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GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹78.6M

GC GUJARAT COTEX LTD. GUJCOTEX · BSE
Price₹3.58
Fair Value₹1.59
Upside-55.6%
Quality61/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 15/100
Evidence: High Range ₹1.46 – ₹1.59 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 16, 2026

From 20 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

A solid business, but screening 56% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band (₹1.46 to ₹1.59), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹23.34 ₹1.00 Fair Value ₹1.59 Mar 2018 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹1.00 – ₹23.34 · fair‑value band ₹1.46 – ₹1.59 · the ₹3.58 price screens above the ₹1.59 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.

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Analysis

GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX) currently trades at ₹3.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1.59, implying the stock looks roughly 55.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, GUJARAT COTEX LTD. generated revenue of ₹387M at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue grew 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.5%. Net debt stands at ₹2.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹1.46 (bear case) to ₹1.59 (bull case); at ₹3.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -56%, GUJCOTEX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹9.25 ₹14.98 ₹23.94 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹9.64 ₹16.87 ₹32.03 74
Growth-Adj P/E ₹1.46 ₹2.08 ₹2.71 68
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹9.88 ₹13.88 ₹25.56 38
5Y Revenue Exit ₹8.75 ₹14.75 ₹27.27 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹3.60 ₹4.36 ₹5.77 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹3.94 ₹5.96 ₹8.22 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹8.89 ₹18.22 ₹23.80 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹5.93 ₹8.78 ₹12.39 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹6.14 ₹9.40 ₹13.70 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹0.3100 ₹2.16 ₹3.03 54
Lynch FV ₹1.10 ₹1.56 ₹2.03 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹1.10 ₹1.56 ₹2.03 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹0.7500 ₹1.00 ₹1.25 63
P/S Multiple ₹0.5800 ₹0.7700 ₹0.9700 58
P/B Multiple ₹0.5800 ₹0.7700 ₹0.9700 55
EV/EBITDA ₹0.1400 ₹0.2200 ₹0.2900 54
EV/Revenue ₹7.56 ₹10.84 ₹14.12 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹1.50 ₹2.00 ₹2.99 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹9.25 ₹14.98 ₹23.94 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹9.64 ₹16.87 ₹32.03 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹1.86 ₹1.68 ₹1.09 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹1.46 ₹2.08 ₹2.71 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹14.98) versus Multiples (₹0.7700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹387M
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.9%
Net margin 0.3%
Return on equity 1.5%
Free cash flow ₹18.9M FY2026
P/E ratio 51.1
More key figures
Operating margin -7.5%
EPS (TTM) ₹0.0700
EPS growth (YoY) -55.6%
Net debt ₹2.4M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Gujarat Cotex Limited engages in trading of textile fabrics in India. It also trades in land and plot. The company was formerly known as Octagon Industries Limited. Gujarat Cotex Limited was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Surat, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

GUJARAT COTEX LTD. reported revenue of ₹384M in FY2026 versus ₹143M in FY2022, a compound +28.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.0M in FY2026, compounding −34.7%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹384M
Latest YoY
+40.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+32.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+44.1%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.3%
Revenue +28.0%/yr
FY22 ₹143M
FY23 ₹166M
FY24 ₹169M
FY25 ₹273M
FY26 ₹384M
Net income −34.7%/yr
FY22 ₹5.6M
FY23 ₹96.0K
FY24 ₹1.9M
FY25 ₹2.2M
FY26 ₹1.0M

GUJCOTEX screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GUJARAT COTEX LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GUJCOTEX

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 320 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −56% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 51.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.17× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.20× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 25.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 11
FUTURE40 · sector 0
PAST6 · sector 15
HEALTH97 · sector 95
DIVIDEND0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$42.10 HK$68.24 +62%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥22.67 ¥14.53 -36%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.79 ¥14.35 +12%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 25.64 TWD -7%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,124 ₹467.49 -58%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥71.55 ¥11.85 -83%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 324.31 TRY +86%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹591.90 ₹437.53 -26%
Ruentex Industries Ltd 2915 54.10 TWD 133.24 TWD +146%
Welspun Living Limited WELSPUNLIV ₹165.23 ₹47.77 -71%

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Frequently asked questions

Is GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1.59 versus a price of ₹3.58, about −56% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GUJCOTEX?
Our model-based fair value for GUJARAT COTEX LTD. is ₹1.59 (as of Aug 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹3.58.
What is the quality score of GUJCOTEX?
GUJARAT COTEX LTD. has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. (GUJCOTEX)?
GUJARAT COTEX LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹387M (latest available figure, as of Aug 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GUJCOTEX?
The net profit margin of GUJARAT COTEX LTD. is about 0.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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