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International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of International Container Terminal Services, Inc $14.97, price $13.80, upside +8.5%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · US · ISIN PHY411571011

Some data Sep 29, 2026

International Container Terminal Services, Inc

ICTEF · US

NeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value $14.97 · Fairly valued (+8.5%)

✓Quality 65/100

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +15.0 %/yr)

✓Highly profitable · 31.9% net margin (TTM)

!High debt · generates free cash flow

✓2.2% dividend yield · Well covered

✓Wide moat 85/100

!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.4943 – $17.79 · fair‑value band $11.22 – $19.44 · the $13.80 price screens below the $14.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.

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Company profile

International Container Terminal Services, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, develops, manages, and operates container ports and terminals for container shipping industry in Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Americas. It provides ancillary services, including storage, container packing and unpacking, inspection, weighing, and services for refrigerated containers or reefers, as well as roll-on/roll-off and anchorage services to non-containerized or general cargoes. The company also handles containerized cargoes, which comprise cargoes shipped in containers for international import or export. As of March 4, 2026, it had 34 terminal operations, including concessions and port development projects in 20 countries worldwide. International Container Terminal Services, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Manila, the Philippines.

Stock analysis

International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF) currently trades at $13.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.97, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.8%).

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $14.51 per share, and 8 of the 26 models we run sit above the $13.80 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $4.06, and 18 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $11.22 (bear) to $19.44 (bull), the price of $13.80 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

International Container Terminal Services, Inc reported revenue of $3.3B in FY2025 versus $1.9B in FY2021, a compound +15.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.0B in FY2025, compounding +30.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $32.8B · P/E ratio 25.6 · P/S ratio 7.82 · EPS (TTM) $0.5400 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 30.6% · Return on equity 58.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 57% fair-value upside, at 8%, ICTEF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $11.22 Fair Value $14.97 Bull $19.44

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1777 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF $9.58 $19.33 $37.25 76

Growth DCF $9.39 $18.01 $33.23 75

EPV $5.60 $6.68 $7.63 74

All 26 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF $9.58 $19.33 $37.25 76

Owner Earnings $7.52 $15.34 $29.73 72

5Y Revenue Exit $3.80 $6.16 $9.17 72

5Y EBITDA Exit $8.83 $16.97 $27.45 73

5Y P/E Exit $7.52 $14.14 $21.91 69

10Y Revenue Exit $5.53 $8.52 $12.84 66

10Y EBITDA Exit $9.00 $16.63 $28.76 66

10Y P/E Exit $8.11 $14.51 $23.94 62

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd $3.44 $18.24 $25.25 63

Lynch FV $5.02 $7.17 $9.33 61

PEG = 1.0 $5.02 $7.17 $9.33 57

EPV $5.60 $6.68 $7.63 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM $2.47 $5.13 $8.13 66

DDM Multi-Stage $2.47 $4.32 $5.38 66

Multiples

P/E Multiple $7.97 $10.63 $13.28 63

P/S Multiple $2.48 $3.31 $4.13 58

P/B Multiple $3.05 $4.06 $5.08 55

EV/EBIT $10.13 $13.80 $17.47 66

EV/EBITDA $9.12 $12.46 $15.79 67

EV/Revenue $1.20 $2.10 $2.99 52

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $0.4500 $0.6000 $0.9000 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF $9.39 $18.01 $33.23 75

Rev-Margin DCF $3.80 $6.22 $9.48 72

Economic Profit

Residual Income $2.98 $4.47 $10.90 68

ROIC Compounder $6.46 $8.78 $11.62 71

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E $7.43 $10.62 $13.81 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 65

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 57

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 86

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 41

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 34

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 39

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 66

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 79

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 86

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Revenue growth 1 year

+16.7%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+14.0%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+15.0%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.4% a year

Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+15.5%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.

+47.9%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+45.7%

Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.89.2% vs 23.3%, picking up

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.40% → 52%

2025 sits 80% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations

The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

+9.9%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.

+8.6%

Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.

After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.3% a year for the price and +6.1% for the forecasts.

Forecast 2026 (sales)+16.0%

Forecast 2027 (sales)+8.0%

Projected 2028 (sales)+7.2%

Projected 2029 (sales)+6.5%

Projected 2030 (sales)+5.8%

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Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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International Container Terminal Services, Inc · Fair Value
$14.97 +8%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "International Container Terminal Services, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ICTEF

Frequently asked questions

Is International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $14.97 versus a price of $13.80, about +8% upside (fairly valued).

What is the fair value of ICTEF?

Our model-based fair value for International Container Terminal Services, Inc is $14.97 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $13.80.

What is the quality score of ICTEF?

International Container Terminal Services, Inc has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $14.97 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $11.22, optimistic scenario $19.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the International Container Terminal Services, Inc stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $14.97, about +8% upside versus a price of $13.80 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $11.22, optimistic scenario $19.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF)?

International Container Terminal Services, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).

Does International Container Terminal Services, Inc pay a dividend?

International Container Terminal Services, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.21% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).

What growth is priced into International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, International Container Terminal Services, Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +9.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.0 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ICTEF use?

Our models discount International Container Terminal Services, Inc at 8.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.80, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For International Container Terminal Services, Inc that is +9.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at International Container Terminal Services, Inc grew +15.0 % a year. The price currently implies +9.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into International Container Terminal Services, Inc (+9.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.57 %: that much free cash flow International Container Terminal Services, Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For International Container Terminal Services, Inc it is $14.97 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $13.80. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is International Container Terminal Services, Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 29, 2026, ICTEF trades below its calculated fair value: price $13.80, fair value $14.97, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of ICTEF?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($13.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($14.97). For International Container Terminal Services, Inc the two are $1.17 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is International Container Terminal Services, Inc worth?

The market values International Container Terminal Services, Inc at about $32.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $13.80; our models calculate a fair value of $14.97 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ICTEF?

Our models span a range for International Container Terminal Services, Inc: cautious scenario $11.22, base $14.97, optimistic $19.44 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $13.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How far is ICTEF from its 52-week high?

International Container Terminal Services, Inc trades at $13.80, about 22% below its 52-week high of $17.79 and 69% above the low of $8.15 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $14.97 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to International Container Terminal Services, Inc?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is International Container Terminal Services, Inc stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $13.80, calculated fair value $14.97 (+8%), Quality Score 65/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of ICTEF calculated?

We run International Container Terminal Services, Inc through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $14.97, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. International Container Terminal Services, Inc currently trades 8 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF)?

The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $13.80. Our model-based fair value is $14.97, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with International Container Terminal Services, Inc right now?

The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Where does the earnings growth of International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF) come from?

Earnings per share at International Container Terminal Services, Inc grew +25.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +11.0 %, EBIT margin +6.4 %, tax rate +1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of International Container Terminal Services, Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF)?

The market capitalisation of International Container Terminal Services, Inc is $32.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/E ratio of International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF)?

The price-to-earnings ratio of International Container Terminal Services, Inc is 25.6. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.

What is the P/S ratio of International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF)?

The price-to-sales ratio of International Container Terminal Services, Inc is 7.82 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF)?

Earnings per share at International Container Terminal Services, Inc are $0.5400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF)?

The dividend yield of International Container Terminal Services, Inc is 2.2% (payout 56.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF)?

The net margin of International Container Terminal Services, Inc is 30.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF)?

The return on equity (ROE) of International Container Terminal Services, Inc is 58.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of International Container Terminal Services, Inc is 16.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF)?

The operating margin of International Container Terminal Services, Inc is 52.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF)?

Revenue at International Container Terminal Services, Inc is growing +28.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF)?

Earnings per share at International Container Terminal Services, Inc are growing +23.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net debt does International Container Terminal Services, Inc (ICTEF) carry?

The net debt of International Container Terminal Services, Inc is $4.7B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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