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Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited $0.12, price $0.08, upside +54.1%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · US · Home Hong Kong

HK Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited

HKGEF · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $0.1233 · Strongly undervalued (+54.1%)
!Quality 47/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -3.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.1000 $0.0480 Fair Value $0.1233 Jul 2015 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0480 – $0.1000 · fair‑value band $0.1148 – $0.1403 · the $0.0800 price screens below the $0.1233 fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a diversified multi-media company primarily in Hong Kong and Mainland China. It operates in two segments, Media; and Financial News Agency, Information, and Solutions.

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Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a diversified multi-media company primarily in Hong Kong and Mainland China. It operates in two segments, Media; and Financial News Agency, Information, and Solutions. The company engages in the printing and publication of newspapers, magazines, and books, as well as the operation of digital platforms, including recruitment, finance, and lifestyle. It also provides electronic financial and property market information and related solutions; and information subscription services, solutions, and other related maintenance services. In addition, the company offers recruitment advertising and lifestyle platforms; and equities and derivatives trading services, as well as operates a computer software research and development center, and health portal; and holds properties. Further, it provides funds market database and solutions. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in North Point, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF) currently trades at $0.0800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1233, implying the stock looks roughly 35.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $0.1600 per share, and 3 of the 3 models we run sit above the $0.0800 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.1200, and 0 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.1148 (bear) to $0.1403 (bull), the price of $0.0800 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited reported revenue of HK$804M in FY2025 versus HK$1,000M in FY2021, a compound −5.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$35.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $40.1M · P/S ratio 0.05 · EPS (TTM) $−1.05 · Net margin −4.4% · Return on equity −3.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% · Operating margin −7.4% · Revenue (TTM) HK$761M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 54%, HKGEF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.1148 Fair Value $0.1233 Bull $0.1403
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.1100 $0.1200 $0.1400 69
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1100 $0.1400 $0.1700 67
NCAV (Graham) $0.1200 $0.1600 $0.2400 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.1100 $0.1200 $0.1400 69
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1100 $0.1400 $0.1700 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1200 $0.1600 $0.2400 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 59
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.3% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.6% (2020) → −5.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Publishing · 102 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +27.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −1.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −3.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −7.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −10.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 86.0% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.05× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.05× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)69 · sector 49
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 59

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The New York Times Company NYT $63.70 $42.10 −34%
Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co 601811 ¥21.12 ¥21.02 +0%
Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation 601928 ¥8.34 ¥9.14 +10%
China South Publishing & Media Group 601098 ¥10.27 ¥10.70 +4%
People.cn CO., LTD 603000 ¥16.51 ¥4.23 −74%
China Science Publishing & Media Ltd 601858 ¥22.11 ¥10.08 −54%
Zhejiang Publishing & Media Co 601921 ¥7.56 ¥7.45 −1%
John Wiley & Sons, Inc WLY $47.76 $61.05 +28%
Shandong Publishing&Media Co 601019 ¥6.84 ¥11.60 +70%
TX Group TXGN CHF 167.40 CHF 43.33 −74%

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Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited · Fair Value
$0.1233 +35%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HKGEF

Frequently asked questions

Is Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1233 versus a price of $0.0800, about +54% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HKGEF?
Our model-based fair value for Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited is $0.1233 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0800.
What is the quality score of HKGEF?
Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1233 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1148, optimistic scenario $0.1403. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1233, about +54% upside versus a price of $0.0800 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.1148, optimistic scenario $0.1403. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF)?
Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$761M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited it is $0.1233 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0800. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HKGEF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0800, fair value $0.1233, a gap of about +54% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HKGEF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1233). For Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited the two are $0.0433 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited worth?
The market values Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited at about $40.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0800; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1233 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HKGEF?
Our models span a range for Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited: cautious scenario $0.1148, base $0.1233, optimistic $0.1403 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.0800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −3.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value The New York Times Company, Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation, China South Publishing & Media Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0800, calculated fair value $0.1233 (+54%), Quality Score 47/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HKGEF calculated?
We run Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1233, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited currently trades 35 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.0800. Our model-based fair value is $0.1233, about +54% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.1148). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF) come from?
Earnings per share at Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited grew −0.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −1.6 %, EBIT margin −1.5 %, tax rate −2.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +5.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF)?
The market capitalisation of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited is $40.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited is 0.05 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF)?
Earnings per share at Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited are $−1.05. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF)?
The net margin of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited is −4.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited is −3.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited is 1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF)?
The operating margin of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited is −7.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF)?
Revenue at Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited is growing −10.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF)?
Earnings per share at Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited are growing +51.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF) generate?
The free cash flow of Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited is −HK$31.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited (HKGEF) hold?
Hong Kong Economic Times Holdings Limited holds more cash than debt, HK$242M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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