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Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc (AIT) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $12.2B

AI Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc logo Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT · US
Price$358.91
Fair Value$191.65
Upside-46.6%
Quality71/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.59% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Moderate moat 62/100
Evidence: High Range $131.03 – $240.80 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $202.62 to $191.65 (−5.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +13.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($240.80). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range ($131.03 to $240.80) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$358.91 $79.24 Fair Value $191.65 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $79.24 – $358.91 · fair‑value band $131.03 – $240.80 · the $358.91 price screens above the $191.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc (AIT) currently trades at $358.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $191.65, implying the stock looks roughly 46.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc generated revenue of $4.8B at a net margin of 8.3%. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.9%. Net debt stands at $184M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $131.03 (bear case) to $240.80 (bull case); at $358.91, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -47%, AIT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $135.60 $196.02 $279.94 80
Residual Income $70.86 $97.63 $493.69 76
Rev-Margin DCF $118.44 $184.66 $257.62 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $132.16 $198.33 $294.98 38
Owner Earnings $120.69 $181.32 $269.89 31
5Y Revenue Exit $118.44 $183.50 $264.26 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $127.46 $199.84 $281.46 41
5Y P/E Exit $134.26 $212.15 $290.95 38
10Y Revenue Exit $118.65 $178.26 $253.63 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $127.92 $189.41 $266.37 37
10Y P/E Exit $132.20 $197.80 $273.40 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $72.30 $189.01 $246.60 54
PEG = 1.0 $36.02 $51.46 $66.90 46
EPV $95.66 $112.44 $127.11 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $15.83 $31.93 $52.20 70
DDM Multi-Stage $15.83 $24.36 $33.51 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $159.49 $212.66 $265.82 63
P/S Multiple $135.57 $180.76 $225.95 58
P/B Multiple $112.29 $149.72 $187.15 55
EV/EBIT $177.12 $237.82 $298.52 53
EV/EBITDA $142.49 $191.65 $240.80 54
EV/Revenue $117.77 $170.38 $222.98 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $24.95 $33.44 $49.91 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $135.60 $196.02 $279.94 80
Rev-Margin DCF $118.44 $184.66 $257.62 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $70.86 $97.63 $493.69 76
ROIC Compounder $100.95 $126.58 $155.34 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $125.10 $178.71 $232.32 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($189.41) versus Dividend Discount ($24.36). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.3%
Net margin 8.3%
Return on equity 21.9%
Free cash flow $465M FY2025
P/E ratio 31.4
More key figures
Operating margin 11.0%
EPS (TTM) $10.56
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +3.1%
Net debt $184M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 74
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. distributes industrial motion, power, control, and automation technology solutions in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, and Costa Rica. It operates in two segments, Service Center and Engineered Solutions.

Full company description

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. distributes industrial motion, power, control, and automation technology solutions in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, and Costa Rica. It operates in two segments, Service Center and Engineered Solutions. The Service Center segment distributes industrial bearings, power transmission, fluid power components and systems, specialty flow control, and advanced factory automation solutions, as well as general maintenance products; and motors, belting, drives, couplings, pumps, linear motion, hydraulic and pneumatic components, filtration supplies, hoses, and other related supplies. It also installs, modifies, and repairs conveyor belts and rubber linings, as well as hose assemblies. The Engineered Solutions segment is involved in distributing, engineering, designing, integrating, and repairing hydraulic and pneumatic fluid power technologies, engineered flow control products and services, and automation technologies; and provision of fluid power and industrial flow control products. Its fluid power products and solutions are used in off-highway mobile equipment, stationary industrial equipment and machines, marine and offshore equipment, factory automation, food processing equipment, packaging operations, and downstream energy process systems. This segment also offers pumps, valves, fittings, hoses, process instrumentation, actuators, and filtration supplies; and advanced automation technologies for the design, engineering, assembly, integration, and distribution of machine vision, collaborative robots, mobile robots, radio-frequency identification, industrial networking, motion control, and machine learning technologies for OEMs, machine builders, integrators, and other industrial and technology sectors. The company was formerly known as Bearings, Inc. and changed its to name to Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. in 1997. The company was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc reported revenue of $4.6B in FY2025 versus $3.2B in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was $393M in FY2025, compounding +28.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.6B
Latest YoY
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (39Y)
+5.9%
Revenue +9.0%/yr
FY21 $3.2B
FY22 $3.8B
FY23 $4.4B
FY24 $4.5B
FY25 $4.6B
Net income +28.4%/yr
FY21 $145M
FY22 $257M
FY23 $347M
FY24 $386M
FY25 $393M

AIT screens 47% overvalued. Compare with W.W. Grainger, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AIT

Peer Group

Industrial Distribution · 102 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −47% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 31.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 6.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.53× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 26.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 21.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.83× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 19
FUTURE 37 · sector 19
PAST 88 · sector 37
HEALTH 85 · sector 90
DIVIDEND 12 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW $1,376 $625.61 -55%
Fastenal Company FAST $45.49 $20.64 -55%
Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG $232.02 $151.92 -35%
WESCO International, Inc WCC $326.71 $213.01 -35%
Watsco, Inc WSO $385.16 $268.10 -30%
Toromont Industries Ltd TIH C$232.22 C$127.90 -45%
Finning International Inc FTT C$102.50 C$76.38 -25%
Addtech AB ADDTB kr 329.20 kr 156.35 -53%
Core & Main, Inc CNM $44.66 $49.47 +11%
Indutrade AB INDT kr 218.60 kr 147.56 -32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc (AIT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $191.65 versus a price of $358.91, about −47% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AIT?
Our model-based fair value for Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc is $191.65 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $358.91.
What is the quality score of AIT?
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc has a Quality Score of 71/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc (AIT)?
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AIT?
The net profit margin of Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc is about 8.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc pay a dividend?
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.60% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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