COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (601919) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 213B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥40.37 to ¥18.42 (−54.4%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +11.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 20% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from ¥14.30 (bear) to ¥22.48 (bull), base ¥18.42. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 57/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.14 – ¥17.41 · fair‑value band ¥14.30 – ¥22.48 · the ¥15.37 price screens below the ¥18.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (601919) currently trades at ¥15.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥18.42, implying the stock looks roughly 19.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings generated revenue of 213B CNY at a net margin of 11.7%. Revenue declined 10.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 73.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥14.30 (bear case) to ¥22.48 (bull case); at ¥15.37, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 69% fair-value upside, at 20%, 601919 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥63.63) versus Asset-Based (¥12.40). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the container shipping business in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Mainland China, and internationally. It operates through Container Shipping Business, Terminal Business, and Other Businesses segments.
Full company description
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the container shipping business in the United States, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Mainland China, and internationally. It operates through Container Shipping Business, Terminal Business, and Other Businesses segments. The company offers routes and maritime container transportation services, logistics and port service, and digital supply chain service for enterprises in cross-border e-commerce, home appliances, photovoltaic, automobile, and other industries. It also provides management and financing services; freight forwarding and transportation; property lease; shipping agency; vessel chartering; marine; document services; vessel management and manning; cargo and liner agency; asset management; technical services, container maintenance, container yard warehousing services; multimodal transport; terminal operations; and supply chain management services. In addition, the company engages in the operation of rail terminals. As of December 31, 2025, it operated container fleet of 590 ships with a total capacity of approximately 3.60 million TEUs. The company was formerly known as China COSCO Holdings Company Limited and changed its name to COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd. in November 2016. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Tianjin, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings reported revenue of ¥218B in FY2025 versus ¥334B in FY2021, a compound −10.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥30.9B in FY2025, compounding −23.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,828 | ₹1,041 | -43% |
| A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA | kr 16,520 | kr 3,033 | -82% |
| Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 | ¥5.17 | ¥6.57 | +27% |
| HMM Co 011200 | 20,050 KRW | 33,855 KRW | +69% |
| Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 | ¥3.30 | ¥5.58 | +69% |
| Qingdao Port International Co 601298 | ¥8.07 | ¥16.97 | +110% |
| JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA | ₹330.05 | ₹126.31 | -62% |
| Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 | 80.70 TWD | 212.79 TWD | +164% |
| Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI | kr 137.70 | kr 50.56 | -63% |
| Yang Ming Marine Transport Corporation 2609 | 50.10 TWD | 96.14 TWD | +92% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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