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Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk IDR 6,996, price IDR 3,520, upside +98.8%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · ID · ISIN ID1000102205

HA Thin data Oct 2, 2026

Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk

HEXA · JK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

Fair value 6,996 IDR · Strongly undervalued (+98.8%)
Quality 64/100
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Thin margins · 2.8% net margin (TTM)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +13.8 %/yr in USD)
Narrow moat 31/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

5,136 IDR 1,564 IDR Fair Value 6,996 IDR May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1,564 IDR – 5,136 IDR · fair‑value band 5,229 IDR – 8,745 IDR · the 3,520 IDR price screens below the 6,996 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk distributes heavy equipment products and services in Indonesia. It operates in four segments: Sales of Heavy Equipment; Rental of Heavy Equipment; Sales of Spare Parts; and Repair and Maintenance Services.

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PT Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk distributes heavy equipment products and services in Indonesia. It operates in four segments: Sales of Heavy Equipment; Rental of Heavy Equipment; Sales of Spare Parts; and Repair and Maintenance Services. The company offers mini, medium, and large excavators; wheel and backhoe loaders; rigid and articulated dump trucks; tandem road and single drum rollers; heavy duty trucks; bulldozers; motor graders; loading shovels; carrier dumps; and used equipment, as well as other construction, mining, and forestry equipment. It also provides spare parts, including lubricants, filters, undercarriages, O-ring kits for control valves, ground engaging tools, seal kits, remanufactured components, and other parts. In addition, the company offers support chain; e-services; dealer service maintenance contracts; consolidated solutions for construction sites; Wenco's mine performance suite, which includes fleet management, high-precision machine guidance, predictive maintenance, collision avoidance, and mining business intelligence systems; technical support; remanufacturing; welding; and spare parts, as well as operates a training center. Further, it provides various solutions for the agriculture, civil engineering, demolition, dredging and reclamation, forestry, port handling, recycling, mining, quarrying, construction, plantation, and equipment rental industries. The company offers its products under the Hitachi, Bell, Dynapac, Foton, Morooka, Camino, and Waratah brands. PT Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA) currently trades at 3,520 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6,996 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 49.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 13,564 IDR per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the 3,520 IDR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 2,353 IDR, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 5,229 IDR (bear) to 8,745 IDR (bull), the price of 3,520 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk reported revenue of $503M in FY2026 versus $463M in FY2022, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was $15.6M in FY2026, compounding −27.0%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap 3.0T IDR (≈ $165M) · P/E ratio 11.5 · P/S ratio 0.36 · EPS (TTM) 306.42 IDR · Net margin 3.1% · Return on equity 8.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.8% · Operating margin 6.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at 99%, HEXA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 5,229 IDR Fair Value 6,996 IDR Bull 8,745 IDR
Price 3,520 IDR · Upside +98.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (162.02 IDR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 15,269 IDR 19,158 IDR 25,417 IDR 79
Growth DCF 15,647 IDR 19,298 IDR 24,735 IDR 78
Owner Earnings 4,663 IDR 5,798 IDR 7,626 IDR 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 15,269 IDR 19,158 IDR 25,417 IDR 79
Owner Earnings 4,663 IDR 5,798 IDR 7,626 IDR 76
5Y Revenue Exit 9,780 IDR 11,977 IDR 15,131 IDR 72
5Y EBITDA Exit 10,698 IDR 13,564 IDR 17,365 IDR 74
5Y P/E Exit 9,762 IDR 11,946 IDR 14,612 IDR 70
10Y Revenue Exit 12,242 IDR 13,933 IDR 15,561 IDR 66
10Y EBITDA Exit 12,814 IDR 14,771 IDR 16,680 IDR 68
10Y P/E Exit 12,328 IDR 13,917 IDR 15,302 IDR 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 2,258 IDR 2,760 IDR 3,105 IDR 65
EPV 3,471 IDR 3,853 IDR 4,163 IDR 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 3,147 IDR 3,363 IDR 3,682 IDR 67
DDM Multi-Stage 3,147 IDR 3,642 IDR 4,260 IDR 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple 5,230 IDR 6,974 IDR 8,717 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 4,234 IDR 5,645 IDR 7,057 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 4,234 IDR 5,645 IDR 7,057 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 7,180 IDR 9,477 IDR 11,774 IDR 66
EV/EBITDA 7,599 IDR 10,036 IDR 12,473 IDR 67
EV/Revenue 5,207 IDR 7,315 IDR 9,423 IDR 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1,756 IDR 2,353 IDR 3,513 IDR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 15,647 IDR 19,298 IDR 24,735 IDR 78
Rev-Margin DCF 9,780 IDR 12,400 IDR 15,827 IDR 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income 2,796 IDR 2,991 IDR 3,286 IDR 74
ROIC Compounder 3,471 IDR 3,884 IDR 4,283 IDR 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 3,693 IDR 5,276 IDR 6,859 IDR 65

P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 97
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−16.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−16.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−16.5% vs −1.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 5%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Distribution · 110 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 64 · Above median
Fair Value upside +98.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8.1% · Below median
Return on assets 3.1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2.8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −7.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.00× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.33× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.8× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 5.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.25× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 46
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 29
PAST (return on equity)32 · sector 37
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 38

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Indutrade AB INDT kr 262.20 kr 288.42 +10% vs HEXA
Watsco, Inc WSO $297.47 $250.18 −16% vs HEXA
Fastenal Company FAST $49.83 $41.28 −17% vs HEXA
Finning International Inc FTT C$106.19 C$74.26 −30% vs HEXA
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT $344.99 $205.13 −41% vs HEXA
Toromont Industries Ltd TIH C$236.69 C$127.86 −46% vs HEXA
W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW $1,280 $623.81 −51% vs HEXA
WESCO International, Inc WCC $367.44 $151.88 −59% vs HEXA
QXO, Inc QXO $12.06 $3.09 −74% vs HEXA
Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG $222.74 $32.49 −85% vs HEXA

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Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk · Fair Value
6,996 IDR +50%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HEXA

Frequently asked questions

Is Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 6,996 IDR versus a price of 3,520 IDR, about +99% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HEXA?
Our model-based fair value for Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk is 6,996 IDR (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 3,520 IDR.
What is the quality score of HEXA?
Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 6,996 IDR (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 5,229 IDR, optimistic scenario 8,745 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 6,996 IDR, about +99% upside versus a price of 3,520 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 5,229 IDR, optimistic scenario 8,745 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA)?
Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $506M (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk it is 6,996 IDR per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of 3,520 IDR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, HEXA trades below its calculated fair value: price 3,520 IDR, fair value 6,996 IDR, a gap of about +99% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HEXA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (3,520 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (6,996 IDR). For Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk the two are 3,476 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk worth?
The market values Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk at about 3.0T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is 3,520 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 6,996 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HEXA?
Our models span a range for Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk: cautious scenario 5,229 IDR, base 6,996 IDR, optimistic 8,745 IDR per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price 3,520 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HEXA?
Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.5 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 6,996 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.3, P/B 1.0, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 5.3.
What is the PEG ratio of HEXA?
The PEG ratio of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk is 0.25 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 2, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 8.1%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HEXA from its 52-week high?
Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk trades at 3,520 IDR, about 20% below its 52-week high of 4,390 IDR and 3% above the low of 3,410 IDR (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 6,996 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value W.W. Grainger, Inc, Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price 3,520 IDR, calculated fair value 6,996 IDR (+99%), Quality Score 64/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HEXA calculated?
We run Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 6,996 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk currently trades 50 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA)?
The closing price on Oct 9, 2026 was 3,520 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 6,996 IDR, about +99% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (5,229 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA) come from?
Earnings per share at Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk grew +9.6 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.0 %, EBIT margin +4.5 %, tax rate +0.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk

How large is the market capitalisation of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA)?
The market capitalisation of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk is 3.0T IDR (≈ $165M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk is 0.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA)?
Earnings per share at Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk are 306.42 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA)?
The net margin of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk is 3.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk is 14.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA)?
The operating margin of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA)?
Revenue at Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk is growing −7.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA)?
Earnings per share at Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk are growing −28.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA) generate?
The free cash flow of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk is $91.5M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA) carry?
The net debt of Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk is $78.9M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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