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DTE Energy Company (DTE) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $31.0B

DE DTE Energy Company logo DTE Energy Company DTE · US
Price$139.97
Fair Value$106.45
Upside-24.0%
Quality51/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 7.7% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
3.00% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Moderate moat 54/100
Evidence: High Range $74.64 – $133.07 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −9.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 24% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($133.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$154.43 $85.77 Fair Value $106.45 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $85.77 – $154.43 · fair‑value band $74.64 – $133.07 · the $139.97 price screens above the $106.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

DTE Energy Company (DTE) currently trades at $139.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $106.45, implying the stock looks roughly 24.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, DTE Energy Company generated revenue of $16.5B at a net margin of 7.7%. Revenue grew 15.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. Net debt stands at $26.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $74.64 (bear case) to $133.07 (bull case); at $139.97, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -24%, DTE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $54.81 $63.66 $109.66 76
ROIC Compounder $1.05 $15.32 72
Gordon GGM $38.44 $75.03 $126.80 70
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $47.79 $122.45 $159.38 54
PEG = 1.0 $22.92 $32.75 $42.57 46
EPV $1.05 $15.32 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $38.44 $75.03 $126.80 70
DDM Multi-Stage $38.44 $58.73 $80.61 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $105.42 $140.56 $175.70 63
P/S Multiple $89.61 $119.47 $149.34 58
P/B Multiple $89.61 $119.47 $149.34 55
EV/EBIT $40.99 $92.35 $143.70 53
EV/EBITDA $87.63 $154.52 $221.42 54
EV/Revenue $35.29 $79.79 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $29.57 $39.62 $59.14 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $54.81 $63.66 $109.66 76
ROIC Compounder $1.05 $15.32 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $82.17 $117.39 $152.60 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($119.47) versus Economic Profit ($1.05). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $16.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.8%
Net margin 7.7%
Return on equity 10.4%
Free cash flow −$1.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 24.8
More key figures
Operating margin 10.2%
EPS (TTM) $6.02
Dividend yield 3.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -44.4%
Net debt $26.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 98
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

DTE Energy Company engages in energy-related businesses and services. The company operates through four segments: Electric, Gas, DTE Vantage, and Energy Trading.The company's Electric segment generates, purchases, distributes, and sells electricity to approximately 2.3 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers in southeastern Michigan.

Full company description

DTE Energy Company engages in energy-related businesses and services. The company operates through four segments: Electric, Gas, DTE Vantage, and Energy Trading.The company's Electric segment generates, purchases, distributes, and sells electricity to approximately 2.3 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers in southeastern Michigan. It generates electricity through coal-fired plants, natural gas plant, hydroelectric pumped storage, and nuclear plants, as well as wind and solar assets. This segment owns and operates 702 distribution substations with a capacity of approximately 37,870,000 kilovolt-amperes (kVA) and approximately 4,56,900 line transformers with a capacity of approximately 33,770,000 kVA. The company's Gas segment purchases, stores, transports, distributes, and sells natural gas to approximately 1.4 million residential, commercial, and industrial customers throughout Michigan; and sells storage and transportation capacity. This segment has approximately 21,000 miles of distribution mains; 1,242,000 service pipelines; and 1,361,000 active meters, as well as owns approximately 2,000 miles of transmission pipelines. Its DTE Vantage segment offers metallurgical and petroleum coke to steel and other industries; and power generation, steam production, chilled water production, and wastewater treatment services, as well as compressed air supply to industrial customers. This segment also owns and operates 2 renewable generating plants with a capacity of 70 MWs; and 22 gas recovery sites. Its Energy Trading segment engages in power, natural gas, and environmental marketing and trading; structured transactions; and the optimization of contracted natural gas pipeline transportation and storage positions. The company was founded in 1849 and is based in Detroit, Michigan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

DTE Energy Company reported revenue of $15.8B in FY2025 versus $15.0B in FY2021, a compound +1.4%/yr. Reported net income was $1.5B in FY2025, compounding +12.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$15.8B
Latest YoY
+26.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+4.4%
Revenue +1.4%/yr
FY21 $15.0B
FY22 $19.2B
FY23 $12.7B
FY24 $12.5B
FY25 $15.8B
Net income +12.7%/yr
FY21 $907M
FY22 $1.1B
FY23 $1.4B
FY24 $1.4B
FY25 $1.5B

DTE screens 24% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DTE Energy Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DTE

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 155 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside −24% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Below median
Revenue growth 16% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.93× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.52× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.88× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 15.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.09× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 1 · sector 9
FUTURE 79 · sector 32
PAST 42 · sector 39
HEALTH 3 · sector 53
DIVIDEND 60 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $88.80 $32.94 -63%
The Southern Company SO $95.61 $61.06 -36%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $126.11 $97.11 -23%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 44,377 ARS -27%
American Electric Power Company AEP $132.50 $79.33 -40%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $70.08 $46.92 -33%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹341.85 ₹377.16 +10%
CEZ, a. s. CEZ 232.40 PLN 159.33 PLN -31%
Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID ₹283.55 ₹252.77 -11%
China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 ¥8.91 ¥7.69 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is DTE Energy Company (DTE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $106.45 versus a price of $139.97, about −24% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DTE?
Our model-based fair value for DTE Energy Company is $106.45 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $139.97.
What is the quality score of DTE?
DTE Energy Company has a Quality Score of 51/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of DTE Energy Company (DTE)?
DTE Energy Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $16.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DTE?
The net profit margin of DTE Energy Company is about 7.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does DTE Energy Company pay a dividend?
DTE Energy Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.17% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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