China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd ¥10.70, price ¥10.36, upside +3.3%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.21 – ¥15.14 · fair‑value band ¥9.39 – ¥12.49 · the ¥10.36 price screens below the ¥10.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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China South Publishing & Media Group Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the publishing, printing, distribution, media, and financing businesses in China.
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China South Publishing & Media Group Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the publishing, printing, distribution, media, and financing businesses in China. It offers publishing products, including general and textbooks; and prints publications, newspapers, packages, bills and receipts, anti-counterfeit, digital and imposition products, etc., as well as distributes publications and stationery commodities. The company is also involved in the publishing of magazines, and websites, as well as digital education activities; organization of automobile exhibitions; and provision of financial services, including deposit inducement, loan, financing lease, bill acceptance, discounting of bill, guarantees, entrusted loans and investment, insurance agents, financial and financing consultancy, etc. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Changsha, China. China South Publishing & Media Group Co., Ltd is a subsidiary of HUNAN PUBLISHING INVESTMENT HOLDING GROUP CO., LTD.
Stock analysis
China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098) currently trades at ¥10.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.70, implying the stock looks roughly 3.2% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥19.57 per share, and 11 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥10.36 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥5.40, and 6 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥9.39 (bear) to ¥12.49 (bull), the price of ¥10.36 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 12.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 11.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was 1.6B CNY in FY2025, compounding +1.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 18.6B CNY (≈ $2.8B) · P/E ratio 11.5 · P/S ratio 1.46 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.9000 · Dividend yield 5.3% · Net margin 12.7% · Return on equity 10.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 3%, 601098 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥9.39Fair Value ¥10.70Bull ¥12.49
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2560 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.33/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.3% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+7.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2% vs −1%, steady
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 14%
Compare China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Publishing · 108 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Below median
Fair Value upside+3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)5.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601098
Frequently asked questions
Is China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥10.70 versus a price of ¥10.36, about +3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 601098?
Our model-based fair value for China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd is ¥10.70 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥10.36.
What is the quality score of 601098?
China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥10.70 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥9.39, optimistic scenario ¥12.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥10.70, about +3% upside versus a price of ¥10.36 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥9.39, optimistic scenario ¥12.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098)?
China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.31% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd it is ¥10.70 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥10.36. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 601098 trades below its calculated fair value: price ¥10.36, fair value ¥10.70, a gap of about +3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 601098?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥10.36); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥10.70). For China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd the two are ¥0.3400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd at about 18.6B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥10.36; our models calculate a fair value of ¥10.70 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 601098?
Our models span a range for China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥9.39, base ¥10.70, optimistic ¥12.49 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥10.36). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 601098?
China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥10.70 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.1, P/B 1.2, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 4.0.
What is the PEG ratio of 601098?
The PEG ratio of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd is 1.08 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098)?
Balance-sheet figures for China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.0%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 601098 from its 52-week high?
China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd trades at ¥10.36, about 16% below its 52-week high of ¥12.40 and 6% above the low of ¥9.77 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥10.70 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value The New York Times Company, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation, China Science Publishing & Media Ltd, People.cn CO., LTD, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥10.36, calculated fair value ¥10.70 (+3%), Quality Score 59/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 601098 calculated?
We run China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥10.70, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd currently trades 3 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥10.36. Our model-based fair value is ¥10.70, about +3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098) come from?
Earnings per share at China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd grew +0.8 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.2 %, EBIT margin −1.6 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098)?
The market capitalisation of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd is 18.6B CNY (≈ $2.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd is 1.46 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098)?
Earnings per share at China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd are ¥0.9000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098)?
The dividend yield of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd is 5.3% (payout 61.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098)?
The net margin of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd is 12.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd is 10.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd is 6.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098)?
The operating margin of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd is 13.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098)?
Revenue at China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd is growing +1.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098)?
Earnings per share at China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd are growing +5.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098) generate?
The free cash flow of China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd is −1.6B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd (601098) hold?
China South Publishing & Media Group Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 12.4B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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