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Heavy Minerals Limited (HVY) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$36.6M

PriceA$0.4650
Fair ValueA$0.1000
Upside-78.5%
Quality90/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0700 – A$0.1200

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

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Analysis

Heavy Minerals Limited (HVY) currently trades at A$0.4650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1000 — implying the stock looks roughly 78.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 90/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

Heavy Minerals Limited engages in the exploration and development of industrial mineral resource projects in Australia, Mauritius, and Mozambique. It explores for industrial garnet, ilmenite, zircon, leucoxene, rutile, and other mineral deposits. The company's primary project is 100% owned the Port Gregory Garnet project that covers an area of 227.28 square kilometers located near the North of Geraldton, Western Australia. It also holds interests in Red Hill Prospect, located in Geraldton. Heavy Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2021 and is based in Belmont, Australia.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Heavy Minerals Limited (HVY) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1000 versus a price of A$0.4650 — about −78% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of HVY?
Our 21-model fair value for Heavy Minerals Limited is A$0.1000 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.4650.
What is the quality score of HVY?
Heavy Minerals Limited has a Quality Score of 90/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.