What is International Container Terminal Services Inc really worth?
ICInternational Container Terminal Services IncICT · PSE
Price930.50 PHP
Fair Value100.50 PHP
Upside−89.2% ⚠
Quality63/100
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
A solid business, but trading 826% above our fair value of 100.50 PHP.
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Risks
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +16.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!High debt
!Trails peers (2/11)
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on balance sheet: 14 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 5 out of 100
Evidence: LowRange 51.37 PHP – 133.80 PHP
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 104.20 PHP to 100.50 PHP (−3.6%) since Jul 10, 2026.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (133.80 PHP). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
The model range is unusually wide (51.37 PHP to 133.80 PHP). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 110.32 PHP – 985.00 PHP · fair‑value band 51.37 PHP – 133.80 PHP · the 930.50 PHP price screens above the 100.50 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
International Container Terminal Services Inc (ICT) currently trades at 930.50 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 100.50 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 825.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 116.55 PHP per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the 930.50 PHP price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 41.87 PHP, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 145.5 (as of Jul 10, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 51.37 PHP (bear case) to 133.80 PHP (bull case); at 930.50 PHP, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 135% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −89%, ICT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 0.4858 PHP per share, which is 0.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (6.36 PHP to 166.37 PHP). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio145.5as of Jul 10, 2026
P/S ratio47.1P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)0.7150 PHPprice ÷ EPS = P/E 145.5
Dividend yield0.3%
Net margin32.4%FY2025
Return on assets (EBIT)16.6%avg 5y
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality63/100
Of which business quality 63
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Profitability68
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment31
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum96
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum94
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance82
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
International Container Terminal Services Inc reported revenue of 3.2B PHP in FY2025 versus 1.9B PHP in FY2021, a compound +14.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.0B PHP in FY2025, compounding +25.1%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.2B PHP
Latest YoY
+18.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (10Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in PHP) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Transport Infrastructure” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Quality Score63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−89% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity1.72× · Higher than 75% of peers
Valuation Multiples vs Industrials median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)145.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B1.57× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 5
FUTURE0· sector 23
PAST0· sector 27
HEALTH14· sector 94
DIVIDEND5· sector 35
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Transport Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
Is International Container Terminal Services Inc (ICT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 100.50 PHP versus a price of 930.50 PHP, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ICT?
Our model-based fair value for International Container Terminal Services Inc is 100.50 PHP (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 930.50 PHP.
What is the quality score of ICT?
International Container Terminal Services Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of ICT?
The net profit margin of International Container Terminal Services Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does International Container Terminal Services Inc pay a dividend?
International Container Terminal Services Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.27% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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