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Helios Towers plc (HTWSF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Helios Towers plc $1.82, price $2.85, upside -36.1%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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HT
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Helios Towers plc
HTWSF · USWeakest SetupQuality growthStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $1.82 · Strongly overvalued (−36.1%)
!Quality 45/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +16.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.6% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
✓Wide moat 69/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7300 – $3.32 · fair‑value band $1.30 – $3.24 · the $2.85 price screens above the $1.82 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Helios Towers plc, an independent tower company, acquires, builds, and operates telecommunications towers. It offers colocation lease-up, build-to-suit, sale and leaseback, in-building, small cells/outdoor distributed antenna systems, and other managed services.
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Helios Towers plc, an independent tower company, acquires, builds, and operates telecommunications towers. It offers colocation lease-up, build-to-suit, sale and leaseback, in-building, small cells/outdoor distributed antenna systems, and other managed services. The company also provides passive infrastructure solutions, including site selection and preparation, maintenance, security, and power management; and engages in hosting active equipment, such as antennae. It operates a network of sites and tenancies in Tanzania, Senegal, Malawi, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Congo Brazzaville, South Africa, Ghana, Madagascar, and Oman. Helios Towers plc was founded in 2009 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Helios Towers plc (HTWSF) currently trades at $2.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.82, 36.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $2.10 per share, and 6 of the 24 models we run sit above the $2.85 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $0.1900, and 18 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $1.30 (bear) to $3.24 (bull), the price of $2.85 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Helios Towers plc reported revenue of $873M in FY2025 versus $449M in FY2021, a compound +18.1%/yr. Reported net income was $40.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $3.4B · P/E ratio 95.0 · P/S ratio 4.36 · EPS (TTM) $0.0300 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 4.6% · Return on equity 70.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at −36%, HTWSF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.30
Fair Value $1.82
Bull $3.24
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0227 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$1.21
$3.38
$7.11
74
Growth DCF
$1.17
$3.11
$6.28
73
5Y EBITDA Exit
$2.02
$5.04
$8.91
71
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$1.21
$3.38
$7.11
74
Owner Earnings
$0.4600
$2.03
$4.72
68
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.6100
$2.10
$4.12
67
5Y EBITDA Exit
$2.02
$5.04
$8.91
71
5Y P/E Exit
n/a
$0.4400
$1.11
68
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.7300
$2.21
$4.48
61
10Y EBITDA Exit
$1.71
$4.34
$8.47
64
10Y P/E Exit
$0.2800
$1.00
$1.97
59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.2700
$1.31
$1.81
64
Lynch FV
$0.3500
$0.5100
$0.6600
61
PEG = 1.0
$0.3500
$0.5100
$0.6600
57
EPV
$0.3200
$0.6000
$0.8400
71
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.6500
$0.8600
$1.08
63
P/S Multiple
$0.5000
$0.6700
$0.8300
58
P/B Multiple
$0.1000
$0.1400
$0.1700
55
EV/EBIT
$2.05
$3.22
$4.39
64
EV/EBITDA
$2.73
$4.12
$5.51
66
EV/Revenue
$0.3400
$1.11
$1.88
49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.0200
$0.0300
$0.0400
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$1.17
$3.11
$6.28
73
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.6100
$2.07
$3.99
67
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.1300
$0.1900
$0.4400
64
ROIC Compounder
$0.4500
$1.12
$1.96
67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.5600
$0.8000
$1.04
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
45/100
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Profitability
41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
24
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
53
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
61
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
13.6% (2020) → 34.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+29.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+8.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +26.0% a year for the price and +5.9% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+8.0%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+10.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+9.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+8.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)+7.0%
HTWSF screens overvalued: fair value 36% below the price. Compare with China Mobile Limited →
Compare Helios Towers plc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 230 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Communication Services sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Communication Services
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 80941 | HK$67.30 | HK$114.85 | +71% |
| Verizon Communications Inc VZ | $45.87 | $70.27 | +53% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $162.98 | $272.88 | +67% |
| AT&T Inc T | $24.48 | $51.11 | +109% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,741 | ₹1,883 | +8% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.16 | ¥8.36 | +36% |
| Saudi Telecom Company 7010 | 43.22 SAR | 41.80 SAR | −3% |
| Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z74 | 4.28 SGD | 2.16 SGD | −50% |
| Swisscom AG SCMN | CHF 639.00 | CHF 505.18 | −21% |
| Telstra Group TLS | A$4.83 | A$4.43 | −8% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Helios Towers plc (HTWSF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.82 versus a price of $2.85, about −36% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HTWSF?
Our model-based fair value for Helios Towers plc is $1.82 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.85.
What is the quality score of HTWSF?
Helios Towers plc has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Helios Towers plc (HTWSF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.82 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.30, optimistic scenario $3.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Helios Towers plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.82, about −36% upside versus a price of $2.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.30, optimistic scenario $3.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Helios Towers plc (HTWSF)?
Helios Towers plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $854M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Helios Towers plc pay a dividend?
Helios Towers plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.70% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Helios Towers plc (HTWSF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Helios Towers plc would have to grow free cash flow by +29.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HTWSF use?
Our models discount Helios Towers plc at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.11, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Helios Towers plc that is +29.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Helios Towers plc (HTWSF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Helios Towers plc grew +16.1 % a year. The price currently implies +29.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Helios Towers plc (HTWSF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Helios Towers plc (+29.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Helios Towers plc (HTWSF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.75 %: that much free cash flow Helios Towers plc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Helios Towers plc (HTWSF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Helios Towers plc it is $1.82 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $2.85. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Helios Towers plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HTWSF trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.85, fair value $1.82, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HTWSF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.82). For Helios Towers plc the two are $1.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Helios Towers plc worth?
The market values Helios Towers plc at about $3.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $2.85; our models calculate a fair value of $1.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HTWSF?
Our models span a range for Helios Towers plc: cautious scenario $1.30, base $1.82, optimistic $3.24 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $2.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HTWSF?
Helios Towers plc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 95.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.82 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/S 3.5, EV/EBITDA 10.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Helios Towers plc (HTWSF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Helios Towers plc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 70.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HTWSF from its 52-week high?
Helios Towers plc trades at $2.85, about 14% below its 52-week high of $3.32 and 49% above the low of $1.91 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Helios Towers plc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Helios Towers plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $2.85, calculated fair value $1.82 (−36%), Quality Score 45/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HTWSF calculated?
We run Helios Towers plc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.82, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Helios Towers plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Helios Towers plc (HTWSF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $2.85. Our model-based fair value is $1.82, about −36% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Helios Towers plc right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($1.30 to $3.24) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Helios Towers plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Helios Towers plc (HTWSF)?
The market capitalisation of Helios Towers plc is $3.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Helios Towers plc (HTWSF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Helios Towers plc is 4.36 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Helios Towers plc (HTWSF)?
Earnings per share at Helios Towers plc are $0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 95.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Helios Towers plc (HTWSF)?
The dividend yield of Helios Towers plc is 1.7% (payout 161%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Helios Towers plc (HTWSF)?
The net margin of Helios Towers plc is 4.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Helios Towers plc (HTWSF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Helios Towers plc is 70.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Helios Towers plc (HTWSF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Helios Towers plc is 7.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Helios Towers plc (HTWSF)?
The operating margin of Helios Towers plc is 37.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Helios Towers plc (HTWSF)?
Revenue at Helios Towers plc is growing +8.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Helios Towers plc (HTWSF)?
Earnings per share at Helios Towers plc are growing −91.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Helios Towers plc (HTWSF) carry?
The net debt of Helios Towers plc is $1.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 19.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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