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Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings $0.02, price $0.13, upside -84.7%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings
HTCTF · USStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $0.0200 · Strongly overvalued (−84.7%)
!Quality 53/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +3.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0632 – $0.1569 · the $0.1306 price screens above the $0.0200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in mobile telecommunications business in Hong Kong and Macau.
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Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in mobile telecommunications business in Hong Kong and Macau. The company offers range of mobile telecommunications services and products, such as digital lifestyle and roaming services, as well as 5G Broadband, telemedicine, dietitian consultation, gaming, music, entertainment, mobile protection, and security applications; prepaid SIM cards with 4G data; and data plans. It also develops business and corporate solutions covering mobile business, information technology, smart city, Internet of Things, and big data, as well as provides solutions for indoor high speed internet access and 5G smart car park solutions. In addition, the company offers voice services, including local, international direct dialing (IDD), and international roaming services. The company offers diverse mobile telecommunications and data solutions under the 3 Hong Kong, 3 SUPREME, SoSIM, and Mo+ brand names. Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Hutchison Telecommunications Investment Holdings Limited.
Stock analysis
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF) currently trades at $0.1306, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0200, 84.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $0.1600 per share, and 8 of the 14 models we run sit above the $0.1306 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0200, and 6 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings reported revenue of HK$5.4B in FY2025 versus HK$5.4B in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$25.0M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $629M · P/S ratio 0.12 · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity 0.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.9% · Operating margin 0.1% · Revenue (TTM) HK$5.4B · Revenue growth (YoY) +7.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at −85%, HTCTF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0200
Fair Value $0.0200
Bull $0.0200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.2200
$0.2800
$0.3900
81
Growth DCF
$0.2300
$0.2900
$0.3800
80
Owner Earnings
$0.2400
$0.3000
$0.4200
77
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.2200
$0.2800
$0.3900
81
Owner Earnings
$0.2400
$0.3000
$0.4200
77
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.1100
$0.1100
$0.1200
74
5Y EBITDA Exit
$0.2700
$0.4000
$0.5700
75
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.1600
$0.1600
$0.1700
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.2500
$0.3300
$0.4100
70
Earnings-Based
EPV
$0.0200
$0.0200
$0.0200
74
Multiples
EV/EBIT
$0.0200
$0.0200
$0.0200
66
EV/EBITDA
$0.3600
$0.4800
$0.5900
67
EV/Revenue
$0.0200
$0.0200
$0.0200
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.1200
$0.1600
$0.2400
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.2300
$0.2900
$0.3800
80
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.1100
$0.1200
$0.1400
74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder
$0.0200
$0.0200
$0.0200
72
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
53/100
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Profitability
14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
43/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −13.0% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.3%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.0% (2019) → 0.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
HTCTF screens overvalued: fair value 85% below the price. Compare with China Mobile Limited →
Compare Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 230 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Communication Services sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Communication Services
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 80941 | HK$67.30 | HK$114.85 | +71% |
| Verizon Communications Inc VZ | $45.87 | $70.27 | +53% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $162.98 | $272.88 | +67% |
| AT&T Inc T | $24.48 | $51.11 | +109% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,741 | ₹1,883 | +8% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.16 | ¥8.36 | +36% |
| Saudi Telecom Company 7010 | 43.22 SAR | 41.80 SAR | −3% |
| Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z74 | 4.28 SGD | 2.16 SGD | −50% |
| Swisscom AG SCMN | CHF 639.00 | CHF 505.18 | −21% |
| Telstra Group TLS | A$4.83 | A$4.43 | −8% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0200 versus a price of $0.1306, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HTCTF?
Our model-based fair value for Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings is $0.0200 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.1306.
What is the quality score of HTCTF?
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0200 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0200, about −85% upside versus a price of $0.1306 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF)?
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$5.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HTCTF use?
Our models discount Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.13, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings grew +3.7 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 18.46 %: that much free cash flow Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings it is $0.0200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.1306. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HTCTF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.1306, fair value $0.0200, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HTCTF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1306); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0200). For Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings the two are $0.1106 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings worth?
The market values Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings at about $629M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.1306; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0200 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.1306, calculated fair value $0.0200 (−85%), Quality Score 53/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HTCTF calculated?
We run Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.1306. Our model-based fair value is $0.0200, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings
How large is the market capitalisation of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF)?
The market capitalisation of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings is $629M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings is 0.12 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF)?
The net margin of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings is −0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings is 11.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF)?
The operating margin of Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF)?
Revenue at Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings is growing +7.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF)?
Earnings per share at Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings are growing −78.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (HTCTF) hold?
Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings holds more cash than debt, HK$193M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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