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Shanghai International Port (Group) Co (600018) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 121B CNY

SI Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 · SHG
Price¥5.20
Fair Value¥6.57
Upside+26.4%
Quality57/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 33.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.77% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥5.46 – ¥10.69 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price +3.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 26% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥5.46). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥5.46 to ¥10.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥6.43 ¥3.78 Fair Value ¥6.57 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.78 – ¥6.43 · fair‑value band ¥5.46 – ¥10.69 · the ¥5.20 price screens below the ¥6.57 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai International Port (Group) Co (600018) currently trades at ¥5.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.57, implying the stock looks roughly 26.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co generated revenue of 40.4B CNY at a net margin of 33.8%. Revenue grew 8.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. Net debt stands at 3.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.46 (bear case) to ¥10.69 (bull case); at ¥5.20, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 69% fair-value upside, at 26%, 600018 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥2.24 ¥3.27 ¥4.71 80
Residual Income ¥5.27 ¥5.83 ¥8.57 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.50 ¥4.06 ¥5.79 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.18 ¥3.32 ¥4.98 38
Owner Earnings ¥5.20 ¥7.81 ¥11.65 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.50 ¥4.06 ¥6.02 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.38 ¥7.47 ¥11.01 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥5.64 ¥9.77 ¥14.01 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.27 ¥3.65 ¥5.44 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.54 ¥5.99 ¥9.15 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.34 ¥7.56 ¥11.38 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.96 ¥10.56 ¥13.81 54
Lynch FV ¥2.05 ¥2.93 ¥3.80 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.05 ¥2.93 ¥3.80 46
EPV ¥3.22 ¥3.78 ¥4.28 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.89 ¥3.94 ¥6.25 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.89 ¥2.94 ¥4.05 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥8.74 ¥11.65 ¥14.57 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.19 ¥4.25 ¥5.32 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.43 ¥9.91 ¥12.38 55
EV/EBIT ¥6.17 ¥8.27 ¥10.37 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.37 ¥8.53 ¥10.70 54
EV/Revenue ¥2.84 ¥4.12 ¥5.39 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.03 ¥4.06 ¥6.05 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.24 ¥3.27 ¥4.71 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥2.50 ¥4.06 ¥5.79 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.27 ¥5.83 ¥8.57 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.22 ¥3.78 ¥4.28 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.90 ¥9.85 ¥12.81 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥9.85) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.93). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 40.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.0%
Net margin 33.8%
Return on equity 9.7%
Free cash flow 4.9B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 8.5
More key figures
Operating margin 31.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5900
Dividend yield 3.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +2.5%
Net debt 3.5B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 47
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai International Port (Group) Co., Ltd. engages in the operation and management of ports in China. The company operates through container, bulk cargo, port logistics, and port services segment. It offers loading and unloading, storage, transit, land and water transportation of domestic and foreign goods.

Full company description

Shanghai International Port (Group) Co., Ltd. engages in the operation and management of ports in China. The company operates through container, bulk cargo, port logistics, and port services segment. It offers loading and unloading, storage, transit, land and water transportation of domestic and foreign goods. It also provides container unpacking, cleaning, repairing, manufacturing and leasing services; engages in the distribution and logistic information management. In addition, it offers facilities and services for international passengers, ship piloting, towing, shipping agency, freight forwarding; ship and port services, such as supply of fuel materials and daily necessities; port facility leasing; port information and technical consulting services; port wharf construction; operates port terminals; wholesale, import and export of port lifting equipment, handling machinery, electromechanical equipment and accessories. The company was formerly known as Shanghai Port Authority and changed its name to Shanghai International Port (Group) Co., Ltd. in 2003. The company was founded in 1988 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai International Port (Group) Co reported revenue of ¥39.6B in FY2025 versus ¥34.4B in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥13.6B in FY2025, compounding −1.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
39.6B CNY
Latest YoY
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.7%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+14.6%
Revenue +3.6%/yr
FY21 ¥34.4B
FY22 ¥37.3B
FY23 ¥37.6B
FY24 ¥38.1B
FY25 ¥39.6B
Net income −1.7%/yr
FY21 ¥14.5B
FY22 ¥17.2B
FY23 ¥13.2B
FY24 ¥15.0B
FY25 ¥13.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai International Port (Group) Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600018

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 227 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +26% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 34% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.25× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.86× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.00× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.44× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 68 · sector 27
FUTURE 40 · sector 18
PAST 39 · sector 26
HEALTH 88 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 75 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.30 ¥5.58 +69%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.07 ¥16.97 +110%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%
Yang Ming Marine Transport Corporation 2609 50.10 TWD 96.14 TWD +92%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai International Port (Group) Co (600018) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.57 versus a price of ¥5.20, about +26% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600018?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai International Port (Group) Co is ¥6.57 (as of Jul 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.20.
What is the quality score of 600018?
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co has a Quality Score of 57/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai International Port (Group) Co (600018)?
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 40.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600018?
The net profit margin of Shanghai International Port (Group) Co is about 33.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 33.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shanghai International Port (Group) Co pay a dividend?
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.90% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 20, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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