Hochschild Mining plc (HOC) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · GB · Market cap 2.3B GBX
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from £6.81 to £5.01 (−26.4%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +34.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- A fairly wide model range (£3.41 to £6.26) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.5083 – £8.04 · fair‑value band £3.41 – £6.26 · the £5.98 price screens above the £5.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Hochschild Mining plc (HOC) currently trades at £5.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £5.01, implying the stock looks roughly 16.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hochschild Mining plc generated revenue of £1.2B at a net margin of 17.1%. Revenue grew 19.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 31.6%. Net debt stands at £26.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £3.41 (bear case) to £6.26 (bull case); at £5.98, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at -16%, HOC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£7.36) versus Dividend Discount (£0.4600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hochschild Mining plc, a precious metals company, engages in the exploration, mining, processing, and sale of gold and silver deposits.
Full company description
Hochschild Mining plc, a precious metals company, engages in the exploration, mining, processing, and sale of gold and silver deposits. The company's flagship asset includes the 100% owned Inmaculada gold and silver underground mine consisting of 40 mining concessions covering an area of approximately 20,000 hectare located in the Ayacucho Department, southern Peru. It is also involved in the power generation and transmission activities. It serves in Switzerland, Canada, South Korea, Germany, Chile, Finland, the United States, Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Peru, Brazil, and the United Kingdom. The company was founded in 1911 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hochschild Mining plc reported revenue of £1.2B in FY2025 versus £811M in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was £206M in FY2025, compounding +27.9%/yr from FY2021.
HOC screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Hecla Mining Company →
Peer Group
Other Precious Metals & Mining · 100 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hecla Mining Company HL | $20.54 | $8.15 | -60% |
| Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN | $34.60 | $29.53 | -15% |
| Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW | $10.71 | $19.44 | +82% |
| China Gold International Resources Corp CGG | C$39.78 | C$25.75 | -35% |
| Artemis Gold Inc ARTG | C$39.91 | C$21.85 | -45% |
| Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM | $32.25 | $16.03 | -50% |
| Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 | ¥19.06 | ¥2.84 | -85% |
| Sino-Platinum Metals Co 600459 | ¥21.30 | ¥13.23 | -38% |
| Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA | C$35.18 | C$5.85 | -83% |
| Al Masane Al Kobra Mining Company 1322 | 84.45 SAR | 53.08 SAR | -37% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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