Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ID · Market cap 3.7T IDR
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 7,040 IDR to 6,967 IDR (−1.0%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −4.0% over the past month.
A solid business, trading 38% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (5,181 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,674 IDR – 5,498 IDR · fair‑value band 5,181 IDR – 8,754 IDR · the 4,330 IDR price screens below the 6,967 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk (HEXA) currently trades at 4,330 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6,967 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 60.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk generated revenue of 555M IDR at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue grew 34.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.3%. Net debt stands at 78.9M IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 5,181 IDR (bear case) to 8,754 IDR (bull case); at 4,330 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at 61%, HEXA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (15,007 IDR) versus Asset-Based (2,322 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk distributes heavy equipment products and services in Indonesia. It operates in four segments: Sales of Heavy Equipment; Rental of Heavy Equipment; Sales of Spare Parts; and Repair and Maintenance Services.
Full company description
PT Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk distributes heavy equipment products and services in Indonesia. It operates in four segments: Sales of Heavy Equipment; Rental of Heavy Equipment; Sales of Spare Parts; and Repair and Maintenance Services. The company offers mini, medium, and large excavators; wheel and backhoe loaders; rigid and articulated dump trucks; tandem road and single drum rollers; heavy duty trucks; bulldozers; motor graders; loading shovels; carrier dumps; and used equipment, as well as other construction, mining, and forestry equipment. It also provides spare parts, including lubricants, filters, undercarriages, O-ring kits for control valves, ground engaging tools, seal kits, remanufactured components, and other parts. In addition, the company offers support chain; e-services; dealer service maintenance contracts; consolidated solutions for construction sites; Wenco's mine performance suite, which includes fleet management, high-precision machine guidance, predictive maintenance, collision avoidance, and mining business intelligence systems; technical support; remanufacturing; welding; and spare parts, as well as operates a training center. Further, it provides various solutions for the agriculture, civil engineering, demolition, dredging and reclamation, forestry, port handling, recycling, mining, quarrying, construction, plantation, and equipment rental industries. The company offers its products under the Hitachi, Bell, Dynapac, Foton, Morooka, Camino, and Waratah brands. PT Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Hexindo Adiperkasa Tbk reported revenue of 503M IDR in FY2026 versus 463M IDR in FY2022, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was 15.6M IDR in FY2026, compounding −27.0%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +6.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Industrial Distribution · 110 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW | $1,305 | $613.88 | -53% |
| Fastenal Company FAST | $52.22 | $20.64 | -60% |
| Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG | $245.18 | $148.98 | -39% |
| WESCO International, Inc WCC | $364.60 | $213.01 | -42% |
| Watsco, Inc WSO | $314.45 | $251.37 | -20% |
| Toromont Industries Ltd TIH | C$218.77 | C$127.90 | -42% |
| Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT | $352.29 | $191.65 | -46% |
| Finning International Inc FTT | C$93.86 | C$76.38 | -19% |
| Addtech AB ADDTB | kr 344.00 | kr 156.35 | -55% |
| Core & Main, Inc CNM | $45.45 | $49.47 | +9% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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