A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (AMKBY) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $39.6B
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S
AMKBY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 31 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $17.60 to $15.17 (−13.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +7.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 16% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from $11.37 (bear) to $18.96 (bull), base $15.17. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 59/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.11 – $14.25 · fair‑value band $11.37 – $18.96 · the $13.03 price screens below the $15.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S (AMKBY) currently trades at $13.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.17, implying the stock looks roughly 16.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S generated revenue of $53.6B at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue declined 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.2%. Net debt stands at $9.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $11.37 (bear case) to $18.96 (bull case); at $13.03, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 69% fair-value upside, at 16%, AMKBY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($20.56) versus Earnings-Based ($8.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated logistics company in Denmark and internationally. The company operates through Ocean, Logistics & Services, and Terminals segments.
Full company description
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated logistics company in Denmark and internationally. The company operates through Ocean, Logistics & Services, and Terminals segments. The company offers ocean, inland, less-than-container load, and air and ground freight solutions; warehousing, distribution, and depot services; cold chain solutions, cold chain management, pharmaceutical cold chain management, and cold storage solutions; and customs clearance, e-commerce logistics, and lead logistics services. It also provides ocean transport, specialized airlift, and vessel chartering services; project planning, orchestration, and site support; specialized cargo handling, cargo storage, and survey services. In addition, the company offers value-added services, such as labelling, relabeling, tagging or retagging, kitting and product customization, garments on hangers, re-packing, quality controls, reporting, shaving/topping off pallets, reverse logistics, and goods disposal services. It serves FMCG, fashion and lifestyle, retail, chemicals, automotive, technology, pharma and healthcare, and perishables industries. The company was founded in 1904 and is based in Copenhagen, Denmark.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S reported revenue of $54.0B in FY2025 versus $61.8B in FY2021, a compound −3.3%/yr. Reported net income was $2.7B in FY2025, compounding −37.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Marine Shipping · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS | ₹1,828 | ₹1,041 | -43% |
| COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 | ¥13.98 | ¥40.37 | +189% |
| Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 | ¥5.17 | ¥6.57 | +27% |
| HMM Co 011200 | 20,050 KRW | 33,855 KRW | +69% |
| Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 | ¥3.30 | ¥5.58 | +69% |
| Qingdao Port International Co 601298 | ¥8.07 | ¥16.97 | +110% |
| JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA | ₹330.05 | ₹126.31 | -62% |
| Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 | 80.70 TWD | 212.79 TWD | +164% |
| Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI | kr 137.70 | kr 50.56 | -63% |
| Yang Ming Marine Transport Corporation 2609 | 50.10 TWD | 96.14 TWD | +92% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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