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Informa plc (IFPJF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Informa plc $12.80, price $11.64, upside +10.0%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Some data
Oct 3, 2026
Informa plc
IFPJF · USNeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
·Fair value $12.80 · Fairly valued (+10.0%)
✓Quality 67/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +19.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.9% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.88 – $12.60 · fair‑value band $7.28 – $18.33 · the $11.64 price screens below the $12.80 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Informa plc operates as an international events, digital services, and academic research company in the United Kingdom, Continental Europe, North America, China, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Informa Markets, Informa Connect, Informa Festivals, Taylor & Francis, and Infroma TechTarget.
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Informa plc operates as an international events, digital services, and academic research company in the United Kingdom, Continental Europe, North America, China, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Informa Markets, Informa Connect, Informa Festivals, Taylor & Francis, and Infroma TechTarget. The Informa Markets segment enable buyers, sellers, and decision makers to meet, discover, and showcase new products in various specialist markets, as well as delivers live events, including annual business-to-business exhibitions, specialist content, and services that help buyers and suppliers connect digitally comprising lead and demand generation solutions. Its Informa Connect segment delivers digital content; and creates content-led live and on demand events and experiences for professionals in finance, life sciences, foodservice, and other specialist markets through in-person, live, and online platforms that enables businesses and professionals to meet, network, discuss, and learn. Informa Festivals segment engages in experience-led B2B events. The Informa TechTarget segment provides B2B data and market access services. Its Taylor & Francis segment curates and publishes applied academic research, learning, and championing communities of academics, researchers, experts, and knowledge makers in science, technology and medicine, and humanities and social sciences fields in pay-to-publish and pay-to-read, open research, and advanced learning formats. The company was formerly known as T&F Informa plc and changed its name to Informa plc in August 2005. Informa plc was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Informa plc (IFPJF) currently trades at $11.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.80, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $12.95 per share, and 8 of the 24 models we run sit above the $11.64 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $3.61, and 16 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $7.28 (bear) to $18.33 (bull), the price of $11.64 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Informa plc reported revenue of £4.0B in FY2025 versus £1.6B in FY2021, a compound +26.4%/yr. Reported net income was £11.0M in FY2025, compounding −38.7%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $15.2B · P/S ratio 3.73 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 0.3% · Return on equity −2.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.3% · Operating margin 19.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 10%, IFPJF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $7.28
Fair Value $12.80
Bull $18.33
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$10.99
$21.49
$39.46
77
Residual Income
$3.97
$3.61
$3.42
76
Growth DCF
$10.93
$20.68
$37.01
75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$10.99
$21.49
$39.46
77
Owner Earnings
$5.11
$11.04
$21.20
72
5Y Revenue Exit
$6.92
$12.95
$20.93
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$9.14
$17.49
$27.79
73
5Y P/E Exit
$1.97
$2.87
$3.68
71
10Y Revenue Exit
$7.93
$14.08
$23.12
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
$9.66
$17.39
$28.79
66
10Y P/E Exit
$4.92
$6.75
$8.83
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.0800
$0.3500
$0.4800
64
Lynch FV
$0.0900
$0.1300
$0.1700
61
PEG = 1.0
$0.0900
$0.1300
$0.1700
57
EPV
$4.63
$5.82
$6.87
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.1900
$0.2600
$0.3200
63
P/S Multiple
$0.1500
$0.2000
$0.2500
58
P/B Multiple
$0.1500
$0.2000
$0.2500
55
EV/EBIT
$7.52
$10.86
$14.21
65
EV/EBITDA
$9.22
$13.14
$17.06
67
EV/Revenue
$5.09
$8.35
$11.62
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$2.98
$3.99
$5.96
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$10.93
$20.68
$37.01
75
Rev-Margin DCF
$6.92
$12.91
$20.56
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$3.97
$3.61
$3.42
76
ROIC Compounder
$4.63
$5.82
$8.17
71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.1500
$0.2200
$0.2800
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
67/100
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Profitability
16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
93
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
90/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.8% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.0%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−38.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−40.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−40.8% vs −28.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−53% → 20%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in GBP, UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.8% a year for the price and +4.4% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+7.4%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+7.7%
Projected 2028 (sales)+7.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+6.3%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.6%
Watch IFPJF, get fair value alerts →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (100 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
- Informa Health & Nutrition Announces Karl Heitz as Group Event Director for Natural Products Portfolio
- Informa PLC's Dividend Analysis
- Informa PLC (IFJPY) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Resilient Revenue Growth Amid Middle ...
- Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Informa's (LON:INF) Soft Earnings
Compare Informa plc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Publishing · 102 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Communication Services sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Communication Services
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times Company NYT | $63.70 | $42.10 | −34% |
| Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co 601811 | ¥21.12 | ¥21.02 | +0% |
| Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation 601928 | ¥8.34 | ¥9.14 | +10% |
| China South Publishing & Media Group 601098 | ¥10.27 | ¥10.70 | +4% |
| People.cn CO., LTD 603000 | ¥16.51 | ¥4.23 | −74% |
| China Science Publishing & Media Ltd 601858 | ¥22.11 | ¥10.08 | −54% |
| Zhejiang Publishing & Media Co 601921 | ¥7.56 | ¥7.45 | −1% |
| John Wiley & Sons, Inc WLY | $47.76 | $61.05 | +28% |
| Shandong Publishing&Media Co 601019 | ¥6.84 | ¥11.60 | +70% |
| TX Group TXGN | CHF 167.40 | CHF 43.33 | −74% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Informa plc (IFPJF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.80 versus a price of $11.64, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of IFPJF?
Our model-based fair value for Informa plc is $12.80 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $11.64.
What is the quality score of IFPJF?
Informa plc has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Informa plc (IFPJF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.80 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.28, optimistic scenario $18.33. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Informa plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.80, about +10% upside versus a price of $11.64 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $7.28, optimistic scenario $18.33. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Informa plc (IFPJF)?
Informa plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £4.0B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Informa plc pay a dividend?
Informa plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.89% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Informa plc (IFPJF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Informa plc would have to grow free cash flow by +3.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +19.5 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of IFPJF use?
Our models discount Informa plc at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.71, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Informa plc that is +3.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Informa plc (IFPJF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Informa plc grew +19.5 % a year. The price currently implies +3.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Informa plc (IFPJF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Informa plc (+3.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Informa plc (IFPJF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.53 %: that much free cash flow Informa plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Informa plc (IFPJF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Informa plc it is $12.80 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $11.64. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Informa plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, IFPJF trades below its calculated fair value: price $11.64, fair value $12.80, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IFPJF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.80). For Informa plc the two are $1.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Informa plc worth?
The market values Informa plc at about $15.2B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $11.64; our models calculate a fair value of $12.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IFPJF?
Our models span a range for Informa plc: cautious scenario $7.28, base $12.80, optimistic $18.33 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $11.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of IFPJF?
The PEG ratio of Informa plc is 0.13 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Informa plc (IFPJF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Informa plc (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −2.1%, debt of 0.48 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IFPJF from its 52-week high?
Informa plc trades at $11.64, about 8% below its 52-week high of $12.60 and 9% above the low of $10.65 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $12.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Informa plc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value The New York Times Company, Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation, China South Publishing & Media Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Informa plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $11.64, calculated fair value $12.80 (+10%), Quality Score 67/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IFPJF calculated?
We run Informa plc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $12.80, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Informa plc currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Informa plc (IFPJF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $11.64. Our model-based fair value is $12.80, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Informa plc right now?
A fairly wide model range ($7.28 to $18.33) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Informa plc (IFPJF) come from?
Earnings per share at Informa plc grew −3.3 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.8 %, EBIT margin −4.6 %, tax rate −0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Informa plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Informa plc (IFPJF)?
The market capitalisation of Informa plc is $15.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Informa plc (IFPJF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Informa plc is 3.73 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Informa plc (IFPJF)?
Earnings per share at Informa plc are $0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Informa plc (IFPJF)?
The dividend yield of Informa plc is 1.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Informa plc (IFPJF)?
The net margin of Informa plc is 0.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Informa plc (IFPJF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Informa plc is −2.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Informa plc (IFPJF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Informa plc is 3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Informa plc (IFPJF)?
The operating margin of Informa plc is 19.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Informa plc (IFPJF)?
Revenue at Informa plc is growing +8.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Informa plc (IFPJF)?
Earnings per share at Informa plc are growing −40.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Informa plc (IFPJF) carry?
The net debt of Informa plc is £3.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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