housewares and specialties, retail, apparel and luxury goods, enterprise technology, SaaS, deep-tech, health care technology, digital health and wellness and healthcare sectors, software, hardware, medical technology, and life sciences sectors. It invests in companies based in Europe, United states, Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Germany, Finland, Portugal, France, Netherlands, Poland, Romania, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Ireland, and United Kingdom. The firm seeks to invest between £2 million ($2.27 million) and £50 million ($56.87 million). It invests 30 percent of its corpus in very early stage companies with up to $5 million in revenues. The firm seeks to make minority and majority investments. Molten Ventures Plc was founded in 1984 and is based in London, United Kingdom w
Stock analysis
Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF) currently trades at $9.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.44, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.2%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of $32.37 per share, and 7 of the 11 models we run sit above the $9.05 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $4.00, and 4 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $7.08 (bear) to $9.02 (bull), the price of $9.05 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc reported revenue of £160M in FY2026 versus £351M in FY2022, a compound −17.8%/yr. Reported net income was £120M in FY2026, compounding −20.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $2.2B · P/E ratio 10.8 · P/S ratio 8.09 · EPS (TTM) $0.8400 · Net margin 75.1% · Return on equity 9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% · Operating margin 75.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −7%, GRWXF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $7.08
Fair Value $8.44
Bull $9.02
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4281 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$8.20
$8.76
$9.86
74
Growth DCF
$2.48
$4.00
$6.39
72
Owner Earnings
$13.29
$27.11
$52.77
67
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
$13.29
$27.11
$52.77
67
5Y P/E Exit
$7.34
$17.35
$31.23
62
10Y P/E Exit
$5.78
$14.42
$29.13
55
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$6.29
$43.86
$61.55
61
Lynch FV
$22.66
$32.37
$42.08
59
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$9.02
$12.02
$15.03
63
P/B Multiple
$10.69
$14.25
$17.81
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$5.09
$6.82
$10.18
51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$2.48
$4.00
$6.39
72
Rev-Margin DCF
$2.59
$4.30
$7.88
65
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$8.20
$8.76
$9.86
74
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
60/100
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75
Profitability
43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
98
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
29
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
94
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
96
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
27/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+260.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +63.4% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.0%
’13
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−23.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−23.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−23.9% vs −5.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.94% → 76%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+58.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in GBP, UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +54.5% a year for the price and −0.5% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+1.8%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+1.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+1.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.8%
Projected 2031 (sales)+1.9%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 655 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Financials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackstone Inc BX | $112.09 | $52.29 | −53% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $93.18 | $29.26 | −69% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | $36.87 | $13.45 | −64% |
| Apollo Global Management, Inc APO | $116.06 | $197.23 | +70% |
| State Street Corporation STT | $177.78 | $139.37 | −22% |
| Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP | $494.82 | $595.40 | +20% |
| Ares Management Corporation ARES | $122.01 | $103.68 | −15% |
| Northern Trust Corporation NTRS | $175.73 | $123.42 | −30% |
| Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF | $161.16 | $317.27 | +97% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €68.10 | €136.20 | +100% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.44 versus a price of $9.05, about −7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GRWXF?
Our model-based fair value for Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc is $8.44 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $9.05.
What is the quality score of GRWXF?
Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $8.44 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.08, optimistic scenario $9.02. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $8.44, about −7% upside versus a price of $9.05 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $7.08, optimistic scenario $9.02. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF)?
Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £159M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc would have to grow free cash flow by +58.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -11.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GRWXF use?
Our models discount Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.28, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc that is +58.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc grew -11.1 % a year. The price currently implies +58.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (+58.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.63 %: that much free cash flow Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc it is $8.44 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $9.05. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, GRWXF trades above its calculated fair value: price $9.05, fair value $8.44, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GRWXF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($9.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($8.44). For Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc the two are $0.6100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc worth?
The market values Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc at about $2.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $9.05; our models calculate a fair value of $8.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GRWXF?
Our models span a range for Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc: cautious scenario $7.08, base $8.44, optimistic $9.02 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $9.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GRWXF?
Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $8.44 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 8.6, EV/EBITDA 10.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GRWXF from its 52-week high?
Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc trades at $9.05, about 5% below its 52-week high of $9.52 and 76% above the low of $5.14 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $8.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, KKR & Co, Brookfield Corporation, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $9.05, calculated fair value $8.44 (−7%), Quality Score 60/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GRWXF calculated?
We run Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $8.44, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $9.05. Our model-based fair value is $8.44, about −7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF)?
The market capitalisation of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc is $2.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc is 8.09 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF)?
Earnings per share at Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc are $0.8400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF)?
The net margin of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc is 75.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc is 1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF)?
The operating margin of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc is 75.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF)?
Revenue at Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc is growing +47.6% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF)?
Earnings per share at Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc are growing +29.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc (GRWXF) carry?
The net debt of Molten Ventures Plc, formerly known as Draper Esprit plc is £79.1M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 7.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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